SD
@
7:15p
SEA
Park Factor
0.91×
Weather Mod
-4.0%
cold air · steady wind in · retractable roof
Combined
0.546
Temp
52.8°F
Wind
10.4 mph
in
Roof
retractable
Walker Buehler
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Luke Raley | 86 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 5 | 0.321 | 93.9 | 23.9% | 45.5% | 382 | 21.4% | 30.8% | 33.1% | 20 |
| 2 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 50 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 80 | 0.209 | 93.2 | 15.3% | 22.7% | 402 | 6.2% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 20 |
| 3 |
|
Julio Rodríguez | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 84 | 0.167 | 89.7 | 8.1% | 10.5% | 416 | 17.9% | 23.1% | 17.2% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Brendan Donovan | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 147 | 0.190 | 85.9 | 4.3% | 16.7% | 348 | 8.0% | 0.0% | 10.9% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Josh Naylor ⚡ | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 152 | 0.120 | 88.3 | 7.1% | 19.2% | 402 | 11.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 45 |
| 6 | J.P. Crawford | 36 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 157 | 0.147 | 88.1 | 8.3% | 23.5% | 376 | 11.9% | 23.1% | 13.4% | 42 | |
| 7 |
|
Mitch Garver | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 173 | 0.079 | 91.1 | 6.1% | 18.2% | 369 | 7.1% | 100.0% | 16.1% | 9 |
| 8 |
|
Randy Arozarena ⚡ | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 184 | 0.153 | 90.9 | 5.6% | 15.8% | 375 | 7.0% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 36 |
| 9 |
|
Cole Young | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 203 | 0.115 | 88.2 | 7.4% | 7.4% | 395 | 7.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 31 |
Logan Gilbert
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 54 | 🟠 C | · | · | 66 | 0.229 | 88.8 | 9.6% | 33.3% | 406 | 10.5% | 15.4% | 27.9% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Ramón Laureano | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 101 | 0.165 | 88.8 | 12.6% | 25.0% | 406 | 3.7% | 7.7% | 13.2% | 18 |
| 3 |
|
Miguel Andujar | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 119 | 0.193 | 89.7 | 4.2% | 12.5% | 400 | 11.5% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 37 |
| 4 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 123 | 0.127 | 90.0 | 9.4% | 14.3% | 408 | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Xander Bogaerts | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 135 | 0.157 | 87.6 | 7.8% | 28.0% | 392 | 15.4% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Manny Machado | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 142 | 0.150 | 90.5 | 6.0% | 23.8% | 399 | 12.8% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 36 |
| 7 |
|
Nick Castellanos | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 146 | 0.129 | 87.7 | 8.3% | 14.3% | 397 | 3.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 18 |
| 8 |
|
Fernando Tatis Jr. | 23 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 223 | 0.044 | 92.3 | 11.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.5% | 32 |
| 9 |
|
Rodolfo Durán | 6 | ⚪ D | · | · | 259 | · | · | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.7% | 0 |