⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
TB
@ 6:10p
CLE
Progressive Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.00×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cold air · strong crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.898
Temp
50.7°F
Wind
17.3 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 José Ramírez José Ramírez 72 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 10 0.228 90.4 12.2% 33.3% 392 18.2% 20.0% 37.4% 36
2 Daniel Schneemann Daniel Schneemann 70 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 11 0.243 90.0 12.2% 23.1% 399 11.5% 27.3% 19.4% 18
3 Angel Martínez Angel Martínez 70 🟡 B · · 12 0.241 88.9 11.9% 28.6% 391 20.0% 22.2% 34.5% 30
4 Chase DeLauter Chase DeLauter 50 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 45 0.245 89.4 10.7% 27.8% 381 0.0% 0.0% 12.5% 38
5 Bo Naylor Bo Naylor 43 ⚪ D · · 62 0.065 89.8 11.4% 6.7% 397 8.0% 22.2% 5.0% 21
6 Rhys Hoskins Rhys Hoskins 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 68 0.121 89.5 10.3% 20.0% 411 4.3% 0.0% 10.0% 18
7 Brayan Rocchio Brayan Rocchio 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 97 0.133 86.3 2.7% 33.3% 379 8.3% 11.1% 12.3% 38
8 Kyle Manzardo Kyle Manzardo 31 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 108 0.064 88.9 8.5% 9.1% 454 3.8% 0.0% 5.3% 21
9 Steven Kwan Steven Kwan 18 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 132 0.059 82.0 1.1% 5.3% 381 3.7% 0.0% 4.8% 40
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 69 🔵 C+ · · 13 0.250 91.6 12.0% 38.1% 407 29.2% 45.5% 31.3% 47
2 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 58 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 30 0.227 92.3 12.1% 20.0% 396 17.4% 20.0% 19.7% 24
3 Jonny DeLuca Jonny DeLuca 39 ⚪ D · · 74 0.196 88.7 6.7% 33.3% 416 0.0% 0.0% 12.9% 21
4 Yandy Díaz Yandy Díaz 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 88 0.163 89.6 4.8% 23.5% 368 13.3% 9.1% 10.4% 40
5 Cedric Mullins Cedric Mullins 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 119 0.115 88.3 3.2% 0.0% 385 7.1% 10.0% 4.3% 29
6 Ben Williamson Ben Williamson 24 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 120 0.096 86.2 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 21
7 Nick Fortes Nick Fortes 20 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 128 0.116 88.6 1.8% 12.5% 408 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 23
8 Taylor Walls Taylor Walls 12 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 139 0.038 82.5 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 23
9 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 11 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 140 0.037 83.2 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.2% 47
🏟️

Unlock the full game board

See every batter in this game, both pitcher groups, all HR profile signals, and the matchup context that drives the slate.

15 more waiting in the on-deck circle
LD 3.2.82

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.