TOR
@
7:40p
MIL
Park Factor
1.23×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
mild air · steady wind in · retractable roof
Combined
0.984
Temp
69.5°F
Wind
10.8 mph
in
Roof
retractable
Dylan Cease
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gary Sánchez | 70 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 4 | 0.187 | 91.4 | 15.6% | 17.9% | 405 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 22.7% | 14 |
| 2 |
|
Jake Bauers | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 11 | 0.164 | 93.7 | 11.3% | 13.2% | 395 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 17.1% | 25 |
| 3 |
|
Brice Turang | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 35 | 0.147 | 93.5 | 9.2% | 13.3% | 401 | 13.3% | 20.0% | 15.3% | 24 |
| 4 |
|
Garrett Mitchell | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 60 | 0.088 | 96.8 | 12.6% | 0.0% | 420 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.2% | 15 |
| 5 |
|
William Contreras | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 84 | 0.140 | 91.8 | 6.0% | 12.4% | 397 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 31 |
| 6 |
|
David Hamilton ⚡ | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 102 | 0.136 | 84.2 | 5.5% | 12.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 20 |
| 7 |
|
Joey Ortiz | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 119 | 0.087 | 85.4 | 6.9% | 4.7% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.8% | 25 |
| 8 |
|
Sal Frelick | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 120 | 0.117 | 85.7 | 4.5% | 7.8% | 407 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 27 |
| 9 |
|
Brandon Lockridge | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 131 | 0.067 | 83.9 | 5.1% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 19 |