⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
NYY
@ 8:05p
TEX
Globe Life Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.88×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
warm air · steady wind out · retractable roof
Combined
1.061
Temp
74.8°F
Wind
13.8 mph
out
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Aaron Judge Aaron Judge 84 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 2 0.330 92.2 24.6% 35.7% 407 25.0% 27.3% 24.2% 30
2 Ben Rice Ben Rice 84 🟢 A · · 3 0.407 95.5 21.6% 37.5% 391 30.4% 45.5% 30.3% 30
3 Giancarlo Stanton Giancarlo Stanton 68 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 15 0.166 94.1 18.0% 15.4% 410 22.2% 25.0% 12.6% 24
4 Trent Grisham Trent Grisham 48 ⚪ D · · 51 0.186 91.2 10.3% 20.0% 372 8.7% 18.2% 19.4% 27
5 Ryan McMahon Ryan McMahon 46 ⚪ D · · 57 0.097 93.9 12.1% 18.2% 354 22.2% 25.0% 13.1% 20
6 Cody Bellinger Cody Bellinger 37 ⚪ D · · 85 0.146 88.3 7.7% 8.7% 384 8.7% 10.0% 8.0% 37
7 José Caballero José Caballero 33 ⚪ D · · 100 0.146 84.5 3.1% 9.1% 354 16.7% 20.0% 9.1% 40
8 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 32 ⚪ D · · 106 0.114 88.6 5.1% 7.7% 363 8.7% 20.0% 10.7% 25
9 Austin Wells Austin Wells 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 115 0.109 91.5 6.3% 18.2% 396 10.0% 12.5% 7.8% 24
Max Fried
Max Fried LHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Josh Jung Josh Jung 59 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 28 0.252 91.0 2.9% 20.0% 373 17.4% 40.0% 18.8% 44
2 Corey Seager Corey Seager 52 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 41 0.220 90.4 15.2% 30.0% 402 22.7% 11.1% 10.5% 36
3 Brandon Nimmo Brandon Nimmo 47 ⚪ D · · 54 0.184 90.8 12.3% 19.1% 396 13.0% 10.0% 6.8% 41
4 Evan Carter Evan Carter 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 71 0.159 90.2 10.2% 14.3% 381 22.2% 12.5% 5.5% 32
5 Jake Burger Jake Burger 39 ⚪ D · · 76 0.171 88.5 9.5% 26.3% 404 8.7% 0.0% 14.2% 36
6 Wyatt Langford Wyatt Langford 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 124 0.125 90.8 4.9% 7.7% 365 5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 21
7 Danny Jansen Danny Jansen 19 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 130 0.111 87.2 5.3% 37.5% 409 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 17
8 Josh Smith Josh Smith 15 ⚪ D · · 135 0.026 88.0 6.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 3.3% 24
9 Joc Pederson Joc Pederson 15 ⚪ D · · 136 0.065 93.2 0.0% 6.2% 361 0.0% 0.0% 4.0% 18
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