⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs

Slate · 2026-04-16

↩ today 🧙 Morning Wizard 🎲 Build Card
180 scored matchups · top 5 preview · upgrade for full slate Lineups loading…
2026-04-16
Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather
🥇 Golden Slate 5 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers
#1 Gary Sánchez vs Patrick Corbin FIP 10.41 HR/FB 25.0% #3 Davis Schneider vs Brandon Sproat FIP 9.16 HR/FB 22.2% #5 Jake Burger vs Jacob Lopez FIP 7.36 HR/FB 21.4% #9 Brice Turang vs Patrick Corbin FIP 10.41 HR/FB 25.0% #13 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. vs Brandon Sproat FIP 9.16 HR/FB 22.2%
📦 STACK Patrick Corbin FIP 10.41 HR/FB 25.0% → #1 Gary Sánchez, #9 Brice Turang
📦 STACK Landen Roupp FIP 1.9 → #2 Sal Stewart, #4 Elly De La Cruz, #11 Spencer Steer
📦 STACK Brandon Sproat FIP 9.16 HR/FB 22.2% → #3 Davis Schneider, #13 Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
📦 STACK Brent Suter FIP 3.08 HR/FB 11.1% → #12 Ben Rice, #15 Aaron Judge
# Batter Score Edge Pitcher · Game Time Tier Hand '26 HR Form Due BP WT Hit?
1
·Gary Sánchez (R) 3
96 · Patrick Corbin (LHP)
TOR @ MIL · American Family Field
1:40p 🥇 S
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
5
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%29.4% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
TOR Bullpen
HR/FB17.1% HR/90.82 FIP2.93 IP66.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
American Family Field
Weather · American Family Field
mild air · light wind out · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp68.4°F Wind5.7 mph E Characterout HR Modifier0 Note68°F, wind 6 mph E (out) — modifier: +0
2 89 · Juan Mejia (RHP)
COL @ HOU · Minute Maid Park
8:10p 🟢 A
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
20
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%19.2% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.5×
COL Bullpen
HR/FB18.9% HR/91.23 FIP4.45 IP72.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Minute Maid Park
Weather · Minute Maid Park
hot air · strong crosswind · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp85.5°F Wind14.4 mph SSE Charactercross HR Modifier2 Note85°F, wind 14 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: +2
3 85 · Ryan Weiss (RHP)
COL @ HOU · Minute Maid Park
8:10p 🟢 A
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
12
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%13.8% Avg EV87.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
3.2×
HOU Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Minute Maid Park
Weather · Minute Maid Park
hot air · strong crosswind · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp85.5°F Wind14.4 mph SSE Charactercross HR Modifier2 Note85°F, wind 14 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: +2
4
Aaron Judge (R) 3
81 · Brent Suter (LHP)
LAA @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
1:35p 🟢 A
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
17
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%28.6% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.0×
LAA Bullpen
HR/FB18.4% HR/91.08 FIP4.51 IP58.5
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp86.9°F Wind9.3 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Note87°F, wind 9 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +3
Aaron Judge — Home Run
OffBrent Suter Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle32.0° Distance410 ft StadiumYankee Stadium
5
·Luke Raley (L) 3
81 · Walker Buehler (RHP)
SEA @ SD · Petco Park
8:40p 🟢 A
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
13
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%18.8% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.7×
SD Bullpen
HR/FB9.4% HR/90.38 FIP2.70 IP71.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Petco Park
Weather · Petco Park
warm air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp72.6°F Wind10.4 mph WSW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Note73°F, wind 10 mph WSW (cross) — modifier: +0
6
·Sal Stewart (R) 3
80 · Landen Roupp (RHP)
SF @ CIN · Great American Ball Park
12:40p 🟢 A
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
12
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%21.3% Avg EV93.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.1×
SF Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Great American Ball Park
Weather · Great American Ball Park
warm air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp78.3°F Wind12.1 mph WSW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Note78°F, wind 12 mph WSW (cross) — modifier: +2
7 80 · Landen Roupp (RHP)
SF @ CIN · Great American Ball Park
12:40p 🟢 A
SHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
12
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%15.2% Avg EV94.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.4×
SF Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Great American Ball Park
Weather · Great American Ball Park
warm air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp78.3°F Wind12.1 mph WSW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Note78°F, wind 12 mph WSW (cross) — modifier: +2
8
Ben Rice (L) 4
80 · Brent Suter (LHP)
LAA @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
1:35p 🟢 A
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
17
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%23.3% Avg EV96.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
LAA Bullpen
HR/FB18.4% HR/91.08 FIP4.51 IP58.5
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp86.9°F Wind9.3 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Note87°F, wind 9 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +3
Ben Rice — Home Run
OffBrent Suter Exit Velo99.9 mph Angle26.0° Distance405 ft StadiumYankee Stadium
9 80 · Parker Messick (LHP)
BAL @ CLE · Progressive Field
6:10p 🟢 A
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
13
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
