⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
LAA
@ 4:10p
KC
Kauffman Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.96×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.960
Temp
62.7°F
Wind
9.2 mph
cross
Roof
open
Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo RHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Mike Trout Mike Trout 80 🟢 A · · 14 0.298 91.3 24.6% 30.0% 420 20.8% 27.3% 21.7% 34
2 Oswald Peraza Oswald Peraza 60 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 59 0.216 88.7 11.3% 40.0% 378 20.0% 20.0% 18.6% 29
3 Jorge Soler Jorge Soler 56 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 75 0.223 89.3 11.8% 50.0% 390 17.4% 0.0% 13.0% 21
4 Zach Neto Zach Neto 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 119 0.191 89.4 11.3% 17.4% 397 16.7% 0.0% 8.4% 30
5 Yoán Moncada Yoán Moncada 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 120 0.157 90.7 7.5% 20.0% 373 12.5% 14.3% 14.9% 20
6 Jo Adell Jo Adell 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 154 0.124 90.8 4.6% 0.0% 404 12.5% 18.2% 5.0% 43
7 Josh Lowe Josh Lowe 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 155 0.154 86.2 6.7% 16.7% 365 11.1% 12.5% 8.3% 22
8 Nolan Schanuel Nolan Schanuel 29 ⚪ D · · 216 0.132 86.9 2.4% 16.7% 364 12.5% 9.1% 7.1% 39
9 Logan O'Hoppe Logan O'Hoppe 25 ⚪ D · · 231 0.051 87.6 9.3% 11.1% 427 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 26
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Carter Jensen Carter Jensen 66 🔵 C+ · · 45 0.256 90.9 13.5% 31.6% 387 36.4% 22.2% 23.5% 32
2 Vinnie Pasquantino Vinnie Pasquantino 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 121 0.134 89.2 8.1% 13.0% 391 12.5% 30.0% 13.5% 35
3 Michael Massey Michael Massey 44 ⚪ D · · 129 0.190 91.8 11.1% 6.7% 412 0.0% 0.0% 10.3% 27
4 Salvador Perez Salvador Perez 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 145 0.147 88.1 9.5% 20.0% 395 20.0% 18.2% 9.5% 32
5 Bobby Witt Jr. 32 ⚪ D · · 196 0.087 92.4 11.3% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.6% 38
6 Starling Marte Starling Marte 29 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 214 0.128 89.4 10.5% 12.5% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 12
7 Nick Loftin Nick Loftin 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 234 0.118 85.4 6.7% 12.5% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 11
8 Isaac Collins Isaac Collins 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 248 0.062 86.6 7.9% 10.0% 400 4.8% 0.0% 5.8% 16
9 Lane Thomas Lane Thomas 22 ⚪ D · · 249 0.022 85.5 0.0% 0.0% · 20.0% 25.0% 4.9% 21
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