⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
CHC
@ 6:40p
PHI
Citizens Bank Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.20×
Weather Mod
+6.0%
hot air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.918
Temp
87.6°F
Wind
10.3 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 80 🟢 A · · 1 0.323 93.6 14.2% 28.6% 409 23.1% 11.1% 33.6% 23
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 68 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 6 0.226 88.9 10.6% 18.5% 422 15.4% 22.2% 24.2% 37
3 Edmundo Sosa Edmundo Sosa 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 34 0.193 91.8 7.0% 17.5% 442 0.0% 0.0% 20.7% 11
4 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 40 0.164 90.9 6.9% 11.7% 413 8.3% 11.1% 10.2% 34
5 Otto Kemp Otto Kemp 49 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 43 0.178 93.0 9.9% 16.0% 385 0.0% 0.0% 13.5% 3
6 Adolis García Adolis García 44 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 68 0.168 92.7 9.3% 10.9% 377 0.0% 0.0% 8.4% 29
7 J.T. Realmuto 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 76 0.127 88.5 4.8% 9.3% 401 8.3% 12.5% 6.1% 25
8 Trea Turner Trea Turner 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 98 0.153 87.3 3.6% 9.4% 359 7.7% 11.1% 7.1% 38
9 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 33 ⚪ D · · 108 0.123 88.5 0.0% 10.0% 354 7.7% 0.0% 6.3% 32
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 63 🔵 C+ · · 13 0.173 90.7 11.6% 15.5% 377 18.8% 27.3% 29.7% 27
2 Ian Happ Ian Happ 63 🔵 C+ · · 14 0.178 90.9 13.6% 13.3% 377 31.2% 18.2% 16.8% 26
3 Matt Shaw Matt Shaw 58 🟠 C · · 19 0.168 87.6 9.0% 10.8% 361 21.4% 30.0% 22.2% 26
4 Michael Busch Michael Busch 54 🟠 C · · 28 0.261 84.7 6.7% 20.9% · 0.0% 0.0% 28.9% 28
5 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 52 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 31 0.234 91.8 6.6% 14.2% 389 6.2% 9.1% 22.8% 33
6 Miguel Amaya Miguel Amaya 50 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 37 0.219 86.8 7.9% 12.5% 390 100.0% 0.0% 20.0% 10
7 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 45 ⚪ D · · 61 0.233 87.5 0.0% 16.5% · 0.0% 0.0% 24.4% 13
8 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 44 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 66 0.189 90.7 8.2% 11.2% 388 7.1% 0.0% 16.3% 41
9 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 30 ⚪ D · · 118 0.097 84.6 0.0% 3.7% 369 6.2% 9.1% 6.5% 43
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