SEA
@
2:15p
STL
Park Factor
0.93×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.930
Temp
63.1°F
Wind
1.0 mph
out
Roof
open
Michael McGreevy
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Luke Raley | 82 | 🟢 A | · | · | 11 | 0.280 | 94.0 | 22.7% | 38.5% | 392 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 29.3% | 22 |
| 2 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 41 | 0.258 | 95.0 | 17.8% | 22.2% | 409 | 5.6% | 0.0% | 15.3% | 21 |
| 3 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 60 | 0.174 | 86.1 | 12.7% | 12.9% | 387 | 20.0% | 25.0% | 14.4% | 40 |
| 4 |
|
Cole Young | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 156 | 0.143 | 87.3 | 5.7% | 10.5% | 381 | 12.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Randy Arozarena | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 164 | 0.139 | 89.4 | 8.0% | 15.4% | 387 | 4.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 41 |
| 6 | J.P. Crawford | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 173 | 0.091 | 88.9 | 10.6% | 0.0% | 369 | 4.2% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 36 | |
| 7 |
|
Julio Rodríguez | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 175 | 0.083 | 87.8 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 426 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 40 |
| 8 |
|
Connor Joe | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 188 | 0.167 | 87.7 | 4.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 5 |
| 9 |
|
Leo Rivas | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 242 | 0.046 | 86.4 | 2.4% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.8% | 22 |
Emerson Hancock
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker | 76 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 21 | 0.289 | 94.8 | 21.7% | 33.3% | 413 | 16.7% | 11.1% | 29.8% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Nathan Church | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 76 | 0.206 | 84.8 | 4.7% | 50.0% | 374 | 20.0% | 22.2% | 30.9% | 26 |
| 3 |
|
Iván Herrera | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 80 | 0.172 | 90.1 | 9.3% | 21.4% | 391 | 12.5% | 20.0% | 21.1% | 37 |
| 4 |
|
Alec Burleson | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 100 | 0.153 | 92.0 | 11.3% | 11.8% | 423 | 13.0% | 20.0% | 10.7% | 38 |
| 5 |
|
Ramón Urías | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 141 | 0.192 | 91.2 | 10.8% | 10.0% | 412 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.9% | 18 |
| 6 |
|
JJ Wetherholt | 32 | ⚪ D | · | · | 199 | 0.145 | 88.0 | 5.7% | 16.0% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.5% | 0 |
| 7 |
|
Nolan Gorman | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 206 | 0.129 | 88.1 | 5.3% | 14.3% | 405 | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 32 |
| 8 |
|
Masyn Winn | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 215 | 0.127 | 85.9 | 3.5% | 11.1% | 373 | 4.5% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 30 |
| 9 |
|
Victor Scott II | 10 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 274 | 0.015 | 85.6 | 0.0% | 16.7% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 18 |