⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
SF
@ 6:40p
CIN
Great American Ball Park · 9 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.27×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
hot air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.403
Temp
82.3°F
Wind
9.7 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 58 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 20 0.227 90.7 8.6% 20.8% 408 0.0% 0.0% 19.8% 31
2 Willy Adames Willy Adames 57 🟠 C · · 24 0.196 88.4 9.0% 15.1% 375 16.7% 11.1% 12.5% 36
3 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 39 0.198 88.7 5.1% 14.8% 349 8.3% 0.0% 11.1% 38
4 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 47 ⚪ D · · 51 0.163 93.3 8.5% 12.1% 385 0.0% 0.0% 9.9% 17
5 Will Brennan Will Brennan 46 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 57 0.209 89.4 0.0% 16.4% · 0.0% 0.0% 12.4% 13
6 Daniel Susac Daniel Susac 46 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 58 0.148 89.8 7.8% 12.2% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.1% 19
7 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 74 0.141 88.9 3.7% 4.9% 361 8.3% 11.1% 4.6% 35
8 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 29 ⚪ D · · 121 0.100 85.4 0.0% 4.4% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.0% 41
9 Drew Gilbert Drew Gilbert 23 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 134 0.073 73.3 0.0% 2.4% · 0.0% 0.0% 3.0% 14
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