⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs

Slate · 2026-04-27

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144 scored matchups · top 5 preview · upgrade for full slate Lineups loading…
2026-04-27
Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather
🔥 High Conviction 2 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers
#5 Mike Trout vs Anthony Kay FIP 6.53 HR/FB 27.8% #15 José Ramírez vs Steven Matz FIP 5.1 HR/FB 25.0%
📦 STACK Chris Paddack FIP 4.63 HR/FB 18.2% → #1 Shohei Ohtani, #2 Max Muncy, #3 Freddie Freeman, #4 Teoscar Hernández, #6 Kyle Tucker, #7 Will Smith, #14 Alex Freeland
📦 STACK Jack Leiter FIP 3.8 HR/FB 5.9% → #9 Aaron Judge, #10 Ben Rice
📦 STACK Steven Matz FIP 5.1 → #11 Daniel Schneemann, #15 José Ramírez
# Batter Score Edge Pitcher · Game Time Tier Hand '26 HR Form Due BP WT Hit?
1
·Mike Trout (R) 4
89 · Anthony Kay (LHP)
LAA @ CWS · Rate Field
7:40p 🟢 A
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
14
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%24.6% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
CWS Bullpen
HR/FB13.1% HR/90.94 FIP4.58 IP76.5
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rate Field
Weather · Rate Field
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
2
Aaron Judge (R) 4
84 · Jack Leiter (RHP)
NYY @ TEX · Globe Life Field
8:05p 🟢 A
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
17
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%24.6% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.0×
TEX Bullpen
HR/FB11.2% HR/90.88 FIP3.76 IP91.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Globe Life Field
Weather · Globe Life Field
warm air · steady wind out · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp74.8°F Wind13.8 mph S Characterout HR Modifier2 Note75°F, wind 14 mph S (out) — modifier: +2
Aaron Judge — Home Run
OffJack Leiter Exit Velo113.0 mph Angle20.0° Distance414 ft StadiumGlobe Life Field
3
Ben Rice (L) 4
84 · Jack Leiter (RHP)
NYY @ TEX · Globe Life Field
8:05p 🟢 A
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
17
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%21.6% Avg EV95.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
TEX Bullpen
HR/FB11.2% HR/90.88 FIP3.76 IP91.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Globe Life Field
Weather · Globe Life Field
warm air · steady wind out · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp74.8°F Wind13.8 mph S Characterout HR Modifier2 Note75°F, wind 14 mph S (out) — modifier: +2
Ben Rice — Home Run
OffJack Leiter Exit Velo106.9 mph Angle23.0° Distance404 ft StadiumGlobe Life Field
4
·Shohei Ohtani (L) 4
79 · Chris Paddack (RHP)
MIA @ LAD · Dodger Stadium
10:10p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
10
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%22.1% Avg EV94.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
MIA Bullpen
HR/FB8.5% HR/90.65 FIP3.45 IP82.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Dodger Stadium
Weather · Dodger Stadium
cool air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp55.7°F Wind6.9 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Note56°F, wind 7 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: -1
5
·Oneil Cruz (L) 4
78 · Dustin May (RHP)
STL @ PIT · PNC Park
6:40p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
13
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%23.5% Avg EV97.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
STL Bullpen
HR/FB14.0% HR/90.75 FIP4.54 IP84.5
Vulnerable Avg Tough
PNC Park
Weather · PNC Park
cold air · light crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp49.5°F Wind4.6 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier-2 Note50°F, wind 5 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: -2
6
·Max Muncy (S) 3
77 · Chris Paddack (RHP)
MIA @ LAD · Dodger Stadium
10:10p 🟡 B
SHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
2
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls52 BBE Barrel%17.7% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
MIA Bullpen
HR/FB8.5% HR/90.65 FIP3.45 IP82.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Dodger Stadium
Weather · Dodger Stadium
cool air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp55.7°F Wind6.9 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Note56°F, wind 7 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: -1
7
·Luke Raley (L) 2
77 · Connor Prielipp (LHP)
SEA @ MIN · Target Field
7:40p 🟡 B
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
13
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%22.7% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
MIN Bullpen
HR/FB6.2% HR/90.47 FIP3.52 IP77.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Target Field
Weather · Target Field
cold air · strong wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp54.2°F Wind15.0 mph SE Characterin HR Modifier-5 Note54°F, wind 15 mph SE (in) — modifier: -5
8 73 · Jack Kochanowicz (RHP)
LAA @ CWS · Rate Field
7:40p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
15
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%15.0% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
LAA Bullpen
HR/FB14.0% HR/90.86 FIP3.98 IP83.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rate Field
Weather · Rate Field
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
9 72 · Jack Kochanowicz (RHP)
LAA @ CWS · Rate Field
7:40p 🟡 B
?HH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
20
Form · —
SignalUNKNOWN Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%25.5% Avg EV96.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.7×
LAA Bullpen
HR/FB14.0% HR/90.86 FIP3.98 IP83.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rate Field
Weather · Rate Field
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
10 72 · Steven Matz (LHP)
