⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
BOS
@ 7:07p
TOR
Rogers Centre · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.08×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
1.076
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 68 🔵 C+ · · 14 0.210 91.5 14.3% 25.0% 398 20.8% 27.3% 24.2% 25
2 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 55 🟠 C · · 38 0.183 90.4 12.0% 21.7% 380 16.7% 10.0% 12.3% 38
3 Roman Anthony Roman Anthony 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 63 0.096 92.7 10.9% 7.7% 391 4.8% 0.0% 7.1% 19
4 Marcelo Mayer Marcelo Mayer 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 72 0.134 87.9 11.8% 0.0% 385 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 26
5 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 38 ⚪ D · · 78 0.089 89.6 12.1% 12.5% 424 0.0% 0.0% 7.6% 33
6 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 79 0.126 88.0 6.7% 22.2% 337 4.3% 0.0% 8.5% 33
7 Carlos Narváez Carlos Narváez 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 87 0.087 93.2 7.3% 9.1% 383 12.5% 14.3% 10.4% 14
8 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 95 0.101 87.0 1.5% 20.0% · 4.2% 10.0% 8.1% 35
9 Trevor Story Trevor Story 32 ⚪ D · · 102 0.099 89.2 4.2% 14.3% 407 8.3% 10.0% 7.8% 29
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jesús Sánchez Jesús Sánchez 63 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 20 0.190 93.1 9.8% 23.5% 415 23.1% 20.0% 19.0% 32
2 Kazuma Okamoto Kazuma Okamoto 53 🟠 C · · 40 0.177 91.8 12.3% 38.5% 414 0.0% 0.0% 19.6% 0
3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 50 🟠 C · · 44 0.120 92.4 12.5% 28.6% 434 7.7% 9.1% 11.7% 40
4 George Springer George Springer 48 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 48 0.185 88.9 10.0% 0.0% 389 9.1% 0.0% 10.4% 29
5 Davis Schneider Davis Schneider 46 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 55 0.116 91.8 17.4% 11.1% 366 0.0% 0.0% 9.6% 13
6 Daulton Varsho Daulton Varsho 40 ⚪ D · · 67 0.149 85.2 6.1% 18.8% 388 7.1% 0.0% 11.1% 26
7 Andrés Giménez Andrés Giménez 39 ⚪ D · · 73 0.181 87.0 3.8% 13.0% 386 0.0% 0.0% 12.4% 33
8 Ernie Clement Ernie Clement 30 ⚪ D · · 109 0.117 87.2 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 44
9 Nathan Lukes Nathan Lukes 29 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 111 0.077 86.9 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.6% 24
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