⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs

Slate · 2026-04-15

↩ today 🧙 Morning Wizard 🎲 Build Card
143 scored matchups · top 5 preview · upgrade for full slate Lineups loading…
⚠️
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs may be blocking requests
2026-04-15
Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather
🔥 High Conviction 2 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers
#4 Matt Olson vs Chris Paddack FIP 5.11 HR/FB 20.0% #11 Ronald Acuña Jr. vs Chris Paddack FIP 5.11 HR/FB 20.0%
📦 STACK Clay Holmes FIP 3.97 HR/FB 12.5% → #1 Shohei Ohtani, #5 Teoscar Hernandez, #6 Teoscar Hernández, #9 Andy Pages, #10 Freddie Freeman
📦 STACK Shota Imanaga FIP 3.18 HR/FB 7.7% → #3 Kyle Schwarber, #14 Bryce Harper
📦 STACK Chris Paddack FIP 5.11 HR/FB 20.0% → #4 Matt Olson, #11 Ronald Acuña Jr.
📦 STACK Jesús Luzardo FIP 2.62 HR/FB 22.2% → #7 Dansby Swanson, #8 Michael Busch, #13 Seiya Suzuki, #15 Pete Crow-Armstrong
# Batter Score Edge Pitcher · Game Time Tier Hand '26 HR Form Due BP WT Hit?
1 80 · Shota Imanaga (LHP)
CHC @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park
6:40p 🟢 A
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
22
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%14.2% Avg EV93.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.7×
CHC Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Citizens Bank Park
Weather · Citizens Bank Park
hot air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp87.6°F Wind10.3 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier6 Note88°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +6
2
·Shohei Ohtani (L) 3
79 · Clay Holmes (RHP)
NYM @ LAD · Dodger Stadium
10:10p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
10
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.4×
NYM Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Dodger Stadium
Weather · Dodger Stadium
warm air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp72.6°F Wind9.8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier2 Note73°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +2
3
·Carter Jensen (L) 2
70 · Jack Flaherty (RHP)
KC @ DET · Comerica Park
6:40p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%14.2% Avg EV89.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.5×
DET Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Comerica Park
Weather · Comerica Park
mild air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp70.3°F Wind6.3 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note70°F, wind 6 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
4 70 · Dylan Cease (RHP)
TOR @ MIL · American Family Field
7:40p 🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
5
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls14 BBE Barrel%15.6% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
TOR Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
American Family Field
Weather · American Family Field
mild air · steady wind in · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp69.5°F Wind10.8 mph SW Characterin HR Modifier-2 Note70°F, wind 11 mph SW (in) — modifier: -2
5 68 · Chris Paddack (RHP)
MIA @ ATL · Truist Park
7:15p 🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
7
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%6.5% Avg EV88.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
MIA Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Truist Park
Weather · Truist Park
hot air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp84.9°F Wind8.2 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier3 Note85°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +3
6
Bryce Harper (L) 2
68 · Shota Imanaga (LHP)
CHC @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park
6:40p 🔵 C+
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
13
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV88.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.8×
CHC Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Citizens Bank Park
Weather · Citizens Bank Park
hot air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp87.6°F Wind10.3 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier6 Note88°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +6
Bryce Harper — Home Run
OffShota Imanaga Exit Velo107.8 mph Angle25.0° Distance406 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park
7
Matt Olson (L) 4
66 · Chris Paddack (RHP)
MIA @ ATL · Truist Park
7:15p 🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
16
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%7.0% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
MIA Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Truist Park
Weather · Truist Park
hot air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp84.9°F Wind8.2 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier3 Note85°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +3
Matt Olson — Home Run
OffChris Paddack Exit Velo106.8 mph Angle25.0° Distance423 ft StadiumTruist Park
8 66 · Clay Holmes (RHP)
NYM @ LAD · Dodger Stadium
10:10p 🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
0
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%8.0% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
NYM Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Dodger Stadium
Weather · Dodger Stadium
warm air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp72.6°F Wind9.8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier2 Note73°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +2
Teoscar Hernandez — Home Run
OffClay Holmes Exit Velo104.2 mph Angle26.0° Distance370 ft StadiumDodger Stadium
9
·Andy Pages (R) 4
65 · Clay Holmes (RHP)
NYM @ LAD · Dodger Stadium
10:10p 🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
13
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%7.1% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
NYM Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Dodger Stadium
Weather · Dodger Stadium
warm air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp72.6°F Wind9.8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier2 Note73°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +2
10 64 · Clay Holmes (RHP)
NYM @ LAD · Dodger Stadium
10:10p 🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
8
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.4×
NYM Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Dodger Stadium
Weather · Dodger Stadium
warm air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp72.6°F Wind9.8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier2 Note73°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +2
11
·Jake Bauers (L) 5
64 · Dylan Cease (RHP)
TOR @ MIL · American Family Field
7:40p 🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
9
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV93.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
TOR Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
American Family Field
Weather · American Family Field
mild air · steady wind in · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp69.5°F Wind10.8 mph SW Characterin HR Modifier-2 Note70°F, wind 11 mph SW (in) — modifier: -2
12 64 · Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP)
AZ @ BAL · Camden Yards
12:35p 🔵 C+
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
13
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
AZ Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Camden Yards
Weather · Camden Yards
hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp88.7°F Wind9.7 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Note89°F, wind 10 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +3
13 63 · Jesús Luzardo (LHP)
CHC @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park
6:40p 🔵 C+
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.8×
PHI Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Citizens Bank Park
Weather · Citizens Bank Park
hot air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp87.6°F Wind10.3 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier6 Note88°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +6
Dansby Swanson — Home Run
OffJesús Luzardo Exit Velo103.5 mph Angle34.0° Distance389 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park
14
·Ian Happ (S)
63 · Jesús Luzardo (LHP)
CHC @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park
6:40p 🔵 C+
SHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
13
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%13.6% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.5×
PHI Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Citizens Bank Park
Weather · Citizens Bank Park
