⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs

Slate · 2026-04-26

↩ today 🧙 Morning Wizard 🎲 Build Card
279 scored matchups · top 5 preview · upgrade for full slate Lineups loading…
2026-04-26
Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather
📦 STACK Keider Montero FIP 1.92 → #1 Elly De La Cruz, #2 Sal Stewart, #8 Spencer Steer, #11 Nathaniel Lowe
📦 STACK Aaron Nola FIP 4.05 HR/FB 18.2% → #7 Michael Harris II, #9 Matt Olson
📦 STACK Connelly Early FIP 4.17 HR/FB 10.5% → #14 Gunnar Henderson, #15 Adley Rutschman
# Batter Score Edge Pitcher · Game Time Tier Hand '26 HR Form Due BP WT Hit?
1 93 · Luis Gil (RHP)
NYY @ HOU · Minute Maid Park
2:10p 🔥 A+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
20
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls48 BBE Barrel%20.5% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.5×
NYY Bullpen
HR/FB10.7% HR/90.73 FIP3.47 IP74.4
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Minute Maid Park
Weather · Minute Maid Park
warm air · light partial wind out · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp77.2°F Wind6.9 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note77°F, wind 7 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
2
·Ben Rice (L) 3
89 · Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)
NYY @ HOU · Minute Maid Park
2:10p 🟢 A
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
17
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%21.6% Avg EV95.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
HOU Bullpen
HR/FB16.2% HR/91.29 FIP5.13 IP90.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Minute Maid Park
Weather · Minute Maid Park
warm air · light partial wind out · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp77.2°F Wind6.9 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note77°F, wind 7 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
3 88 · Chris Sale (LHP)
PHI @ ATL · Truist Park
1:35p 🟢 A
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
22
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%21.8% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.7×
ATL Bullpen
HR/FB6.6% HR/90.45 FIP3.08 IP79.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Truist Park
Weather · Truist Park
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp64.1°F Wind5.8 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Note64°F, wind 6 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0
Kyle Schwarber — Home Run
OffChris Sale Exit Velo103.4 mph Angle36.0° Distance377 ft StadiumTruist Park
4
Aaron Judge (R) 5
88 · Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)
NYY @ HOU · Minute Maid Park
2:10p 🟢 A
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
17
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%24.6% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.0×
HOU Bullpen
HR/FB16.2% HR/91.29 FIP5.13 IP90.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Minute Maid Park
Weather · Minute Maid Park
warm air · light partial wind out · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp77.2°F Wind6.9 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note77°F, wind 7 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
Aaron Judge — Home Run
OffSpencer Arrighetti Exit Velo109.3 mph Angle31.0° Distance401 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park
5
·James Wood (L) 3
88 · Bryan Hudson (LHP)
WSH @ CWS · Rate Field
2:10p 🟢 A
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
16
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%30.2% Avg EV96.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
CWS Bullpen
HR/FB13.1% HR/90.94 FIP4.58 IP76.5
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rate Field
Weather · Rate Field
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
6 85 · Keider Montero (RHP)
DET @ CIN · Great American Ball Park
1:40p 🟢 A
SHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
12
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%15.1% Avg EV95.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.4×
DET Bullpen
HR/FB18.2% HR/91.11 FIP4.48 IP80.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Great American Ball Park
Weather · Great American Ball Park
cold air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp52.0°F Wind10.4 mph NE Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Note52°F, wind 10 mph NE (slight_out) — modifier: -1
7
Matt Olson (L) 3
84 · Aaron Nola (RHP)
PHI @ ATL · Truist Park
1:35p 🟢 A
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
16
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls45 BBE Barrel%17.7% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
PHI Bullpen
HR/FB13.9% HR/90.96 FIP3.78 IP84.1
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Truist Park
Weather · Truist Park
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp64.1°F Wind5.8 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Note64°F, wind 6 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0
Matt Olson — Home Run
OffAaron Nola Exit Velo105.4 mph Angle37.0° Distance399 ft StadiumTruist Park
8
·Gary Sánchez (R) 2
83 · Carmen Mlodzinski (RHP)
PIT @ MIL · American Family Field
2:10p 🟢 A
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
5
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%17.9% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
PIT Bullpen
HR/FB16.4% HR/90.93 FIP3.89 IP96.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
American Family Field
Weather · American Family Field
cold air · light wind out · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp47.7°F Wind7 mph ESE Characterout HR Modifier-1 Note48°F, wind 7 mph ESE (out) — modifier: -1
9 83 · Aaron Nola (RHP)
PHI @ ATL · Truist Park
1:35p 🟢 A
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
13
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%19.7% Avg EV95.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.8×
