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COL
@
8:10p
HOU
Park Factor
1.03×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
hot air · steady crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
1.135
Temp
83.0°F
Wind
12.6 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Christian Walker | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 49 | 0.183 | 90.5 | 5.9% | 14.7% | 393 | 18.8% | 30.0% | 16.9% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 50 | 0.158 | 93.0 | 6.7% | 9.5% | 392 | 50.0% | 100.0% | 11.7% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Cam Smith | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 73 | 0.122 | 90.7 | 6.2% | 9.6% | 403 | 18.8% | 20.0% | 7.1% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 86 | 0.204 | 88.5 | 0.0% | 14.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.9% | 22 |
| 5 |
|
Joey Loperfido | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 88 | 0.167 | 90.5 | 2.6% | 18.2% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.1% | 21 |
| 6 |
|
Yainer Diaz | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 97 | 0.161 | 86.8 | 2.3% | 12.7% | 372 | 7.1% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 29 |
| 7 |
|
Carlos Correa | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 109 | 0.127 | 91.2 | 4.8% | 10.6% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
Nick Allen | 15 | ⚪ D | · | · | 139 | 0.030 | 87.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 11 |