.png&width=300)
NYY
@
2:10p
HOU
Park Factor
0.99×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light partial wind out · retractable roof
Combined
0.990
Temp
77.2°F
Wind
6.9 mph
slight_out
Roof
retractable
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 93 | 🔥 A+ | · | · | 1 | 0.402 | 94.2 | 20.5% | 24.0% | 390 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 30.8% | 48 |
| 2 |
|
Christian Walker | 71 | 🟡 B | · | · | 33 | 0.252 | 89.7 | 11.7% | 35.7% | 393 | 19.2% | 16.7% | 37.2% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Cam Smith | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 73 | 0.147 | 89.2 | 14.9% | 15.4% | 403 | 11.5% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Carlos Correa | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 118 | 0.139 | 88.5 | 8.1% | 0.0% | 402 | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Christian Vázquez | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 131 | 0.244 | 86.4 | 3.3% | 20.0% | 368 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.2% | 14 |
| 6 |
|
Daniel Johnson | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 136 | 0.258 | 84.8 | 0.0% | 33.3% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 22.8% | 4 |
| 7 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 143 | 0.121 | 88.5 | 3.3% | 14.3% | 379 | 3.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 38 |
| 8 |
|
Dustin Harris | 27 | ⚪ D | · | · | 224 | 0.125 | 84.7 | 0.0% | 33.3% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 9 |
| 9 |
|
Braden Shewmake | 17 | ⚪ D | · | · | 263 | · | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.5% | 2 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ben Rice | 89 | 🟢 A | · | · | 2 | 0.422 | 95.5 | 21.6% | 37.5% | 391 | 31.8% | 45.5% | 34.9% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Aaron Judge | 88 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 4 | 0.313 | 92.2 | 24.6% | 35.7% | 407 | 21.7% | 27.3% | 27.8% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Trent Grisham | 54 | 🟠 C | · | · | 85 | 0.195 | 91.2 | 10.3% | 20.0% | 372 | 9.1% | 18.2% | 23.3% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Ryan McMahon | 51 | 🟠 C | · | · | 93 | 0.104 | 93.9 | 12.1% | 18.2% | 354 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 15.0% | 20 |
| 5 |
|
Cody Bellinger | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 144 | 0.152 | 88.3 | 7.7% | 8.7% | 384 | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 37 |
| 6 |
|
Paul Goldschmidt | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 161 | · | 89.1 | 18.8% | 0.0% | 406 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 9 |
| 7 |
|
José Caballero | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 165 | 0.150 | 84.5 | 3.1% | 9.1% | 354 | 18.2% | 20.0% | 10.9% | 40 |
| 8 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 36 | ⚪ D | · | · | 180 | 0.119 | 88.6 | 5.1% | 7.7% | 363 | 9.1% | 20.0% | 11.4% | 27 | |
| 9 | J.C. Escarra | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 201 | · | 91.1 | 11.8% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 11 |