Today · 2026-07-02

Share Slate 🧙 Morning Wizard 🎲 Build Variance Card

138 scored matchups · top 5 preview · upgrade for full slate Lineups loading…

🔥

12:35p

2:10p

🔥

3:10p

6:40p

7:15p

7:40p

🔥

8:05p

9:40p

🔥

10:10p

Locks 0/6

Daily Routine ready Routine

Prime Card 0/6 not saved

‹

⭐ Today's Slate

›

Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 4 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#7 Manny Machado vs Roki Sasaki FIP 5.36 HR/FB 25.9% #8 Ty France vs Roki Sasaki FIP 5.36 HR/FB 25.9% #9 Gavin Sheets vs Roki Sasaki FIP 5.36 HR/FB 23.3% #14 Mookie Betts vs Randy Vásquez FIP 5.13 HR/FB 23.1%

📦 STACK Jared Jones FIP 4.85 HR/FB 44.4% → #1 Kyle Schwarber, #4 Bryce Harper, #13 Brandon Marsh

📦 STACK Randy Vásquez FIP 5.13 HR/FB 15.2% → #3 Shohei Ohtani, #5 Max Muncy, #12 Freddie Freeman, #14 Mookie Betts

📦 STACK Roki Sasaki FIP 5.36 HR/FB 25.9% → #7 Manny Machado, #8 Ty France, #9 Gavin Sheets

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-07-01. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

