STL
@
6:40p
PIT
Park Factor
0.75×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.599
Temp
49.5°F
Wind
4.6 mph
cross
Roof
open
Dustin May
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 78 | 🟡 B | · | · | 5 | 0.259 | 97.3 | 23.5% | 31.2% | 415 | 33.3% | 37.5% | 26.4% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 25 | 0.280 | 86.5 | 12.3% | 35.3% | 390 | 5.6% | 0.0% | 21.4% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 65 | 0.174 | 90.6 | 8.6% | 16.7% | 385 | 10.0% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 70 | 0.089 | 88.5 | 9.8% | 8.3% | 405 | 8.0% | 20.0% | 7.3% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 92 | 0.132 | 91.5 | 9.4% | 10.0% | 405 | 13.6% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 25 |
| 6 |
|
Nick Yorke | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 105 | 0.094 | 90.8 | 6.0% | 0.0% | 394 | 11.1% | 14.3% | 4.9% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Konnor Griffin | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 112 | 0.092 | 86.6 | 10.2% | 9.1% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 0 |
| 8 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 114 | 0.114 | 86.3 | 1.9% | 17.6% | 380 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 30 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 8 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 143 | 0.045 | 87.3 | 1.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.2% | 35 |
Mason Montgomery
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | ❄ COLD | 21 | 0.283 | 94.8 | 21.7% | 38.1% | 413 | 15.4% | 0.0% | 15.9% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Nathan Church | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 39 | 0.238 | 84.8 | 4.7% | 41.7% | 374 | 27.3% | 30.0% | 23.7% | 30 |
| 3 |
|
Ivan Herrera | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 47 | 0.177 | 90.1 | 9.3% | 40.0% | 391 | 12.5% | 33.3% | 19.5% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Alec Burleson | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 69 | 0.147 | 92.0 | 11.3% | 11.1% | 423 | 12.5% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 38 |
| 5 |
|
Ramón Urías | 35 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 89 | 0.180 | 91.2 | 10.8% | 14.3% | 412 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 18 |
| 6 |
|
JJ Wetherholt | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 113 | 0.168 | 88.0 | 5.7% | 17.9% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.4% | 0 |
| 7 |
|
Nolan Gorman | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 121 | 0.123 | 88.1 | 5.3% | 14.3% | 405 | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 32 |
| 8 |
|
Masyn Winn | 22 | ⚪ D | · | · | 125 | 0.121 | 85.9 | 3.5% | 0.0% | 373 | 4.3% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 32 |
| 9 |
|
Victor Scott II | 4 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 144 | 0.015 | 85.6 | 0.0% | 16.7% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 18 |