SF
@
6:40p
CIN
Park Factor
1.27×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
hot air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.403
Temp
82.3°F
Wind
9.7 mph
cross
Roof
open
Rhett Lowder
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Rafael Devers | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 20 | 0.227 | 90.7 | 8.6% | 20.8% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.8% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Willy Adames | 57 | 🟠 C | · | · | 24 | 0.196 | 88.4 | 9.0% | 15.1% | 375 | 16.7% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Matt Chapman ⚡ | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 39 | 0.198 | 88.7 | 5.1% | 14.8% | 349 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Casey Schmitt | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 51 | 0.163 | 93.3 | 8.5% | 12.1% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 17 |
| 5 |
|
Will Brennan | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 57 | 0.209 | 89.4 | 0.0% | 16.4% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.4% | 13 |
| 6 |
|
Daniel Susac | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 58 | 0.148 | 89.8 | 7.8% | 12.2% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 19 |
| 7 |
|
Jung Hoo Lee | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 74 | 0.141 | 88.9 | 3.7% | 4.9% | 361 | 8.3% | 11.1% | 4.6% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
Luis Arraez | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 121 | 0.100 | 85.4 | 0.0% | 4.4% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.0% | 41 |
| 9 |
|
Drew Gilbert | 23 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 134 | 0.073 | 73.3 | 0.0% | 2.4% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.0% | 14 |