NYY
@
8:05p
TEX
Park Factor
0.88×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
warm air · steady wind out · retractable roof
Combined
1.061
Temp
74.8°F
Wind
13.8 mph
out
Roof
retractable
Jack Leiter
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Aaron Judge | 84 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 2 | 0.330 | 92.2 | 24.6% | 35.7% | 407 | 25.0% | 27.3% | 24.2% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Ben Rice | 84 | 🟢 A | · | · | 3 | 0.407 | 95.5 | 21.6% | 37.5% | 391 | 30.4% | 45.5% | 30.3% | 30 |
| 3 |
|
Giancarlo Stanton | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 15 | 0.166 | 94.1 | 18.0% | 15.4% | 410 | 22.2% | 25.0% | 12.6% | 24 |
| 4 |
|
Trent Grisham | 48 | ⚪ D | · | · | 51 | 0.186 | 91.2 | 10.3% | 20.0% | 372 | 8.7% | 18.2% | 19.4% | 27 |
| 5 |
|
Ryan McMahon | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 57 | 0.097 | 93.9 | 12.1% | 18.2% | 354 | 22.2% | 25.0% | 13.1% | 20 |
| 6 |
|
Cody Bellinger | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 85 | 0.146 | 88.3 | 7.7% | 8.7% | 384 | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 37 |
| 7 |
|
José Caballero | 33 | ⚪ D | · | · | 100 | 0.146 | 84.5 | 3.1% | 9.1% | 354 | 16.7% | 20.0% | 9.1% | 40 |
| 8 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 32 | ⚪ D | · | · | 106 | 0.114 | 88.6 | 5.1% | 7.7% | 363 | 8.7% | 20.0% | 10.7% | 25 | |
| 9 |
|
Austin Wells | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 115 | 0.109 | 91.5 | 6.3% | 18.2% | 396 | 10.0% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 24 |
Max Fried
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Josh Jung | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 28 | 0.252 | 91.0 | 2.9% | 20.0% | 373 | 17.4% | 40.0% | 18.8% | 44 |
| 2 |
|
Corey Seager | 52 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 41 | 0.220 | 90.4 | 15.2% | 30.0% | 402 | 22.7% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Brandon Nimmo | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 54 | 0.184 | 90.8 | 12.3% | 19.1% | 396 | 13.0% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 41 |
| 4 |
|
Evan Carter | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 71 | 0.159 | 90.2 | 10.2% | 14.3% | 381 | 22.2% | 12.5% | 5.5% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Jake Burger | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 76 | 0.171 | 88.5 | 9.5% | 26.3% | 404 | 8.7% | 0.0% | 14.2% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Wyatt Langford | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 124 | 0.125 | 90.8 | 4.9% | 7.7% | 365 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 5.0% | 21 |
| 7 |
|
Danny Jansen | 19 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 130 | 0.111 | 87.2 | 5.3% | 37.5% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 17 |
| 8 |
|
Josh Smith | 15 | ⚪ D | · | · | 135 | 0.026 | 88.0 | 6.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.3% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
Joc Pederson | 15 | ⚪ D | · | · | 136 | 0.065 | 93.2 | 0.0% | 6.2% | 361 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.0% | 18 |