⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
SEA
@ 9:40p
SD
Petco Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.88×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
warm air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.617
Temp
72°F
Wind
10.7 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 58 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 21 0.342 83.8 9.4% 0.0% 391 13.3% 22.2% 3.4% 36
2 Dominic Canzone Dominic Canzone 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 85 0.181 94.1 11.6% 0.0% 431 6.7% 0.0% 1.6% 19
3 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 94 0.207 87.9 6.4% 0.0% 426 0.0% 0.0% 1.8% 34
4 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 36 ⚪ D · · 100 0.188 90.9 8.8% 0.0% 426 0.0% 0.0% 1.4% 32
5 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 34 ⚪ D · · 106 0.184 87.2 8.3% 0.0% 399 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 38
6 Luke Raley Luke Raley 32 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 114 0.141 92.8 13.5% 0.0% 382 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 24
7 Cole Young Cole Young 29 ⚪ D · · 124 0.094 84.9 8.2% 0.0% 381 13.3% 11.1% 0.3% 29
8 Brendan Donovan Brendan Donovan 27 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 127 0.135 84.7 7.0% 0.0% 348 18.2% 12.5% 0.4% 24
9 Leo Rivas Leo Rivas 12 ⚪ D · · 142 0.099 85.4 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 8
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jackson Merrill Jackson Merrill 47 ⚪ D · · 53 0.193 88.5 9.8% 11.9% 399 23.1% 20.0% 8.6% 40
2 Ramón Laureano Ramón Laureano 46 ⚪ D · · 55 0.231 89.3 10.6% 19.7% 396 0.0% 0.0% 22.0% 36
3 Manny Machado Manny Machado 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 62 0.185 86.4 7.3% 13.1% 384 15.4% 20.0% 11.5% 30
4 Gavin Sheets Gavin Sheets 40 ⚪ D · · 79 0.177 88.7 9.1% 11.9% 425 7.7% 10.0% 11.2% 28
5 Nick Castellanos Nick Castellanos 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 112 0.150 89.4 7.1% 10.6% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 20
6 Xander Bogaerts Xander Bogaerts 31 ⚪ D · · 115 0.128 89.5 7.2% 7.8% 391 7.7% 10.0% 5.0% 38
7 Freddy Fermin Freddy Fermin 30 ⚪ D · · 117 0.207 88.0 0.0% 15.1% · 0.0% 0.0% 10.2% 17
8 Ty France Ty France 29 ⚪ D · · 122 0.080 92.3 11.8% 2.3% 427 0.0% 0.0% 3.4% 15
9 Jake Cronenworth Jake Cronenworth 26 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 129 0.131 89.3 5.9% 9.1% 399 7.7% 10.0% 5.0% 30
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