SD
@
4:05p
AZ
Park Factor
1.00×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
Unknown stadium
Combined
1.000
Michael King
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ildemaro Vargas | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 49 | 0.298 | 87.3 | 8.2% | 45.5% | 402 | 18.2% | 20.0% | 24.1% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
Corbin Carroll | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 54 | 0.277 | 90.3 | 12.3% | 18.2% | 401 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 25 |
| 3 |
|
Nolan Arenado | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 81 | 0.159 | 83.9 | 7.6% | 23.1% | 398 | 14.3% | 30.0% | 18.9% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Alek Thomas | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 109 | 0.197 | 90.9 | 7.5% | 8.3% | 415 | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 21 |
| 5 |
|
Ketel Marte | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 117 | 0.150 | 92.9 | 10.4% | 26.7% | 411 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.2% | 29 |
| 6 |
|
Jorge Barrosa | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 132 | 0.207 | 85.6 | 7.9% | 16.7% | 351 | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
Adrian Del Castillo | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 150 | 0.131 | 87.5 | 6.5% | 14.3% | 420 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 20 |
| 8 |
|
Jose Fernandez | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 162 | 0.125 | 89.6 | 5.9% | 37.5% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 26 |
| 9 |
|
Geraldo Perdomo | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 232 | 0.143 | 86.8 | 2.7% | 11.1% | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 27 |
Ryne Nelson
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ramón Laureano | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 57 | 0.213 | 89.6 | 15.4% | 25.0% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.8% | 27 |
| 2 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 74 | 0.228 | 88.8 | 10.5% | 33.3% | 410 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 18.7% | 26 |
| 3 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 91 | 0.153 | 88.6 | 12.7% | 15.8% | 399 | 14.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Xander Bogaerts | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 99 | 0.150 | 90.2 | 7.5% | 26.7% | 385 | 14.3% | 20.0% | 15.1% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
Manny Machado | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 179 | 0.093 | 87.4 | 4.8% | 16.7% | 384 | 9.5% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Fernando Tatis Jr. | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 182 | 0.042 | 93.7 | 13.2% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Miguel Andujar | 31 | ⚪ D | · | · | 203 | 0.123 | 90.1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 16 |
| 8 |
|
Jake Cronenworth | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 213 | 0.062 | 88.8 | 5.1% | 9.1% | 399 | 4.8% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 20 |
| 9 |
|
Freddy Fermin | 25 | ⚪ D | · | · | 230 | 0.070 | 88.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 12 |