⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
BOS
@ 1:40p
MIN
Target Field · 8 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.89×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.886
Temp
68.2°F
Wind
3.7 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Roman Anthony Roman Anthony 47 ⚪ D · · 52 0.171 92.1 9.8% 14.8% 391 7.7% 12.5% 8.6% 32
2 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 54 0.185 90.4 10.2% 9.0% 424 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 30
3 Marcelo Mayer Marcelo Mayer 43 ⚪ D · · 72 0.173 89.4 10.1% 13.8% 385 0.0% 0.0% 8.4% 23
4 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 41 ⚪ D · · 77 0.165 88.7 8.0% 9.3% 337 7.7% 0.0% 6.6% 25
5 Trevor Story Trevor Story 32 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 111 0.170 88.2 5.6% 15.2% 402 7.1% 0.0% 8.7% 37
6 Masataka Yoshida Masataka Yoshida 27 ⚪ D · · 125 0.122 95.3 0.0% 10.5% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.6% 15
7 Andruw Monasterio Andruw Monasterio 22 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 135 0.117 90.0 0.0% 8.9% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 5
8 Connor Wong Connor Wong 13 ⚪ D · · 141 0.048 89.4 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 8
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