PHI Bullpen
HR/FB13.9% HR/90.96 FIP3.78 IP84.1
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Truist Park
Weather · Truist Park
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp64.1°F Wind5.8 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Note64°F, wind 6 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0
10 83 · Keider Montero (RHP)
DET @ CIN · Great American Ball Park
1:40p 🟢 A
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
9
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV91.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
DET Bullpen
HR/FB18.2% HR/91.11 FIP4.48 IP80.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Great American Ball Park
Weather · Great American Ball Park
cold air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp52.0°F Wind10.4 mph NE Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Note52°F, wind 10 mph NE (slight_out) — modifier: -1
Nathaniel Lowe — Home Run
OffKeider Montero Exit Velo98.6 mph Angle29.0° Distance372 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park
11
·Luke Raley (L) 3
82 · Michael McGreevy (RHP)
SEA @ STL · Busch Stadium
2:15p 🟢 A
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
13
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%22.7% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
STL Bullpen
HR/FB14.0% HR/90.75 FIP4.54 IP84.5
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Busch Stadium
Weather · Busch Stadium
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp63.1°F Wind1.0 mph NNE Characterout HR Modifier0 Note63°F, wind 1 mph NNE (out) — modifier: +0
12 82 · Foster Griffin (LHP)
WSH @ CWS · Rate Field
2:10p 🟢 A
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
15
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%15.0% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
WSH Bullpen
HR/FB23.9% HR/91.79 FIP5.49 IP80.4
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rate Field
Weather · Rate Field
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
13
·Sal Stewart (R) 2
80 · Keider Montero (RHP)
DET @ CIN · Great American Ball Park
1:40p 🟢 A
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
12
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%23.7% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
DET Bullpen
HR/FB18.2% HR/91.11 FIP4.48 IP80.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Great American Ball Park
Weather · Great American Ball Park
cold air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp52.0°F Wind10.4 mph NE Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Note52°F, wind 10 mph NE (slight_out) — modifier: -1
14
Mike Trout (R) 3
80 · Seth Lugo (RHP)
LAA @ KC · Kauffman Stadium
4:10p 🟢 A
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
14
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%24.6% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
KC Bullpen
HR/FB21.8% HR/91.55 FIP5.26 IP69.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Kauffman Stadium
Weather · Kauffman Stadium
cool air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp62.7°F Wind9.2 mph SE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Note63°F, wind 9 mph SE (cross) — modifier: +0
Mike Trout — Home Run
OffSeth Lugo Exit Velo100.0 mph Angle32.0° Distance381 ft StadiumKauffman Stadium
15 79 · Simeon Woods Richardson (RHP)
MIN @ TB · Tropicana Field
1:40p 🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
14
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls46 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
3.3×
MIN Bullpen
HR/FB6.2% HR/90.47 FIP3.52 IP77.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Tropicana Field
Weather · Tropicana Field
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
16 78 · Foster Griffin (LHP)
WSH @ CWS · Rate Field
2:10p 🟡 B
?HH vs LHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
20
Form · —
SignalUNKNOWN Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%25.5% Avg EV96.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.7×
WSH Bullpen
HR/FB23.9% HR/91.79 FIP5.49 IP80.4
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rate Field
Weather · Rate Field
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
17
·Ian Happ (S)
77 · Justin Wrobleski (LHP)
CHC @ LAD · Dodger Stadium
4:10p 🟡 B
SHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
13
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%15.9% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.5×
LAD Bullpen
HR/FB13.0% HR/91.05 FIP3.66 IP59.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Dodger Stadium
Weather · Dodger Stadium
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp53.3°F Wind5.8 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier-2 Note53°F, wind 6 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: -2
18 77 · Connelly Early (LHP)
BOS @ BAL · Camden Yards
1:35p 🟡 B
SHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls12 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
5.0×
BOS Bullpen
HR/FB17.4% HR/91.25 FIP4.50 IP86.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Camden Yards
Weather · Camden Yards
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp47.0°F Wind8.1 mph NNE Charactercross HR Modifier-2 Note47°F, wind 8 mph NNE (cross) — modifier: -2
19
·Bryce Harper (L) 2
77 · Chris Sale (LHP)
PHI @ ATL · Truist Park
1:35p 🟡 B
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
13
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%13.9% Avg EV88.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.8×
ATL Bullpen
HR/FB6.6% HR/90.45 FIP3.08 IP79.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Truist Park
Weather · Truist Park
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp64.1°F Wind5.8 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Note64°F, wind 6 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0
