⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
SD
@ 7:15p
SEA
T-Mobile Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.91×
Weather Mod
-4.0%
cold air · steady wind in · retractable roof
Combined
0.546
Temp
52.8°F
Wind
10.4 mph
in
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Luke Raley Luke Raley 86 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 5 0.321 93.9 23.9% 45.5% 382 21.4% 30.8% 33.1% 20
2 Dominic Canzone Dominic Canzone 50 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 80 0.209 93.2 15.3% 22.7% 402 6.2% 8.3% 13.4% 20
3 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 84 0.167 89.7 8.1% 10.5% 416 17.9% 23.1% 17.2% 38
4 Brendan Donovan Brendan Donovan 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 147 0.190 85.9 4.3% 16.7% 348 8.0% 0.0% 10.9% 25
5 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 152 0.120 88.3 7.1% 19.2% 402 11.1% 7.7% 8.0% 45
6 J.P. Crawford 36 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 157 0.147 88.1 8.3% 23.5% 376 11.9% 23.1% 13.4% 42
7 Mitch Garver Mitch Garver 34 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 173 0.079 91.1 6.1% 18.2% 369 7.1% 100.0% 16.1% 9
8 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 32 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 184 0.153 90.9 5.6% 15.8% 375 7.0% 7.7% 11.0% 36
9 Cole Young Cole Young 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 203 0.115 88.2 7.4% 7.4% 395 7.0% 0.0% 6.2% 31
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gavin Sheets Gavin Sheets 54 🟠 C · · 66 0.229 88.8 9.6% 33.3% 406 10.5% 15.4% 27.9% 28
2 Ramón Laureano Ramón Laureano 46 ⚪ D · · 101 0.165 88.8 12.6% 25.0% 406 3.7% 7.7% 13.2% 18
3 Miguel Andujar Miguel Andujar 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 119 0.193 89.7 4.2% 12.5% 400 11.5% 15.4% 12.1% 37
4 Jackson Merrill Jackson Merrill 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 123 0.127 90.0 9.4% 14.3% 408 10.5% 8.3% 8.7% 31
5 Xander Bogaerts Xander Bogaerts 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 135 0.157 87.6 7.8% 28.0% 392 15.4% 15.4% 13.8% 34
6 Manny Machado Manny Machado 39 ⚪ D · · 142 0.150 90.5 6.0% 23.8% 399 12.8% 15.4% 11.6% 36
7 Nick Castellanos Nick Castellanos 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 146 0.129 87.7 8.3% 14.3% 397 3.6% 8.3% 8.7% 18
8 Fernando Tatis Jr. Fernando Tatis Jr. 23 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 223 0.044 92.3 11.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.5% 32
9 Rodolfo Durán Rodolfo Durán 6 ⚪ D · · 259 · · · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 10.7% 0
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