⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
MIL
@ 7:10p
MIN
Target Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.95×
Weather Mod
+6.0%
warm air · strong wind out · roof open
Combined
1.520
Temp
76.7°F
Wind
19.6 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ryan Jeffers Ryan Jeffers 65 🔵 C+ · · 34 0.238 91.4 15.4% 27.3% 404 16.2% 20.0% 25.0% 25
2 Kody Clemens Kody Clemens 50 🟠 C · · 77 0.192 92.2 15.3% 14.3% 402 0.0% 0.0% 8.8% 24
3 Tristan Gray Tristan Gray 45 ⚪ D +950 · 112 0.152 89.4 11.6% 25.0% 390 20.0% 0.0% 7.5% 8
4 Royce Lewis Royce Lewis 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 149 0.129 87.8 12.1% 21.4% 382 14.3% 0.0% 7.6% 19
5 Josh Bell Josh Bell 31 ⚪ D · · 186 0.111 89.4 9.4% 11.1% 392 0.0% 0.0% 5.6% 25
6 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 200 0.144 87.4 4.9% 16.7% 364 12.8% 0.0% 6.9% 41
7 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 218 0.113 86.5 6.6% 6.2% 398 2.8% 0.0% 5.2% 24
8 Austin Martin Austin Martin 15 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 247 0.096 86.4 2.2% 0.0% 406 0.0% 0.0% 5.0% 34
9 James Outman James Outman 11 ⚪ D +950 🌤️ WARM 255 0.055 84.2 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 6
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jackson Chourio Jackson Chourio 51 🟠 C · · 73 0.127 91.6 18.5% 14.3% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.4% 27
2 Gary Sánchez Gary Sánchez 50 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 79 0.238 88.1 11.3% 27.8% 405 11.1% 0.0% 18.0% 15
3 Brice Turang Brice Turang 49 ⚪ D +900 🌧️ COOL 85 0.213 92.0 9.8% 0.0% 405 10.0% 9.1% 11.4% 31
4 Andrew Vaughn Andrew Vaughn 37 ⚪ D · · 154 0.091 89.8 4.2% 9.1% 403 33.3% 33.3% 7.9% 20
5 William Contreras William Contreras 32 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 183 0.111 89.9 6.6% 0.0% 404 7.7% 9.1% 5.7% 35
6 Luis Rengifo Luis Rengifo 23 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 221 0.068 87.8 6.4% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 31
7 Blake Perkins Blake Perkins 23 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 222 0.062 85.5 5.1% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.8% 5
8 Sal Frelick Sal Frelick 19 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 236 0.085 84.9 3.4% 15.8% 402 5.4% 0.0% 8.0% 32
9 Joey Ortiz Joey Ortiz 17 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 242 0.044 85.9 4.1% 0.0% 395 0.0% 0.0% 6.5% 22
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