⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
SEA
@ 7:40p
MIN
Target Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.84×
Weather Mod
-5.0%
cold air · strong wind in · roof open
Combined
0.422
Temp
54.2°F
Wind
15.0 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Luke Raley Luke Raley 77 🟡 B · · 7 0.269 94.0 22.7% 35.7% 392 18.2% 18.2% 19.9% 20
2 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 61 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 23 0.194 86.1 12.7% 14.3% 387 23.1% 30.8% 16.0% 40
3 Cole Young Cole Young 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 84 0.139 87.3 5.7% 50.0% 381 11.5% 7.7% 7.9% 37
4 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 35 ⚪ D · · 90 0.134 89.4 8.0% 12.5% 387 3.8% 7.7% 6.3% 38
5 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 91 0.080 87.8 5.3% 37.5% 426 9.1% 9.1% 8.2% 40
6 J.P. Crawford 34 ⚪ D · · 93 0.085 88.9 10.6% 9.1% 369 4.0% 8.3% 4.7% 38
7 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 33 ⚪ D · · 99 0.109 87.1 6.4% 17.6% 405 10.0% 10.0% 8.9% 34
8 Brendan Donovan Brendan Donovan 33 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 101 0.214 83.8 4.4% 33.3% 348 10.0% 0.0% 9.6% 13
9 Leo Rivas Leo Rivas 21 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 127 0.044 86.4 2.4% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.0% 24
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 64 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 19 0.200 88.3 15.7% 26.3% 408 16.7% 40.0% 20.8% 34
2 Ryan Jeffers Ryan Jeffers 56 🟠 C · · 35 0.194 92.0 14.9% 27.3% 394 13.6% 22.2% 19.0% 25
3 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 44 ⚪ D · · 60 0.195 89.6 4.8% 22.2% 371 20.8% 27.3% 18.5% 37
4 Josh Bell Josh Bell 32 ⚪ D · · 103 0.149 88.3 8.6% 15.4% 392 0.0% 0.0% 7.9% 40
5 Matt Wallner Matt Wallner 30 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 110 0.123 89.7 8.7% 30.0% 413 13.0% 0.0% 7.8% 22
6 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 27 ⚪ D · · 116 0.111 87.2 7.7% 11.1% 398 4.5% 0.0% 6.5% 19
7 Austin Martin Austin Martin 26 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 117 0.128 85.8 4.8% 11.1% 406 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 19
8 Victor Caratini Victor Caratini 20 ⚪ D · · 129 0.056 88.1 4.9% 16.7% 423 4.3% 12.5% 6.9% 22
9 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 15 ⚪ D · · 138 0.056 85.2 3.5% 13.3% 367 4.2% 0.0% 6.6% 38
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