⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
AZ
@ 12:35p
BAL
Camden Yards · 15 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.23×
Weather Mod
+3.0%
hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.600
Temp
88.7°F
Wind
9.7 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson 64 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 12 0.165 90.6 12.2% 0.0% 388 38.5% 44.4% 2.3% 36
2 Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 56 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 27 0.252 95.0 7.0% 0.0% 400 6.7% 0.0% 3.2% 31
3 Jeremiah Jackson Jeremiah Jackson 46 ⚪ D · · 59 0.171 87.3 10.5% 0.0% 406 0.0% 0.0% 2.3% 32
4 Johnathan Rodríguez Johnathan Rodríguez 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 70 0.207 87.9 4.2% 0.0% 426 0.0% 0.0% 2.6% 34
5 Taylor Ward Taylor Ward 43 ⚪ D · · 75 0.247 87.8 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 3.0% 36
6 Coby Mayo Coby Mayo 34 ⚪ D · · 105 0.171 82.4 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 1.4% 16
7 Blaze Alexander Blaze Alexander 29 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 123 0.152 92.1 3.8% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 1.6% 20
8 Weston Wilson Weston Wilson 22 ⚪ D · · 136 0.058 85.2 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 25
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 60 🔵 C+ · · 16 0.233 92.4 9.1% 16.8% 411 0.0% 0.0% 40.5% 36
2 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 53 🟠 C · · 30 0.113 86.4 8.6% 9.7% 405 33.3% 33.3% 10.3% 31
3 Jose Fernandez Jose Fernandez 50 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 38 0.133 86.0 9.0% 5.6% 409 0.0% 0.0% 13.4% 24
4 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 46 0.140 83.8 6.3% 7.5% 399 7.7% 10.0% 11.8% 33
5 Alek Thomas Alek Thomas 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 87 0.120 92.2 7.0% 9.5% · 0.0% 0.0% 10.2% 22
6 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 36 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 96 0.173 86.7 4.0% 9.9% 398 0.0% 0.0% 13.7% 38
7 Jorge Barrosa Jorge Barrosa 34 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 104 0.085 84.9 8.2% 5.3% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.6% 25
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