⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
STL
@ 6:40p
PIT
PNC Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.75×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.599
Temp
49.5°F
Wind
4.6 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Oneil Cruz Oneil Cruz 78 🟡 B · · 5 0.259 97.3 23.5% 31.2% 415 33.3% 37.5% 26.4% 30
2 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 59 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 25 0.280 86.5 12.3% 35.3% 390 5.6% 0.0% 21.4% 31
3 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 42 ⚪ D · · 65 0.174 90.6 8.6% 16.7% 385 10.0% 14.3% 9.4% 30
4 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 40 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 70 0.089 88.5 9.8% 8.3% 405 8.0% 20.0% 7.3% 32
5 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 34 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 92 0.132 91.5 9.4% 10.0% 405 13.6% 0.0% 6.4% 25
6 Nick Yorke Nick Yorke 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 105 0.094 90.8 6.0% 0.0% 394 11.1% 14.3% 4.9% 25
7 Konnor Griffin Konnor Griffin 29 ⚪ D · · 112 0.092 86.6 10.2% 9.1% 386 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 0
8 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 29 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 114 0.114 86.3 1.9% 17.6% 380 0.0% 0.0% 9.5% 30
9 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 8 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 143 0.045 87.3 1.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.2% 35
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 63 🔵 C+ · ❄ COLD 21 0.283 94.8 21.7% 38.1% 413 15.4% 0.0% 15.9% 26
2 Nathan Church Nathan Church 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 39 0.238 84.8 4.7% 41.7% 374 27.3% 30.0% 23.7% 30
3 Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 47 0.177 90.1 9.3% 40.0% 391 12.5% 33.3% 19.5% 36
4 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 40 ⚪ D · · 69 0.147 92.0 11.3% 11.1% 423 12.5% 10.0% 6.4% 38
5 Ramón Urías Ramón Urías 35 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 89 0.180 91.2 10.8% 14.3% 412 0.0% 0.0% 8.7% 18
6 JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt 29 ⚪ D · · 113 0.168 88.0 5.7% 17.9% 396 0.0% 0.0% 10.4% 0
7 Nolan Gorman Nolan Gorman 24 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 121 0.123 88.1 5.3% 14.3% 405 8.7% 9.1% 6.0% 32
8 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 22 ⚪ D · · 125 0.121 85.9 3.5% 0.0% 373 4.3% 10.0% 5.1% 32
9 Victor Scott II Victor Scott II 4 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 144 0.015 85.6 0.0% 16.7% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 18
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