AZ
@
8:40p
COL
Park Factor
1.17×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.404
Temp
79.1°F
Wind
8.0 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Mickey Moniak | 92 | 🔥 A+ | +245 | 🌤️ WARM | 2 | 0.369 | 89.8 | 14.9% | 31.2% | 417 | 21.6% | 25.0% | 53.9% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 75 | 🟡 B | +245 | 🌧️ COOL | 20 | 0.253 | 92.6 | 14.3% | 28.6% | 402 | 19.4% | 9.1% | 20.1% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Jake McCarthy | 73 | 🟡 B | +700 | 🌤️ WARM | 22 | 0.212 | 84.3 | 5.9% | 16.7% | 425 | 14.3% | 100.0% | 36.2% | 20 |
| 4 | TJ Rumfield | 62 | 🔵 C+ | +425 | · | 44 | 0.172 | 86.4 | 8.5% | 21.9% | 413 | 10.0% | 25.0% | 33.0% | 34 | |
| 5 |
|
Edouard Julien | 49 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 97 | 0.100 | 91.4 | 8.0% | 16.7% | 389 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 13.4% | 18 |
| 6 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 40 | ⚪ D | +500 | · | 143 | 0.075 | 87.5 | 7.8% | 10.3% | 401 | 2.6% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 24 |
| 7 |
|
Willi Castro | 38 | ⚪ D | +525 | ❄ COLD | 159 | 0.094 | 88.8 | 6.7% | 11.1% | 406 | 3.7% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 27 |
| 8 |
|
Troy Johnston | 36 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 168 | 0.139 | 89.2 | 2.0% | 18.8% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.8% | 25 |
| 9 |
|
Kyle Karros | 32 | ⚪ D | +950 | ❄ COLD | 189 | 0.076 | 89.1 | 5.9% | 10.0% | 448 | 3.4% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 16 |
Kyle Freeland
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ryan Waldschmidt | 81 | 🟢 A | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 10 | 0.295 | 83.7 | 15.4% | 33.3% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 43.7% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Corbin Carroll | 70 | 🟡 B | +370 | · | 25 | 0.238 | 90.4 | 11.8% | 10.0% | 408 | 13.0% | 8.3% | 15.6% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Ildemaro Vargas | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 50 | 0.230 | 87.3 | 4.8% | 45.5% | 399 | 14.8% | 8.3% | 30.0% | 44 |
| 4 |
|
Nolan Arenado ⚡ | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 53 | 0.178 | 84.3 | 7.5% | 40.0% | 401 | 13.5% | 8.3% | 22.3% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
Gabriel Moreno | 55 | 🟠 C | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 66 | 0.122 | 88.9 | 12.3% | 14.3% | 427 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.7% | 24 |
| 6 |
|
Geraldo Perdomo | 50 | 🟠 C | +625 | 🌤️ WARM | 92 | 0.135 | 86.9 | 3.5% | 11.1% | 382 | 3.7% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 36 |
| 7 |
|
Ketel Marte | 49 | ⚪ D | +305 | 🌧️ COOL | 96 | 0.152 | 91.2 | 9.4% | 0.0% | 411 | 3.8% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | 36 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 170 | 0.045 | 86.7 | 5.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
Jose Fernandez ⚡ | 34 | ⚪ D | +600 | ❄ COLD | 179 | 0.111 | 88.8 | 5.0% | 27.3% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.2% | 16 |