TB @ CLE · Progressive Field
6:10p 🟡 B
SHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
8
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
3.7×
TB Bullpen
HR/FB20.2% HR/91.74 FIP5.47 IP87.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Progressive Field
Weather · Progressive Field
cold air · strong crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp50.7°F Wind17.3 mph SE Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Note51°F, wind 17 mph SE (cross) — modifier: -1
11 70 · Steven Matz (LHP)
TB @ CLE · Progressive Field
6:10p 🟡 B
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
4
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
8.7×
TB Bullpen
HR/FB20.2% HR/91.74 FIP5.47 IP87.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Progressive Field
Weather · Progressive Field
cold air · strong crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp50.7°F Wind17.3 mph SE Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Note51°F, wind 17 mph SE (cross) — modifier: -1
Daniel Schneemann — Home Run
OffSteven Matz Exit Velo102.8 mph Angle31.0° Distance386 ft StadiumProgressive Field
12 70 · Steven Matz (LHP)
TB @ CLE · Progressive Field
6:10p 🟡 B
SHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
9
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV88.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
10.0×
TB Bullpen
HR/FB20.2% HR/91.74 FIP5.47 IP87.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Progressive Field
Weather · Progressive Field
cold air · strong crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp50.7°F Wind17.3 mph SE Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Note51°F, wind 17 mph SE (cross) — modifier: -1
13 69 · Parker Messick (LHP)
TB @ CLE · Progressive Field
6:10p 🔵 C+
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
14
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls47 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
3.3×
CLE Bullpen
HR/FB17.8% HR/91.37 FIP4.12 IP85.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Progressive Field
Weather · Progressive Field
cold air · strong crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp50.7°F Wind17.3 mph SE Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Note51°F, wind 17 mph SE (cross) — modifier: -1
14 68 · Dylan Cease (RHP)
BOS @ TOR · Rogers Centre
7:07p 🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
11
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%14.3% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
TOR Bullpen
HR/FB16.7% HR/90.78 FIP2.98 IP91.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rogers Centre
Weather · Rogers Centre
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
15 68 · Jack Leiter (RHP)
NYY @ TEX · Globe Life Field
8:05p 🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
3
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%18.0% Avg EV94.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
TEX Bullpen
HR/FB11.2% HR/90.88 FIP3.76 IP91.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Globe Life Field
Weather · Globe Life Field
warm air · steady wind out · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp74.8°F Wind13.8 mph S Characterout HR Modifier2 Note75°F, wind 14 mph S (out) — modifier: +2
16
·Ian Happ (S) 2
66 · Randy Vásquez (RHP)
CHC @ SD · Petco Park
9:40p 🔵 C+
SHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
13
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%15.9% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.5×
SD Bullpen
HR/FB13.0% HR/90.57 FIP2.99 IP95.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Petco Park
Weather · Petco Park
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp56.4°F Wind4.6 mph E Characterout HR Modifier-1 Note56°F, wind 5 mph E (out) — modifier: -1
17
·Oswald Peraza (R) 5
64 · Anthony Kay (LHP)
LAA @ CWS · Rate Field
7:40p 🔵 C+
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV88.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.1×
CWS Bullpen
HR/FB13.1% HR/90.94 FIP4.58 IP76.5
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rate Field
Weather · Rate Field
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
18 64 · Jack Kochanowicz (RHP)
LAA @ CWS · Rate Field
7:40p 🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
15
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.4×
LAA Bullpen
HR/FB14.0% HR/90.86 FIP3.98 IP83.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rate Field
Weather · Rate Field
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
Miguel Vargas — Home Run
OffJack Kochanowicz Exit Velo104.0 mph Angle28.0° Distance401 ft StadiumRate Field
19
Byron Buxton (R) 3
64 · Luis Castillo (RHP)
SEA @ MIN · Target Field
7:40p 🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
17
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%15.7% Avg EV88.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
SEA Bullpen
HR/FB9.0% HR/90.65 FIP3.49 IP83.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Target Field
Weather · Target Field
cold air · strong wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp54.2°F Wind15.0 mph SE Characterin HR Modifier-5 Note54°F, wind 15 mph SE (in) — modifier: -5
Byron Buxton — Home Run
OffLuis Castillo Exit Velo104.2 mph Angle39.0° Distance396 ft StadiumTarget Field
20 63 · Ranger Suarez (LHP)
BOS @ TOR · Rogers Centre
7:07p 🔵 C+
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
6
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.4×
BOS Bullpen
HR/FB17.4% HR/91.25 FIP4.50 IP86.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rogers Centre
Weather · Rogers Centre
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
21
·Jordan Walker (R) 2
63 · Mason Montgomery (LHP)
STL @ PIT · PNC Park
6:40p 🔵 C+
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
15
COLD
Form · COLD
