SEA
@
8:40p
SD
Park Factor
0.90×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.895
Temp
72.6°F
Wind
10.4 mph
cross
Roof
open
Walker Buehler
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Luke Raley | 81 | 🟢 A | · | · | 5 | 0.305 | 92.8 | 18.8% | 40.0% | 382 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 17.0% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 58 | 🟠 C | · | · | 38 | 0.257 | 94.1 | 13.8% | 13.3% | 431 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 13.5% | 19 |
| 3 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 75 | 0.123 | 83.8 | 9.1% | 9.1% | 391 | 12.5% | 22.2% | 7.5% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Brendan Donovan | 40 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 84 | 0.235 | 84.7 | 5.1% | 37.5% | 348 | 16.7% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 22 |
| 5 |
|
Cole Young | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 89 | 0.154 | 84.9 | 7.0% | 16.7% | 381 | 12.5% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 29 |
| 6 |
|
Randy Arozarena | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 113 | 0.104 | 90.9 | 8.0% | 10.0% | 426 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 33 |
| 7 |
|
Julio Rodríguez | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 125 | 0.070 | 87.9 | 4.2% | 10.0% | 426 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
Josh Naylor | 25 | ⚪ D | · | · | 130 | 0.083 | 87.2 | 7.1% | 15.4% | 399 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 36 |
| 9 | J.P. Crawford | 22 | ⚪ D | · | · | 138 | 0.032 | 88.5 | 8.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 23 |
Luis Castillo
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ramón Laureano | 57 | 🟠 C | · | · | 40 | 0.277 | 89.3 | 15.2% | 20.0% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.7% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 55 | 🟠 C | · | · | 46 | 0.203 | 88.5 | 13.0% | 20.0% | 399 | 21.4% | 20.0% | 11.6% | 40 |
| 3 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 50 | 0.240 | 88.7 | 11.1% | 33.3% | 425 | 7.1% | 10.0% | 19.6% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Luis Campusano | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 60 | · | 86.4 | 21.4% | 0.0% | 396 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 9.0% | 16 |
| 5 |
|
Xander Bogaerts | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 66 | 0.164 | 89.5 | 7.0% | 21.4% | 391 | 14.3% | 20.0% | 14.5% | 39 |
| 6 |
|
Manny Machado | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 79 | 0.148 | 86.4 | 7.3% | 20.0% | 384 | 14.3% | 20.0% | 11.4% | 29 |
| 7 |
|
Fernando Tatis Jr. | 32 | ⚪ D | · | · | 100 | 0.061 | 95.2 | 13.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.8% | 36 |
| 8 |
|
Miguel Andujar | 23 | ⚪ D | · | · | 135 | 0.135 | 91.2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 20 |
| 9 |
|
Jake Cronenworth | 19 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 153 | 0.071 | 89.3 | 4.7% | 12.5% | 399 | 7.1% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 29 |