SEA
@
7:40p
MIN
Park Factor
0.84×
Weather Mod
-5.0%
cold air · strong wind in · roof open
Combined
0.422
Temp
54.2°F
Wind
15.0 mph
in
Roof
open
Connor Prielipp
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Luke Raley | 77 | 🟡 B | · | · | 7 | 0.269 | 94.0 | 22.7% | 35.7% | 392 | 18.2% | 18.2% | 19.9% | 20 |
| 2 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 23 | 0.194 | 86.1 | 12.7% | 14.3% | 387 | 23.1% | 30.8% | 16.0% | 40 |
| 3 |
|
Cole Young | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 84 | 0.139 | 87.3 | 5.7% | 50.0% | 381 | 11.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 37 |
| 4 |
|
Randy Arozarena | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 90 | 0.134 | 89.4 | 8.0% | 12.5% | 387 | 3.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 38 |
| 5 |
|
Julio Rodríguez | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 91 | 0.080 | 87.8 | 5.3% | 37.5% | 426 | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 40 |
| 6 | J.P. Crawford | 34 | ⚪ D | · | · | 93 | 0.085 | 88.9 | 10.6% | 9.1% | 369 | 4.0% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 38 | |
| 7 |
|
Josh Naylor | 33 | ⚪ D | · | · | 99 | 0.109 | 87.1 | 6.4% | 17.6% | 405 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 34 |
| 8 |
|
Brendan Donovan | 33 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 101 | 0.214 | 83.8 | 4.4% | 33.3% | 348 | 10.0% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 13 |
| 9 |
|
Leo Rivas | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 127 | 0.044 | 86.4 | 2.4% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.0% | 24 |
Luis Castillo
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Byron Buxton | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 19 | 0.200 | 88.3 | 15.7% | 26.3% | 408 | 16.7% | 40.0% | 20.8% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Ryan Jeffers | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 35 | 0.194 | 92.0 | 14.9% | 27.3% | 394 | 13.6% | 22.2% | 19.0% | 25 |
| 3 |
|
Brooks Lee | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 60 | 0.195 | 89.6 | 4.8% | 22.2% | 371 | 20.8% | 27.3% | 18.5% | 37 |
| 4 |
|
Josh Bell | 32 | ⚪ D | · | · | 103 | 0.149 | 88.3 | 8.6% | 15.4% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 40 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Wallner | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 110 | 0.123 | 89.7 | 8.7% | 30.0% | 413 | 13.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 22 |
| 6 |
|
Trevor Larnach | 27 | ⚪ D | · | · | 116 | 0.111 | 87.2 | 7.7% | 11.1% | 398 | 4.5% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 19 |
| 7 |
|
Austin Martin | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 117 | 0.128 | 85.8 | 4.8% | 11.1% | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 19 |
| 8 |
|
Victor Caratini | 20 | ⚪ D | · | · | 129 | 0.056 | 88.1 | 4.9% | 16.7% | 423 | 4.3% | 12.5% | 6.9% | 22 |
| 9 |
|
Luke Keaschall | 15 | ⚪ D | · | · | 138 | 0.056 | 85.2 | 3.5% | 13.3% | 367 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 38 |