⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
SD
@ 4:05p
AZ
Estadio Alfredo Harp Helu · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.00×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
Unknown stadium
Combined
1.000
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 64 🔵 C+ · · 49 0.298 87.3 8.2% 45.5% 402 18.2% 20.0% 24.1% 37
2 Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll 62 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 54 0.277 90.3 12.3% 18.2% 401 14.3% 14.3% 11.9% 25
3 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 55 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 81 0.159 83.9 7.6% 23.1% 398 14.3% 30.0% 18.9% 32
4 Alek Thomas Alek Thomas 47 ⚪ D · · 109 0.197 90.9 7.5% 8.3% 415 9.1% 10.0% 8.2% 21
5 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 117 0.150 92.9 10.4% 26.7% 411 0.0% 0.0% 11.2% 29
6 Jorge Barrosa Jorge Barrosa 44 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 132 0.207 85.6 7.9% 16.7% 351 9.1% 10.0% 10.9% 18
7 Adrian Del Castillo Adrian Del Castillo 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 150 0.131 87.5 6.5% 14.3% 420 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% 20
8 Jose Fernandez Jose Fernandez 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 162 0.125 89.6 5.9% 37.5% 409 0.0% 0.0% 9.5% 26
9 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 232 0.143 86.8 2.7% 11.1% 398 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 27
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ramón Laureano Ramón Laureano 60 🔵 C+ · · 57 0.213 89.6 15.4% 25.0% 396 0.0% 0.0% 14.8% 27
2 Gavin Sheets Gavin Sheets 56 🟠 C · · 74 0.228 88.8 10.5% 33.3% 410 5.0% 0.0% 18.7% 26
3 Jackson Merrill Jackson Merrill 52 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 91 0.153 88.6 12.7% 15.8% 399 14.3% 10.0% 10.8% 27
4 Xander Bogaerts Xander Bogaerts 49 ⚪ D · · 99 0.150 90.2 7.5% 26.7% 385 14.3% 20.0% 15.1% 28
5 Manny Machado Manny Machado 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 179 0.093 87.4 4.8% 16.7% 384 9.5% 0.0% 7.9% 32
6 Fernando Tatis Jr. Fernando Tatis Jr. 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 182 0.042 93.7 13.2% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% 28
7 Miguel Andujar Miguel Andujar 31 ⚪ D · · 203 0.123 90.1 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 16
8 Jake Cronenworth Jake Cronenworth 29 ⚪ D · · 213 0.062 88.8 5.1% 9.1% 399 4.8% 0.0% 8.5% 20
9 Freddy Fermin Freddy Fermin 25 ⚪ D · · 230 0.070 88.3 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 12
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