hot air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp87.6°F Wind10.3 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier6 Note88°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +6
15 63 · Seth Lugo (RHP)
KC @ DET · Comerica Park
6:40p 🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
KC Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Comerica Park
Weather · Comerica Park
mild air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp70.3°F Wind6.3 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note70°F, wind 6 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
16
·Ketel Marte (S) 4
60 · Kyle Bradish (RHP)
AZ @ BAL · Camden Yards
12:35p 🔵 C+
SHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
10
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
BAL Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Camden Yards
Weather · Camden Yards
hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp88.7°F Wind9.7 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Note89°F, wind 10 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +3
17
·Drake Baldwin (L) 5
60 · Chris Paddack (RHP)
MIA @ ATL · Truist Park
7:15p 🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
13
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls44 BBE Barrel%6.5% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.5×
MIA Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Truist Park
Weather · Truist Park
hot air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp84.9°F Wind8.2 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier3 Note85°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +3
18
·Riley Greene (L) 6
59 · Seth Lugo (RHP)
KC @ DET · Comerica Park
6:40p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
5
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV89.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
KC Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Comerica Park
Weather · Comerica Park
mild air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp70.3°F Wind6.3 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note70°F, wind 6 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
19
·Matt Shaw (R) 2
58 · Jesús Luzardo (LHP)
CHC @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park
6:40p 🟠 C
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
3
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV87.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
13.0×
PHI Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Citizens Bank Park
Weather · Citizens Bank Park
hot air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp87.6°F Wind10.3 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier6 Note88°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +6
20
·Rafael Devers (L) 2
58 · Rhett Lowder (RHP)
SF @ CIN · Great American Ball Park
6:40p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.8×
CIN Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Great American Ball Park
Weather · Great American Ball Park
hot air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp82.3°F Wind9.7 mph SW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Note82°F, wind 10 mph SW (cross) — modifier: +1
21
·Cal Raleigh (S) 2
58 · Randy Vásquez (RHP)
SEA @ SD · Petco Park
9:40p 🟠 C
SHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV83.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
7.3×
SD Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Petco Park
Weather · Petco Park
warm air · steady wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp72°F Wind10.7 mph W Characterin HR Modifier-3 Note72°F, wind 11 mph W (in) — modifier: -3
22
·Jordan Walker (R) 4
58 · Slade Cecconi (RHP)
CLE @ STL · Busch Stadium
1:15p 🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
15
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%16.5% Avg EV95.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.7×
CLE Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Busch Stadium
Weather · Busch Stadium
warm air · strong crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp74.4°F Wind15.6 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Note74°F, wind 16 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +1
23 57 · Clay Holmes (RHP)
NYM @ LAD · Dodger Stadium
10:10p 🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
7
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%8.0% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.4×
NYM Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Dodger Stadium
Weather · Dodger Stadium
warm air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp72.6°F Wind9.8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier2 Note73°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +2
Teoscar Hernández — Home Run
OffClay Holmes Exit Velo104.2 mph Angle26.0° Distance370 ft StadiumDodger Stadium
24
·Willy Adames (R) 2
57 · Rhett Lowder (RHP)
SF @ CIN · Great American Ball Park
6:40p 🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
8
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV88.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
CIN Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Great American Ball Park
Weather · Great American Ball Park
hot air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp82.3°F Wind9.7 mph SW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Note82°F, wind 10 mph SW (cross) — modifier: +1
25
·Will Smith (R) 2
56 · Clay Holmes (RHP)
NYM @ LAD · Dodger Stadium
10:10p 🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
6
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
NYM Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Dodger Stadium
Weather · Dodger Stadium
warm air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp72.6°F Wind9.8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier2 Note73°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +2
26 56 · Jack Flaherty (RHP)
KC @ DET · Comerica Park
6:40p 🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
9
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
DET Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Comerica Park
Weather · Comerica Park
mild air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp70.3°F Wind6.3 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note70°F, wind 6 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
27
·Pete Alonso (R) 2
56 · Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP)
AZ @ BAL · Camden Yards
12:35p 🟠 C
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
11
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%7.0% Avg EV95.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.0×
AZ Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Camden Yards
Weather · Camden Yards
hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp88.7°F Wind9.7 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Note89°F, wind 10 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +3
28
·Michael Busch (L) 2
54 · Jesús Luzardo (LHP)
CHC @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park
6:40p 🟠 C
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
6
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%6.7% Avg EV84.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
PHI Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Citizens Bank Park
Weather · Citizens Bank Park
hot air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp87.6°F Wind10.3 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier6 Note88°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +6
29
·Otto Lopez (R) 3
54 · Bryce Elder (RHP)
MIA @ ATL · Truist Park
7:15p 🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
4
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.3×
ATL Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Truist Park
Weather · Truist Park
hot air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp84.9°F Wind8.2 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier3 Note85°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +3
30 53 · Kyle Bradish (RHP)
AZ @ BAL · Camden Yards
12:35p 🟠 C
SHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV86.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.7×
BAL Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Camden Yards
Weather · Camden Yards
hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp88.7°F Wind9.7 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Note89°F, wind 10 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +3
🔥

The full lineup is in the hole

Sign up to see every ranked matchup with scores, tiers, pitcher intel, and conviction tools. Pro gets 150+ batters daily.

138 more waiting in the on-deck circle
Model Health · HR catch rate by tier
season-to-date
S 0.0%
A+ 17.2%
A 18.2%
B 19.9%
C+ 15.3%
C 12.2%
D 7.8%
Best Day
32.0%
May 29
LD 3.2.85

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.