NYM
@
10:10p
LAD
Park Factor
1.37×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
warm air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.640
Temp
72.6°F
Wind
9.8 mph
out
Roof
open
Clay Holmes
RHP
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Shohei Ohtani | 79 | 🟡 B | · | · | 2 | 0.340 | 94.0 | 11.7% | 29.4% | 403 | 14.3% | 22.2% | 49.5% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Teoscar Hernandez | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 8 | 0.207 | 89.7 | 8.0% | 17.7% | 393 | 15.4% | 25.0% | 32.5% | 24 |
| 3 |
|
Andy Pages | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 9 | 0.189 | 91.9 | 7.1% | 14.1% | 392 | 28.6% | 33.3% | 26.5% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Freddie Freeman | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 10 | 0.207 | 92.7 | 9.8% | 15.1% | 412 | 14.3% | 22.2% | 26.3% | 41 |
| 5 |
|
Teoscar Hernández | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 23 | 0.207 | 89.7 | 8.0% | 17.7% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 32.5% | 24 |
| 6 |
|
Will Smith | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 25 | 0.202 | 88.8 | 8.3% | 13.3% | 416 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 16.3% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Mookie Betts | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 56 | 0.148 | 89.9 | 6.9% | 8.2% | 384 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 15.8% | 9 |
| 8 |
|
Michael Conforto | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 63 | 0.134 | 93.0 | 6.9% | 10.3% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 11 |