91.8% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Kyle Schwarber (L) ⁴	79	-16.2	●	Jared Jones (RHP) PIT @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	12:35p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	30	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%13.5% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-06-28 OffKodai Senga Exit Velo108.3 mph Angle37.0° Distance408 ft StadiumCiti Field	○●○○○	1.0×	·	PIT Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.00 FIP3.99 IP788.2 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+34 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78.1°F Wind3.6 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+34 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note78°F, wind 4 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1
2	Hunter Goodman (R) ⁵	75	-14.0	●	Ryan Gusto (RHP) MIA @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	27	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-01 OffMax Meyer Exit Velo104.3 mph Angle45.0° Distance403 ft StadiumCoors Field	●○●○●	0.0×	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.6% HR/90.95 FIP3.93 IP801.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Coors Field cool air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.6°F Wind8.0 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note65°F, wind 8 mph W (cross) — modifier: +0
3	Shohei Ohtani (L) ⁴	75	-15.4	●	Randy Vásquez (RHP) SD @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	18	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%15.0% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-06-29 OffMatt Krook Exit Velo112.3 mph Angle25.0° Distance432 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○●○○	0.5×	1	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.12 FIP4.22 IP762.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+26 Weather · Dodger Stadium cool air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp60.9°F Wind2.5 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note61°F, wind 2 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: -1
4	Bryce Harper (L) ⁴	72	-9.6	●	Jared Jones (RHP) PIT @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	12:35p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-06-29 OffBraxton Ashcraft Exit Velo106.7 mph Angle26.0° Distance405 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	●○●○○	0.5×	·	PIT Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.00 FIP3.99 IP788.2 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+20 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78.1°F Wind3.6 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+20 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note78°F, wind 4 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1
5	Max Muncy (S) ³	71	-8.1	●	Randy Vásquez (RHP) SD @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟡 B	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	5	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls55 BBE Barrel%14.1% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-06-29 OffGage Jump Exit Velo104.0 mph Angle30.0° Distance422 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○●○○	0.7×	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.12 FIP4.22 IP762.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+25 Weather · Dodger Stadium cool air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp60.9°F Wind2.5 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note61°F, wind 2 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: -1
6	Junior Caminero (R) ³	69	-14.7	●	Stephen Kolek (RHP) TB @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	24	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-01 OffSeth Lugo Exit Velo104.8 mph Angle27.0° Distance425 ft StadiumKauffman Stadium	●●●●●	0.0×	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.3% HR/91.31 FIP4.70 IP763.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+25 Weather · Kauffman Stadium warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75.7°F Wind7.2 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note76°F, wind 7 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1
7	Manny Machado (R) ²	68	-4.1	●	Roki Sasaki (RHP) SD @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	16	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-30 OffMatthew Boyd Exit Velo98.7 mph Angle26.0° Distance372 ft StadiumWrigley Field	○●○●○	0.2×	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.05 FIP3.73 IP739.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+26 Weather · Dodger Stadium cool air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp60.9°F Wind2.5 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note61°F, wind 2 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: -1
8	Ty France (R) ²	67	+2.1	●	Roki Sasaki (RHP) SD @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	10	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV91.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-06-26 OffRoki Sasaki Exit Velo98.1 mph Angle30.0° Distance372 ft StadiumPetco Park	●○○○○	0.8×	1	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.05 FIP3.73 IP739.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+25 Weather · Dodger Stadium cool air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp60.9°F Wind2.5 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 10 HR Note61°F, wind 2 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: -1
9	Gavin Sheets (L) ²	66	-3.4	●	Roki Sasaki (RHP) SD @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-06-27 OffYoshinobu Yamamoto Exit Velo104.3 mph Angle26.0° Distance414 ft StadiumPetco Park	○○●○○	0.3×	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.05 FIP3.73 IP739.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+23 Weather · Dodger Stadium cool air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp60.9°F Wind2.5 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+23 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note61°F, wind 2 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: -1
10	Jake Bauers (L) ³	65	-4.1	●	Chase Burns (RHP) CIN @ MIL · American Family Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-30 OffRhett Lowder Exit Velo106.1 mph Angle29.0° Distance425 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field	○○○●○	0.2×	·	CIN Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.46 FIP5.06 IP752.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-29 Weather · American Family Field warm air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp72.9°F Wind7 mph NW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-29 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note73°F, wind 7 mph NW (in) — modifier: +0
11	Owen Caissie (L) ²	64	-7.3	●	Michael Lorenzen (RHP) MIA @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	10	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-30 OffJohn Brebbia Exit Velo109.2 mph Angle28.0° Distance453 ft StadiumCoors Field	○○○●○	0.2×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.40 FIP4.86 IP771.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-31 Weather · Coors Field cool air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.6°F Wind8.0 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-31 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 10 HR Note65°F, wind 8 mph W (cross) — modifier: +0
12	Freddie Freeman (L) ³	64	-7.3	●	Randy Vásquez (RHP) SD @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%12.6% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-01 OffJ.T. Ginn Exit Velo105.2 mph Angle32.0° Distance431 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○○○●	0.0×	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.12 FIP4.22 IP762.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+26 Weather · Dodger Stadium cool air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp60.9°F Wind2.5 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note61°F, wind 2 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: -1
