SEA
@
9:40p
SD
Park Factor
0.88×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
warm air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.617
Temp
72°F
Wind
10.7 mph
in
Roof
open
Randy Vásquez
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 21 | 0.342 | 83.8 | 9.4% | 0.0% | 391 | 13.3% | 22.2% | 3.4% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 85 | 0.181 | 94.1 | 11.6% | 0.0% | 431 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 1.6% | 19 |
| 3 |
|
Julio Rodríguez | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 94 | 0.207 | 87.9 | 6.4% | 0.0% | 426 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.8% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Randy Arozarena | 36 | ⚪ D | · | · | 100 | 0.188 | 90.9 | 8.8% | 0.0% | 426 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.4% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Josh Naylor | 34 | ⚪ D | · | · | 106 | 0.184 | 87.2 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 399 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 38 |
| 6 |
|
Luke Raley | 32 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 114 | 0.141 | 92.8 | 13.5% | 0.0% | 382 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 24 |
| 7 |
|
Cole Young | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 124 | 0.094 | 84.9 | 8.2% | 0.0% | 381 | 13.3% | 11.1% | 0.3% | 29 |
| 8 |
|
Brendan Donovan | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 127 | 0.135 | 84.7 | 7.0% | 0.0% | 348 | 18.2% | 12.5% | 0.4% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
Leo Rivas | 12 | ⚪ D | · | · | 142 | 0.099 | 85.4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 8 |
Emerson Hancock
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 53 | 0.193 | 88.5 | 9.8% | 11.9% | 399 | 23.1% | 20.0% | 8.6% | 40 |
| 2 |
|
Ramón Laureano | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 55 | 0.231 | 89.3 | 10.6% | 19.7% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 22.0% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Manny Machado | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 62 | 0.185 | 86.4 | 7.3% | 13.1% | 384 | 15.4% | 20.0% | 11.5% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 79 | 0.177 | 88.7 | 9.1% | 11.9% | 425 | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
Nick Castellanos | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 112 | 0.150 | 89.4 | 7.1% | 10.6% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 20 |
| 6 |
|
Xander Bogaerts | 31 | ⚪ D | · | · | 115 | 0.128 | 89.5 | 7.2% | 7.8% | 391 | 7.7% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
Freddy Fermin | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 117 | 0.207 | 88.0 | 0.0% | 15.1% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 17 |
| 8 |
|
Ty France | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 122 | 0.080 | 92.3 | 11.8% | 2.3% | 427 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.4% | 15 |
| 9 |
|
Jake Cronenworth | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 129 | 0.131 | 89.3 | 5.9% | 9.1% | 399 | 7.7% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 30 |