⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
AZ
@ 8:40p
COL
Coors Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.17×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.404
Temp
79.1°F
Wind
8.0 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Merrill Kelly
Merrill Kelly RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Mickey Moniak Mickey Moniak 92 🔥 A+ +245 🌤️ WARM 2 0.369 89.8 14.9% 31.2% 417 21.6% 25.0% 53.9% 29
2 Hunter Goodman Hunter Goodman 75 🟡 B +245 🌧️ COOL 20 0.253 92.6 14.3% 28.6% 402 19.4% 9.1% 20.1% 28
3 Jake McCarthy Jake McCarthy 73 🟡 B +700 🌤️ WARM 22 0.212 84.3 5.9% 16.7% 425 14.3% 100.0% 36.2% 20
4 TJ Rumfield 62 🔵 C+ +425 · 44 0.172 86.4 8.5% 21.9% 413 10.0% 25.0% 33.0% 34
5 Edouard Julien Edouard Julien 49 ⚪ D +475 🌤️ WARM 97 0.100 91.4 8.0% 16.7% 389 5.3% 0.0% 13.4% 18
6 Ezequiel Tovar Ezequiel Tovar 40 ⚪ D +500 · 143 0.075 87.5 7.8% 10.3% 401 2.6% 0.0% 7.8% 24
7 Willi Castro Willi Castro 38 ⚪ D +525 ❄ COLD 159 0.094 88.8 6.7% 11.1% 406 3.7% 8.3% 12.2% 27
8 Troy Johnston Troy Johnston 36 ⚪ D +525 🌧️ COOL 168 0.139 89.2 2.0% 18.8% 415 0.0% 0.0% 14.8% 25
9 Kyle Karros Kyle Karros 32 ⚪ D +950 ❄ COLD 189 0.076 89.1 5.9% 10.0% 448 3.4% 0.0% 7.9% 16
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ryan Waldschmidt Ryan Waldschmidt 81 🟢 A +500 🌤️ WARM 10 0.295 83.7 15.4% 33.3% · 0.0% 0.0% 43.7% 26
2 Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll 70 🟡 B +370 · 25 0.238 90.4 11.8% 10.0% 408 13.0% 8.3% 15.6% 35
3 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 61 🔵 C+ +625 🌧️ COOL 50 0.230 87.3 4.8% 45.5% 399 14.8% 8.3% 30.0% 44
4 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 60 🔵 C+ +475 🌤️ WARM 53 0.178 84.3 7.5% 40.0% 401 13.5% 8.3% 22.3% 28
5 Gabriel Moreno Gabriel Moreno 55 🟠 C +575 🌤️ WARM 66 0.122 88.9 12.3% 14.3% 427 0.0% 0.0% 11.7% 24
6 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 50 🟠 C +625 🌤️ WARM 92 0.135 86.9 3.5% 11.1% 382 3.7% 8.3% 11.3% 36
7 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 49 ⚪ D +305 🌧️ COOL 96 0.152 91.2 9.4% 0.0% 411 3.8% 0.0% 9.5% 35
8 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 36 ⚪ D +575 🌤️ WARM 170 0.045 86.7 5.6% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 9.4% 24
9 Jose Fernandez Jose Fernandez 34 ⚪ D +600 ❄ COLD 179 0.111 88.8 5.0% 27.3% 409 0.0% 0.0% 13.2% 16
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