CLE Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Progressive Field
Weather · Progressive Field
mild air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp71.3°F Wind10.6 mph WSW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Note71°F, wind 11 mph WSW (cross) — modifier: +0
10
Mike Trout (R) 3
79 · Max Fried (LHP)
LAA @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
1:35p 🟡 B
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
14
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%28.3% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.4×
NYY Bullpen
HR/FB4.8% HR/90.31 FIP2.88 IP57.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp86.9°F Wind9.3 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Note87°F, wind 9 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +3
Mike Trout — Home Run
OffMax Fried Exit Velo114.6 mph Angle31.0° Distance446 ft StadiumYankee Stadium
11
·Jake Burger (R) 4
77 · Jacob Lopez (LHP)
TEX @ ATH · Sutter Health Park
3:05p 🟡 B
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
10
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%12.8% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.3×
ATH Bullpen
HR/FB11.6% HR/90.92 FIP4.36 IP48.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Sutter Health Park
Weather · Sutter Health Park
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
12 77 · Juan Mejia (RHP)
COL @ HOU · Minute Maid Park
8:10p 🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
16
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%15.1% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
COL Bullpen
HR/FB18.9% HR/91.23 FIP4.45 IP72.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Minute Maid Park
Weather · Minute Maid Park
hot air · strong crosswind · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp85.5°F Wind14.4 mph SSE Charactercross HR Modifier2 Note85°F, wind 14 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: +2
13
·James Wood (L) 2
77 · Braxton Ashcraft (RHP)
WSH @ PIT · PNC Park
12:35p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
16
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%23.8% Avg EV94.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
PIT Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
PNC Park
Weather · PNC Park
warm air · strong partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp79.6°F Wind14.0 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier4 Note80°F, wind 14 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +4
14
·Cam Smith (R) 2
75 · Juan Mejia (RHP)
COL @ HOU · Minute Maid Park
8:10p 🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
6
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%17.0% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.7×
COL Bullpen
HR/FB18.9% HR/91.23 FIP4.45 IP72.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Minute Maid Park
Weather · Minute Maid Park
hot air · strong crosswind · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp85.5°F Wind14.4 mph SSE Charactercross HR Modifier2 Note85°F, wind 14 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: +2
15
·Oneil Cruz (L) 5
75 · Foster Griffin (LHP)
WSH @ PIT · PNC Park
12:35p 🟡 B
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
13
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%20.5% Avg EV97.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
WSH Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
PNC Park
Weather · PNC Park
warm air · strong partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp79.6°F Wind14.0 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier4 Note80°F, wind 14 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +4
16 73 · Keider Montero (RHP)
KC @ DET · Comerica Park
1:10p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%16.7% Avg EV89.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.5×
DET Bullpen
HR/FB12.9% HR/90.74 FIP4.37 IP48.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Comerica Park
Weather · Comerica Park
mild air · light wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp67.2°F Wind6.2 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier0 Note67°F, wind 6 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +0
17 72 · Shane Baz (RHP)
BAL @ CLE · Progressive Field
6:10p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%17.8% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
BAL Bullpen
HR/FB16.1% HR/90.82 FIP2.88 IP54.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Progressive Field
Weather · Progressive Field
mild air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp71.3°F Wind10.6 mph WSW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Note71°F, wind 11 mph WSW (cross) — modifier: +0
18
·Brice Turang (L) 3
72 · Patrick Corbin (LHP)
TOR @ MIL · American Family Field
1:40p 🟡 B
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
7
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.9×
TOR Bullpen
HR/FB17.1% HR/90.82 FIP2.93 IP66.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
American Family Field
Weather · American Family Field
mild air · light wind out · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp68.4°F Wind5.7 mph E Characterout HR Modifier0 Note68°F, wind 6 mph E (out) — modifier: +0
19 72 · Parker Messick (LHP)
BAL @ CLE · Progressive Field
6:10p 🟡 B
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
6
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV87.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
11.0×
CLE Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Progressive Field
Weather · Progressive Field
mild air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp71.3°F Wind10.6 mph WSW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Note71°F, wind 11 mph WSW (cross) — modifier: +0
20 71 · Brandon Sproat (RHP)
TOR @ MIL · American Family Field
1:40p 🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
1
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls10 BBE Barrel%26.7% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
