⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
CHC
@ 4:10p
LAD
Dodger Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.32×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.056
Temp
53.3°F
Wind
5.8 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ian Happ Ian Happ 77 🟡 B · · 17 0.255 89.7 15.9% 25.0% 397 30.8% 25.0% 26.8% 35
2 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 71 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 32 0.233 90.6 14.1% 37.5% 393 23.1% 33.3% 29.7% 36
3 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 63 🔵 C+ · · 51 0.237 89.2 8.1% 33.3% 407 11.1% 33.3% 26.7% 36
4 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 54 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 83 0.152 92.1 13.5% 33.3% 414 8.3% 18.2% 16.4% 25
5 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 88 0.173 85.9 3.1% 33.3% 383 15.4% 25.0% 14.5% 53
6 Matt Shaw Matt Shaw 50 🟠 C · · 97 0.183 88.1 8.2% 28.6% 361 14.3% 0.0% 11.7% 17
7 Michael Busch Michael Busch 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 126 0.089 84.1 6.8% 12.5% 398 7.7% 16.7% 7.7% 37
8 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 149 0.125 90.0 7.7% 16.7% 395 8.3% 10.0% 7.6% 44
9 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 212 0.079 90.6 5.8% 0.0% 389 4.0% 0.0% 5.4% 30
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Max Muncy Max Muncy 69 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 35 0.163 92.2 17.7% 40.0% 412 25.6% 31.6% 26.0% 55
2 Shohei Ohtani Shohei Ohtani 68 🔵 C+ · · 38 0.190 94.1 22.1% 25.0% 403 8.3% 0.0% 18.9% 33
3 Freddie Freeman Freddie Freeman 57 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 69 0.180 92.4 15.3% 20.0% 412 8.7% 0.0% 16.8% 36
4 Teoscar Hernández Teoscar Hernández 56 🟠 C · · 71 0.180 89.5 12.1% 25.0% 387 8.3% 9.1% 14.9% 26
5 Andy Pages Andy Pages 52 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 90 0.214 90.1 7.1% 29.4% 392 16.7% 8.3% 18.7% 37
6 Will Smith Will Smith 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 92 0.126 89.1 10.8% 0.0% 406 13.0% 9.1% 6.6% 29
7 Kyle Tucker Kyle Tucker 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 104 0.128 88.0 6.8% 20.0% 404 4.3% 9.1% 12.9% 38
8 Alex Freeland Alex Freeland 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 138 0.104 89.5 9.5% 10.0% 413 0.0% 0.0% 9.0% 20
9 Hyeseong Kim Hyeseong Kim 34 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 185 0.119 87.3 7.1% 12.5% 372 0.0% 0.0% 10.7% 24
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