2
HRs allowed
11.1%
HR rate (pool)
35.4%
Overall HR/FB
5.94
FIP
4.16
xFIP
+1.77
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
99
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
Meltdown Risk
Vulnerability 99th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
75.0%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 103.7 EV · 398 ft
max EV allowed 111.7
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 2 HR
15D · 2 HR
30D · 2 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Ryan Weiss.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
37.0%
86.4
31.1°
6
+5.0
Sweeper Breaking
32.3%
83.6
9.9°
2
+1.6
Changeup Offspeed
14.9%
81.7
5.2°
0
+1.1
Sinker Hard
12.5%
80.5
7.8°
0
-0.3
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups18
HRs allowed (pool)2
Pool HR rate11.1%
Pool HR/game day1.0
Top-15 matchups2
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB35.4% 99
HR/9—
FIP5.94 92
xFIP4.16
FIP − xFIP+1.77 97
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed75.0%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 37.0% usage
+5.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.4 mph
Avg launch angle31.1°
HRs allowed6
Pitches196
Sweeper
Breaking · 32.3% usage
+1.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.6 mph
Avg launch angle9.9°
HRs allowed2
Pitches171
Changeup
Offspeed · 14.9% usage
+1.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.7 mph
Avg launch angle5.2°
HRs allowed0
Pitches79
Sinker
Hard · 12.5% usage
-0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.5 mph
Avg launch angle7.8°
HRs allowed0
Pitches66
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Ryan Weiss.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
2 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.7 EV · 398 ft
2 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 2 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-04-21
9
1
101.9
2026-04-16
9
1
111.7
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Ryan Weiss isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.