⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
KC
@ 6:40p
DET
Comerica Park · 17 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.99×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.994
Temp
70.3°F
Wind
6.3 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Carter Jensen Carter Jensen 70 🟡 B · · 3 0.250 89.2 14.2% 18.8% 386 100.0% 100.0% 24.6% 23
2 Salvador Perez Salvador Perez 56 🟠 C · · 26 0.209 89.5 11.8% 13.8% 404 20.0% 16.7% 10.6% 38
3 Bobby Witt Jr. 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 36 0.205 93.4 11.9% 10.6% · 0.0% 0.0% 9.2% 38
4 Maikel Garcia Maikel Garcia 50 🟠 C · · 41 0.163 93.6 12.2% 8.3% 400 13.3% 16.7% 6.4% 44
5 Vinnie Pasquantino Vinnie Pasquantino 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 67 0.211 88.6 7.1% 14.3% · 0.0% 0.0% 10.9% 37
6 Jac Caglianone Jac Caglianone 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 69 0.138 93.1 12.4% 13.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 25
7 Kyle Isbel Kyle Isbel 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 99 0.098 90.5 9.0% 4.0% 382 13.3% 8.3% 3.6% 22
8 Michael Massey Michael Massey 24 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 132 0.069 84.7 7.3% 2.7% · 0.0% 0.0% 3.0% 8
9 Lane Thomas Lane Thomas 23 ⚪ D · · 133 0.112 87.6 0.0% 9.3% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.5% 14
Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo RHP
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kerry Carpenter Kerry Carpenter 63 🔵 C+ · · 15 0.245 93.3 13.2% 0.0% 382 18.8% 27.3% 3.9% 20
2 Riley Greene Riley Greene 59 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 18 0.235 89.0 12.4% 0.0% 408 6.2% 9.1% 2.9% 30
3 Spencer Torkelson Spencer Torkelson 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 44 0.217 89.8 10.8% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 1.8% 19
4 Jake Rogers Jake Rogers 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 64 0.183 90.6 12.4% 0.0% 403 0.0% 0.0% 1.7% 3
5 Javier Báez Javier Báez 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 65 0.141 86.7 6.0% 0.0% 354 50.0% 50.0% 0.8% 26
6 Colt Keith Colt Keith 40 ⚪ D · · 82 0.157 93.9 10.9% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 29
7 Zach McKinstry Zach McKinstry 38 ⚪ D · · 90 0.179 85.9 6.1% 0.0% 399 6.7% 10.0% 1.0% 27
8 Gleyber Torres Gleyber Torres 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 110 0.132 83.9 8.8% 0.0% 364 6.2% 9.1% 0.7% 36
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