⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
SEA
@ 2:15p
STL
Busch Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.93×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.930
Temp
63.1°F
Wind
1.0 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Luke Raley Luke Raley 82 🟢 A · · 11 0.280 94.0 22.7% 38.5% 392 20.0% 20.0% 29.3% 22
2 Dominic Canzone Dominic Canzone 67 🔵 C+ · · 41 0.258 95.0 17.8% 22.2% 409 5.6% 0.0% 15.3% 21
3 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 60 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 60 0.174 86.1 12.7% 12.9% 387 20.0% 25.0% 14.4% 40
4 Cole Young Cole Young 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 156 0.143 87.3 5.7% 10.5% 381 12.0% 8.3% 7.5% 37
5 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 39 ⚪ D · · 164 0.139 89.4 8.0% 15.4% 387 4.0% 8.3% 8.4% 41
6 J.P. Crawford 37 ⚪ D · · 173 0.091 88.9 10.6% 0.0% 369 4.2% 9.1% 6.1% 36
7 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 175 0.083 87.8 5.3% 0.0% 426 10.0% 10.0% 6.0% 40
8 Connor Joe Connor Joe 34 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 188 0.167 87.7 4.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 10.3% 5
9 Leo Rivas Leo Rivas 24 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 242 0.046 86.4 2.4% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 22
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 76 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 21 0.289 94.8 21.7% 33.3% 413 16.7% 11.1% 29.8% 28
2 Nathan Church Nathan Church 56 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 76 0.206 84.8 4.7% 50.0% 374 20.0% 22.2% 30.9% 26
3 Iván Herrera Iván Herrera 55 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 80 0.172 90.1 9.3% 21.4% 391 12.5% 20.0% 21.1% 37
4 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 49 ⚪ D · · 100 0.153 92.0 11.3% 11.8% 423 13.0% 20.0% 10.7% 38
5 Ramón Urías Ramón Urías 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 141 0.192 91.2 10.8% 10.0% 412 0.0% 0.0% 11.9% 18
6 JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt 32 ⚪ D · · 199 0.145 88.0 5.7% 16.0% 396 0.0% 0.0% 12.5% 0
7 Nolan Gorman Nolan Gorman 31 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 206 0.129 88.1 5.3% 14.3% 405 9.1% 9.1% 9.0% 32
8 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 29 ⚪ D · · 215 0.127 85.9 3.5% 11.1% 373 4.5% 11.1% 8.2% 30
9 Victor Scott II Victor Scott II 10 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 274 0.015 85.6 0.0% 16.7% · 0.0% 0.0% 9.0% 18
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