⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
SEA
@ 8:40p
SD
Petco Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.90×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.895
Temp
72.6°F
Wind
10.4 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Luke Raley Luke Raley 81 🟢 A · · 5 0.305 92.8 18.8% 40.0% 382 100.0% 100.0% 17.0% 24
2 Dominic Canzone Dominic Canzone 58 🟠 C · · 38 0.257 94.1 13.8% 13.3% 431 6.2% 0.0% 13.5% 19
3 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 75 0.123 83.8 9.1% 9.1% 391 12.5% 22.2% 7.5% 36
4 Brendan Donovan Brendan Donovan 40 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 84 0.235 84.7 5.1% 37.5% 348 16.7% 12.5% 15.5% 22
5 Cole Young Cole Young 38 ⚪ D · · 89 0.154 84.9 7.0% 16.7% 381 12.5% 11.1% 8.8% 29
6 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 29 ⚪ D · · 113 0.104 90.9 8.0% 10.0% 426 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 33
7 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 26 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 125 0.070 87.9 4.2% 10.0% 426 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 35
8 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 25 ⚪ D · · 130 0.083 87.2 7.1% 15.4% 399 0.0% 0.0% 8.3% 36
9 J.P. Crawford 22 ⚪ D · · 138 0.032 88.5 8.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 23
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ramón Laureano Ramón Laureano 57 🟠 C · · 40 0.277 89.3 15.2% 20.0% 396 0.0% 0.0% 15.7% 36
2 Jackson Merrill Jackson Merrill 55 🟠 C · · 46 0.203 88.5 13.0% 20.0% 399 21.4% 20.0% 11.6% 40
3 Gavin Sheets Gavin Sheets 52 🟠 C · · 50 0.240 88.7 11.1% 33.3% 425 7.1% 10.0% 19.6% 29
4 Luis Campusano Luis Campusano 46 ⚪ D · · 60 · 86.4 21.4% 0.0% 396 100.0% 100.0% 9.0% 16
5 Xander Bogaerts Xander Bogaerts 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 66 0.164 89.5 7.0% 21.4% 391 14.3% 20.0% 14.5% 39
6 Manny Machado Manny Machado 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 79 0.148 86.4 7.3% 20.0% 384 14.3% 20.0% 11.4% 29
7 Fernando Tatis Jr. Fernando Tatis Jr. 32 ⚪ D · · 100 0.061 95.2 13.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 36
8 Miguel Andujar Miguel Andujar 23 ⚪ D · · 135 0.135 91.2 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 20
9 Jake Cronenworth Jake Cronenworth 19 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 153 0.071 89.3 4.7% 12.5% 399 7.1% 10.0% 6.7% 29
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