CHC
@
9:40p
SD
Park Factor
0.89×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.798
Temp
56.4°F
Wind
4.6 mph
out
Roof
open
Randy Vásquez
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ian Happ | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 16 | 0.245 | 89.7 | 15.9% | 35.7% | 397 | 29.6% | 23.1% | 26.7% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 27 | 0.224 | 90.6 | 14.1% | 17.6% | 393 | 22.2% | 30.8% | 23.7% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Seiya Suzuki | 50 | 🟠 C | · | · | 46 | 0.220 | 89.2 | 8.1% | 33.3% | 407 | 10.5% | 28.6% | 26.5% | 35 |
| 4 |
|
Nico Hoerner | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 59 | 0.167 | 85.9 | 3.1% | 8.7% | 383 | 14.8% | 23.1% | 10.4% | 51 |
| 5 |
|
Carson Kelly | 39 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 75 | 0.143 | 92.1 | 13.5% | 0.0% | 414 | 8.0% | 16.7% | 10.8% | 25 |
| 6 |
|
Matt Shaw | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 82 | 0.174 | 88.1 | 8.2% | 16.7% | 361 | 13.6% | 0.0% | 10.5% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
Michael Busch | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 94 | 0.097 | 84.1 | 6.8% | 11.8% | 398 | 7.4% | 15.4% | 6.5% | 38 |
| 8 |
|
Alex Bregman | 32 | ⚪ D | · | · | 104 | 0.122 | 90.0 | 7.7% | 27.8% | 395 | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 43 |
| 9 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 18 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 133 | 0.076 | 90.6 | 5.8% | 6.7% | 389 | 3.8% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 31 |
Matthew Boyd
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ramón Laureano | 48 | ⚪ D | · | · | 49 | 0.204 | 89.6 | 15.4% | 0.0% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 58 | 0.217 | 88.8 | 10.5% | 25.0% | 410 | 4.8% | 0.0% | 13.0% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 80 | 0.145 | 88.6 | 12.7% | 15.0% | 399 | 13.6% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Xander Bogaerts | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 83 | 0.145 | 90.2 | 7.5% | 0.0% | 385 | 13.6% | 20.0% | 8.2% | 30 |
| 5 |
|
Manny Machado | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 86 | 0.154 | 87.4 | 4.8% | 28.6% | 384 | 13.6% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Fernando Tatis Jr. | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 118 | 0.040 | 93.7 | 13.2% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Miguel Andujar | 18 | ⚪ D | · | · | 134 | 0.132 | 90.1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 19 |
| 8 |
|
Jake Cronenworth | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 137 | 0.059 | 88.8 | 5.1% | 10.0% | 399 | 4.5% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
Freddy Fermin | 11 | ⚪ D | · | · | 141 | 0.070 | 88.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 9 |