⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
MIN
@ 1:40p
TB
Tropicana Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.99×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.990
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 79 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 15 0.260 91.6 12.0% 33.3% 407 30.4% 45.5% 30.8% 46
2 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 67 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 42 0.236 92.3 12.1% 22.2% 396 18.2% 20.0% 30.9% 22
3 Jake Fraley Jake Fraley 60 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 58 0.200 86.0 8.6% 15.4% 398 12.5% 16.7% 23.2% 14
4 Cedric Mullins Cedric Mullins 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 191 0.120 88.3 3.2% 13.3% 385 7.7% 10.0% 8.8% 29
5 Yandy Díaz Yandy Díaz 32 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 198 0.138 89.6 4.8% 14.3% 368 7.1% 0.0% 8.0% 40
6 Ben Williamson Ben Williamson 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 205 0.101 86.2 0.0% 11.1% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 19
7 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 19 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 260 0.039 83.2 0.0% 14.3% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.9% 47
8 Taylor Walls Taylor Walls 17 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 262 0.020 82.5 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 25
9 Hunter Feduccia Hunter Feduccia 15 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 268 0.000 86.9 0.0% 26.3% · 0.0% 0.0% 12.5% 9
Griffin Jax
Griffin Jax RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ryan Jeffers Ryan Jeffers 70 🟡 B · · 34 0.203 92.0 14.9% 27.3% 394 14.3% 25.0% 29.7% 22
2 Royce Lewis Royce Lewis 65 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 46 0.211 89.8 12.9% 37.5% 382 16.7% 20.0% 32.1% 10
3 Kody Clemens Kody Clemens 54 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 84 0.151 92.0 17.1% 15.4% 404 0.0% 0.0% 11.2% 22
4 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 49 ⚪ D · · 101 0.167 89.6 4.8% 22.2% 371 17.4% 20.0% 14.9% 37
5 Josh Bell Josh Bell 44 ⚪ D · · 128 0.156 88.3 8.6% 15.4% 392 0.0% 0.0% 11.7% 38
6 Matt Wallner Matt Wallner 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 142 0.128 89.7 8.7% 33.3% 413 13.6% 0.0% 11.2% 21
7 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 39 ⚪ D · · 163 0.118 87.2 7.7% 11.1% 398 4.8% 0.0% 9.2% 20
8 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 27 ⚪ D · · 223 0.059 85.2 3.5% 13.3% 367 4.3% 0.0% 9.5% 37
9 James Outman James Outman 23 ⚪ D · · 245 0.081 84.2 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 10.8% 6
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