3
HRs allowed
11.1%
HR rate (pool)
25.4%
Overall HR/FB
8.34
FIP
5.57
xFIP
+2.76
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
95
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
Meltdown Risk
Vulnerability 95th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
61.5%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 105.0 EV · 391 ft
max EV allowed 113.2
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 2 HR
15D · 2 HR
30D · 3 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Luis Gil.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
45.5%
89.1
26.6°
3
+0.3
Changeup Offspeed
21.6%
83.6
5.2°
1
-1.0
Slider Breaking
21.6%
86.2
29.3°
1
+0.6
Sinker Hard
11.2%
82.2
16.2°
1
+5.9
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups27
HRs allowed (pool)3
Pool HR rate11.1%
Pool HR/game day1.0
Top-15 matchups1
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB25.4% 95
HR/9—
FIP8.34 99
xFIP5.57
FIP − xFIP+2.76 99
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed61.5%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 45.5% usage
+0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against89.1 mph
Avg launch angle26.6°
HRs allowed3
Pitches183
Changeup
Offspeed · 21.6% usage
-1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.6 mph
Avg launch angle5.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches87
Slider
Breaking · 21.6% usage
+0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.2 mph
Avg launch angle29.3°
HRs allowed1
Pitches87
Sinker
Hard · 11.2% usage
+5.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.2 mph
Avg launch angle16.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches45
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Luis Gil.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
3 allowed · scored pool
avg 105.0 EV · 391 ft
3 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 3 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-04-26
9
2
109.8
2026-04-21
9
0
113.2
2026-04-10
9
1
106.7
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Luis Gil isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.