MIL Bullpen
HR/FB7.7% HR/90.44 FIP3.25 IP61.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
American Family Field
Weather · American Family Field
mild air · light wind out · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp68.4°F Wind5.7 mph E Characterout HR Modifier0 Note68°F, wind 6 mph E (out) — modifier: +0
21 71 · Chase Burns (RHP)
SF @ CIN · Great American Ball Park
12:40p 🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
8
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV88.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
CIN Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Great American Ball Park
Weather · Great American Ball Park
warm air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp78.3°F Wind12.1 mph WSW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Note78°F, wind 12 mph WSW (cross) — modifier: +2
22
·CJ Abrams (L) 3
71 · Braxton Ashcraft (RHP)
WSH @ PIT · PNC Park
12:35p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
12
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%14.0% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
PIT Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
PNC Park
Weather · PNC Park
warm air · strong partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp79.6°F Wind14.0 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier4 Note80°F, wind 14 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +4
23 70 · Jack Leiter (RHP)
TEX @ ATH · Sutter Health Park
3:05p 🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
14
COLD
Form · COLD
SignalCOLD Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
TEX Bullpen
HR/FB11.9% HR/90.94 FIP4.05 IP67.1
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Sutter Health Park
Weather · Sutter Health Park
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
24
·Spencer Steer (R) 3
70 · Landen Roupp (RHP)
SF @ CIN · Great American Ball Park
12:40p 🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
7
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%17.9% Avg EV87.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
3.8×
SF Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Great American Ball Park
Weather · Great American Ball Park
warm air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp78.3°F Wind12.1 mph WSW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Note78°F, wind 12 mph WSW (cross) — modifier: +2
25
·Amed Rosario (R) 2
69 · Brent Suter (LHP)
LAA @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
1:35p 🔵 C+
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
6
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%16.0% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
LAA Bullpen
HR/FB18.4% HR/91.08 FIP4.51 IP58.5
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp86.9°F Wind9.3 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Note87°F, wind 9 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +3
26 69 · Brandon Sproat (RHP)
TOR @ MIL · American Family Field
1:40p 🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
5
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%6.1% Avg EV85.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
MIL Bullpen
HR/FB7.7% HR/90.44 FIP3.25 IP61.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
American Family Field
Weather · American Family Field
mild air · light wind out · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp68.4°F Wind5.7 mph E Characterout HR Modifier0 Note68°F, wind 6 mph E (out) — modifier: +0
27 67 · Steven Matz (LHP)
TB @ CWS · Rate Field
2:10p 🔵 C+
?HH vs LHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
20
Form · —
SignalUNKNOWN Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%21.2% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.7×
TB Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Rate Field
Weather · Rate Field
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
28
·Zach Neto (R)
66 · Max Fried (LHP)
LAA @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
1:35p 🔵 C+
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
10
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%12.5% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.0×
NYY Bullpen
HR/FB4.8% HR/90.31 FIP2.88 IP57.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp86.9°F Wind9.3 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Note87°F, wind 9 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +3
29 65 · Shane Baz (RHP)
BAL @ CLE · Progressive Field
6:10p 🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
0
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls5 BBE Barrel%14.6% Avg EV88.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
BAL Bullpen
HR/FB16.1% HR/90.82 FIP2.88 IP54.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Progressive Field
Weather · Progressive Field
mild air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp71.3°F Wind10.6 mph WSW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Note71°F, wind 11 mph WSW (cross) — modifier: +0
30 65 · Parker Messick (LHP)
BAL @ CLE · Progressive Field
6:10p 🔵 C+
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
9
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%12.5% Avg EV93.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.8×
CLE Bullpen
Bullpen data unavailable — FanGraphs is down
Progressive Field
Weather · Progressive Field
mild air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp71.3°F Wind10.6 mph WSW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Note71°F, wind 11 mph WSW (cross) — modifier: +0
🔥

The full lineup is in the hole

Sign up to see every ranked matchup with scores, tiers, pitcher intel, and conviction tools. Pro gets 150+ batters daily.

175 more waiting in the on-deck circle
Model Health · HR catch rate by tier
season-to-date
S 0.0%
A+ 17.2%
A 18.2%
B 19.9%
C+ 15.3%
C 12.2%
D 7.8%
Best Day
32.0%
May 29
LD 3.2.85

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.