20 77 · Kodai Senga (RHP)
COL @ NYM · Citi Field
1:45p 🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
14
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
NYM Bullpen
HR/FB14.3% HR/90.95 FIP3.71 IP85.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Citi Field
Weather · Citi Field
cold air · steady wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp44.4°F Wind13.8 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier-6 Note44°F, wind 14 mph NNE (in) — modifier: -6
Hunter Goodman — Home Run
OffKodai Senga Exit Velo104.9 mph Angle31.0° Distance390 ft StadiumCiti Field
21
·Jordan Walker (R) 4
76 · Emerson Hancock (RHP)
SEA @ STL · Busch Stadium
2:15p 🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
15
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%21.7% Avg EV94.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.3×
SEA Bullpen
HR/FB9.0% HR/90.65 FIP3.49 IP83.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Busch Stadium
Weather · Busch Stadium
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp63.1°F Wind1.0 mph NNE Characterout HR Modifier0 Note63°F, wind 1 mph NNE (out) — modifier: +0
22 75 · Connelly Early (LHP)
BOS @ BAL · Camden Yards
1:35p 🟡 B
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
13
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
BOS Bullpen
HR/FB17.4% HR/91.25 FIP4.50 IP86.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Camden Yards
Weather · Camden Yards
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp47.0°F Wind8.1 mph NNE Charactercross HR Modifier-2 Note47°F, wind 8 mph NNE (cross) — modifier: -2
Gunnar Henderson — Home Run
OffConnelly Early Exit Velo105.3 mph Angle25.0° Distance391 ft StadiumCamden Yards
23 75 · Rhett Lowder (RHP)
DET @ CIN · Great American Ball Park
1:40p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
5.0×
CIN Bullpen
HR/FB9.3% HR/90.64 FIP4.21 IP97.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Great American Ball Park
Weather · Great American Ball Park
cold air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp52.0°F Wind10.4 mph NE Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Note52°F, wind 10 mph NE (slight_out) — modifier: -1
24
·Mickey Moniak (L) 8
74 · Kodai Senga (RHP)
COL @ NYM · Citi Field
1:45p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
12
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%12.5% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
3.0×
NYM Bullpen
HR/FB14.3% HR/90.95 FIP3.71 IP85.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Citi Field
Weather · Citi Field
cold air · steady wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp44.4°F Wind13.8 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier-6 Note44°F, wind 14 mph NNE (in) — modifier: -6
25
·Nick Kurtz (L) 3
74 · Kumar Rocker (RHP)
ATH @ TEX · Globe Life Field
2:35p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
10
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%23.5% Avg EV98.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.5×
TEX Bullpen
HR/FB11.2% HR/90.88 FIP3.76 IP91.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Globe Life Field
Weather · Globe Life Field
warm air · steady crosswind · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp73.3°F Wind11.5 mph ESE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Note73°F, wind 12 mph ESE (cross) — modifier: +0
26 73 · Keider Montero (RHP)
DET @ CIN · Great American Ball Park
1:40p 🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
7
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%17.9% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
3.6×
DET Bullpen
HR/FB18.2% HR/91.11 FIP4.48 IP80.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Great American Ball Park
Weather · Great American Ball Park
cold air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp52.0°F Wind10.4 mph NE Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Note52°F, wind 10 mph NE (slight_out) — modifier: -1
27 73 · Patrick Corbin (LHP)
CLE @ TOR · Rogers Centre
1:37p 🟡 B
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
4
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
8.7×
TOR Bullpen
HR/FB16.7% HR/90.78 FIP2.98 IP91.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rogers Centre
Weather · Rogers Centre
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
28 73 · Patrick Corbin (LHP)
CLE @ TOR · Rogers Centre
1:37p 🟡 B
SHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
8
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
3.7×
TOR Bullpen
HR/FB16.7% HR/90.78 FIP2.98 IP91.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rogers Centre
Weather · Rogers Centre
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
29 73 · Patrick Corbin (LHP)
CLE @ TOR · Rogers Centre
1:37p 🟡 B
SHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
9
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV88.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
10.0×
TOR Bullpen
HR/FB16.7% HR/90.78 FIP2.98 IP91.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rogers Centre
Weather · Rogers Centre
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
30
·Miguel Vargas (R) 3
73 · Foster Griffin (LHP)
WSH @ CWS · Rate Field
2:10p 🟡 B
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
15
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.4×
WSH Bullpen
HR/FB23.9% HR/91.79 FIP5.49 IP80.4
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rate Field
Weather · Rate Field
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
🔥

The full lineup is in the hole

Sign up to see every ranked matchup with scores, tiers, pitcher intel, and conviction tools. Pro gets 150+ batters daily.

274 more waiting in the on-deck circle
Model Health · HR catch rate by tier
season-to-date
S 0.0%
A+ 17.2%
A 18.2%
B 20.0%
C+ 15.1%
C 12.3%
D 7.7%
Best Day
32.0%
May 29
LD 3.2.82

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.