SignalCOLD Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%21.7% Avg EV94.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.3×
PIT Bullpen
HR/FB16.4% HR/90.93 FIP3.89 IP96.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
PNC Park
Weather · PNC Park
cold air · light crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp49.5°F Wind4.6 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier-2 Note50°F, wind 5 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: -2
22 61 · Chris Paddack (RHP)
MIA @ LAD · Dodger Stadium
10:10p 🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
7
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%12.1% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.2×
MIA Bullpen
HR/FB8.5% HR/90.65 FIP3.45 IP82.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Dodger Stadium
Weather · Dodger Stadium
cool air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp55.7°F Wind6.9 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Note56°F, wind 7 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: -1
23
Cal Raleigh (S) 3
61 · Connor Prielipp (LHP)
SEA @ MIN · Target Field
7:40p 🔵 C+
SHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%12.7% Avg EV86.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
7.0×
MIN Bullpen
HR/FB6.2% HR/90.47 FIP3.52 IP77.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Target Field
Weather · Target Field
cold air · strong wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp54.2°F Wind15.0 mph SE Characterin HR Modifier-5 Note54°F, wind 15 mph SE (in) — modifier: -5
Cal Raleigh — Home Run
OffConnor Prielipp Exit Velo109.9 mph Angle29.0° Distance396 ft StadiumTarget Field
24 60 · Chris Paddack (RHP)
MIA @ LAD · Dodger Stadium
10:10p 🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
8
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%15.3% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
MIA Bullpen
HR/FB8.5% HR/90.65 FIP3.45 IP82.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Dodger Stadium
Weather · Dodger Stadium
cool air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp55.7°F Wind6.9 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Note56°F, wind 7 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: -1
25
·Brandon Lowe (L) 4
59 · Dustin May (RHP)
STL @ PIT · PNC Park
6:40p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
14
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV86.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.8×
STL Bullpen
HR/FB14.0% HR/90.75 FIP4.54 IP84.5
Vulnerable Avg Tough
PNC Park
Weather · PNC Park
cold air · light crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp49.5°F Wind4.6 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier-2 Note50°F, wind 5 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: -2
26 59 · Jack Kochanowicz (RHP)
LAA @ CWS · Rate Field
7:40p 🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
3
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%14.3% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
LAA Bullpen
HR/FB14.0% HR/90.86 FIP3.98 IP83.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rate Field
Weather · Rate Field
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
27 59 · Randy Vásquez (RHP)
CHC @ SD · Petco Park
9:40p 🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
7
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%14.1% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.8×
SD Bullpen
HR/FB13.0% HR/90.57 FIP2.99 IP95.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Petco Park
Weather · Petco Park
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp56.4°F Wind4.6 mph E Characterout HR Modifier-1 Note56°F, wind 5 mph E (out) — modifier: -1
28
·Josh Jung (R) 3
59 · Max Fried (LHP)
NYY @ TEX · Globe Life Field
8:05p 🟠 C
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls44 BBE Barrel%2.9% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise BarrelYes
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
NYY Bullpen
HR/FB10.7% HR/90.73 FIP3.47 IP74.4
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Globe Life Field
Weather · Globe Life Field
warm air · steady wind out · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp74.8°F Wind13.8 mph S Characterout HR Modifier2 Note75°F, wind 14 mph S (out) — modifier: +2
29
·Andy Pages (R) 4
58 · Chris Paddack (RHP)
MIA @ LAD · Dodger Stadium
10:10p 🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
13
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%7.1% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.8×
MIA Bullpen
HR/FB8.5% HR/90.65 FIP3.45 IP82.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Dodger Stadium
Weather · Dodger Stadium
cool air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp55.7°F Wind6.9 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Note56°F, wind 7 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: -1
30 58 · Parker Messick (LHP)
TB @ CLE · Progressive Field
6:10p 🟠 C
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
11
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%12.1% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
CLE Bullpen
HR/FB17.8% HR/91.37 FIP4.12 IP85.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Progressive Field
Weather · Progressive Field
cold air · strong crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp50.7°F Wind17.3 mph SE Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Note51°F, wind 17 mph SE (cross) — modifier: -1
Jonathan Aranda — Home Run
OffParker Messick Exit Velo103.6 mph Angle26.0° Distance373 ft StadiumProgressive Field
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139 more waiting in the on-deck circle
Model Health · HR catch rate by tier
season-to-date
S 0.0%
A+ 17.2%
A 18.2%
B 20.0%
C+ 15.1%
C 12.3%
D 7.7%
Best Day
32.0%
May 29
LD 3.2.82

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