BOS
@
7:07p
TOR
Park Factor
1.08×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
1.076
Wind
0 mph
dome
Dylan Cease
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 14 | 0.210 | 91.5 | 14.3% | 25.0% | 398 | 20.8% | 27.3% | 24.2% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 55 | 🟠 C | · | · | 38 | 0.183 | 90.4 | 12.0% | 21.7% | 380 | 16.7% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Roman Anthony | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 63 | 0.096 | 92.7 | 10.9% | 7.7% | 391 | 4.8% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 19 |
| 4 |
|
Marcelo Mayer | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 72 | 0.134 | 87.9 | 11.8% | 0.0% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Jarren Duran | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 78 | 0.089 | 89.6 | 12.1% | 12.5% | 424 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 79 | 0.126 | 88.0 | 6.7% | 22.2% | 337 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 33 |
| 7 |
|
Carlos Narváez | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 87 | 0.087 | 93.2 | 7.3% | 9.1% | 383 | 12.5% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 14 |
| 8 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 95 | 0.101 | 87.0 | 1.5% | 20.0% | · | 4.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 35 |
| 9 |
|
Trevor Story | 32 | ⚪ D | · | · | 102 | 0.099 | 89.2 | 4.2% | 14.3% | 407 | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 29 |
Ranger Suarez
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jesús Sánchez | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 20 | 0.190 | 93.1 | 9.8% | 23.5% | 415 | 23.1% | 20.0% | 19.0% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Kazuma Okamoto | 53 | 🟠 C | · | · | 40 | 0.177 | 91.8 | 12.3% | 38.5% | 414 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.6% | 0 |
| 3 |
|
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 50 | 🟠 C | · | · | 44 | 0.120 | 92.4 | 12.5% | 28.6% | 434 | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 40 |
| 4 |
|
George Springer | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 48 | 0.185 | 88.9 | 10.0% | 0.0% | 389 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 10.4% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Davis Schneider | 46 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 55 | 0.116 | 91.8 | 17.4% | 11.1% | 366 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 13 |
| 6 |
|
Daulton Varsho | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 67 | 0.149 | 85.2 | 6.1% | 18.8% | 388 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 26 |
| 7 |
|
Andrés Giménez | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 73 | 0.181 | 87.0 | 3.8% | 13.0% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.4% | 33 |
| 8 |
|
Ernie Clement | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 109 | 0.117 | 87.2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 44 |
| 9 |
|
Nathan Lukes | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 111 | 0.077 | 86.9 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 24 |