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COL
@
8:10p
HOU
Park Factor
1.04×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
hot air · strong crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
1.246
Temp
85.5°F
Wind
14.4 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
Juan Mejia
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 89 | 🟢 A | · | 🌧️ COOL | 2 | 0.429 | 93.0 | 19.2% | 25.9% | 392 | 66.7% | 100.0% | 29.9% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Christian Walker | 77 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 12 | 0.273 | 90.5 | 15.1% | 23.5% | 393 | 17.6% | 30.0% | 28.0% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Cam Smith | 75 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 14 | 0.212 | 90.7 | 17.0% | 21.4% | 403 | 17.6% | 20.0% | 16.4% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Jose Altuve | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 74 | 0.167 | 84.7 | 7.7% | 25.0% | 376 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 34 |
| 5 |
|
Carlos Correa | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 80 | 0.098 | 91.2 | 10.0% | 12.5% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Joey Loperfido | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 91 | 0.096 | 90.5 | 2.9% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 23 |
| 7 |
|
Yainer Diaz | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 101 | 0.073 | 86.8 | 2.3% | 14.3% | 372 | 6.7% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 33 |
| 8 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 108 | 0.080 | 88.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 23 |
| 9 |
|
Taylor Trammell | 18 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 156 | 0.040 | 83.8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.9% | 7 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Mickey Moniak | 85 | 🟢 A | · | · | 3 | 0.400 | 87.3 | 13.8% | 41.7% | 417 | 27.3% | 37.5% | 39.5% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 31 | 0.206 | 92.7 | 9.1% | 26.7% | 397 | 16.7% | 14.3% | 29.9% | 18 |
| 3 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 58 | 0.145 | 89.8 | 8.7% | 9.1% | 401 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 10.1% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Edouard Julien | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 59 | 0.103 | 91.7 | 11.5% | 25.0% | 375 | 7.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 24 |
| 5 |
|
Brenton Doyle | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 71 | 0.080 | 90.6 | 3.6% | 14.3% | 408 | 7.7% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 14 |
| 6 |
|
Troy Johnston | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 73 | 0.191 | 88.5 | 5.3% | 20.0% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.0% | 26 |
| 7 | TJ Rumfield | 40 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 81 | 0.150 | 88.5 | 8.9% | 16.7% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.4% | 32 | |
| 8 |
|
Kyle Karros | 27 | ⚪ D | · | · | 117 | 0.021 | 89.3 | 5.9% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 21 |
| 9 |
|
Tyler Freeman | 18 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 155 | 0.000 | 88.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.3% | 20 |