13	Brandon Marsh (L) ⁴	63	-3.4	●	Jared Jones (RHP) PIT @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	12:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-01 OffPaul Skenes Exit Velo99.2 mph Angle27.0° Distance351 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○●○●	0.0×	·	PIT Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.00 FIP3.99 IP788.2 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+24 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78.1°F Wind3.6 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+24 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note78°F, wind 4 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1
14	Mookie Betts (R) ²	63	-3.4	●	Randy Vásquez (RHP) SD @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	11	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-06-27 OffRon Marinaccio Exit Velo100.9 mph Angle25.0° Distance402 ft StadiumPetco Park	●○○○○	1.0×	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.12 FIP4.22 IP762.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Dodger Stadium cool air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp60.9°F Wind2.5 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 11 HR Note61°F, wind 2 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: -1
15	Jac Caglianone (L) ³	62	-12.0	●	Ian Seymour (LHP) TB @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	14	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	9d Last HR · 2026-06-23 OffShane McClanahan Exit Velo110.0 mph Angle22.0° Distance416 ft StadiumTropicana Field	○○○○○	1.2×	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.16 FIP4.07 IP724.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-5 Weather · Kauffman Stadium warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75.7°F Wind7.2 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note76°F, wind 7 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1
16	Dillon Dingler (R) ⁴	62	-1.3	●	Nathan Eovaldi (RHP) DET @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-06-25 OffEnyel De Los Santos Exit Velo103.3 mph Angle31.0° Distance432 ft StadiumComerica Park	○○○○○	1.2×	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.22 FIP4.12 IP775.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+3 Weather · Globe Life Field warm air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp79.0°F Wind4 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note79°F, wind 4 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +1
17	Andy Pages (R) ³	62	-6.8	●	Randy Vásquez (RHP) SD @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	16	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV89.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-06-29 OffGage Jump Exit Velo107.6 mph Angle30.0° Distance387 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○●○○	0.3×	1	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.12 FIP4.22 IP762.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+25 Weather · Dodger Stadium cool air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp60.9°F Wind2.5 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note61°F, wind 2 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: -1
18	Jackson Chourio (R) ³	59	-8.7	●	Chase Burns (RHP) CIN @ MIL · American Family Field	2:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	12	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-30 OffJulian Garcia Exit Velo107.8 mph Angle21.0° Distance404 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field	●○○●○	0.5×	·	CIN Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.46 FIP5.06 IP752.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-32 Weather · American Family Field warm air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp72.9°F Wind7 mph NW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-32 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note73°F, wind 7 mph NW (in) — modifier: +0
19	Brandon Lowe (L) ³	58	-14.7	●	Alan Rangel (RHP) PIT @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	12:35p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%6.1% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-06-27 OffChase Burns Exit Velo107.4 mph Angle34.0° Distance396 ft StadiumPNC Park	○●○○○	0.6×	·	PHI Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.19 FIP3.79 IP766.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+35 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78.1°F Wind3.6 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+35 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note78°F, wind 4 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1
20	Kerry Carpenter (L) ²	58	-7.9	●	Nathan Eovaldi (RHP) DET @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-30 OffCam Schlittler Exit Velo102.9 mph Angle28.0° Distance410 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	●●○●○	0.2×	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.22 FIP4.12 IP775.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-21 Weather · Globe Life Field warm air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp79.0°F Wind4 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-21 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note79°F, wind 4 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +1
21	Joc Pederson (L) ²	58	·	●	Framber Valdez (LHP) DET @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	14	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-30 OffTanner Bibee Exit Velo102.7 mph Angle33.0° Distance403 ft StadiumProgressive Field	●●○●●	0.0×	·	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.03 FIP3.93 IP791.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-24 Weather · Globe Life Field warm air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp79.0°F Wind4 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-24 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note79°F, wind 4 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +1
22	Kyle Stowers (L) ⁴	57	-14.2	●	Michael Lorenzen (RHP) MIA @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	8	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	11d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffLogan Webb Exit Velo106.2 mph Angle31.0° Distance426 ft StadiumloanDepot Park	○○○○○	1.3×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.40 FIP4.86 IP771.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-36 Weather · Coors Field cool air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.6°F Wind8.0 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-36 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 8 HR Note65°F, wind 8 mph W (cross) — modifier: +0
23	Colson Montgomery (L) ³	56	-12.6	●	Slade Cecconi (RHP) CWS @ CLE · Progressive Field	6:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	21	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-30 OffTrey Gibson Exit Velo109.1 mph Angle29.0° Distance440 ft StadiumCamden Yards	○○○○●	0.0×	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.19 FIP3.98 IP781.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-34 Weather · Progressive Field warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77.1°F Wind7.6 mph SW Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-34 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note77°F, wind 8 mph SW (in) — modifier: -1
24	Teoscar Hernandez (R) ⁴	55	·	●	Randy Vásquez (RHP) SD @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	7	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls5 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	78d Last HR · 2026-04-15 OffClay Holmes Exit Velo104.2 mph Angle26.0° Distance370 ft StadiumDodger Stadium	○●○○●	0.0×	1	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.12 FIP4.22 IP762.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+26 Weather · Dodger Stadium cool air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp60.9°F Wind2.5 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 9 HR Note61°F, wind 2 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: -1
25	Miguel Vargas (R) ⁴	55	-8.7	●	Slade Cecconi (RHP) CWS @ CLE · Progressive Field	6:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-06-28 OffLuinder Avila Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle29.0° Distance407 ft StadiumRate Field	○●○○○	0.6×	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.19 FIP3.98 IP781.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-8 Weather · Progressive Field warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77.1°F Wind7.6 mph SW Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note77°F, wind 8 mph SW (in) — modifier: -1
26	Carter Jensen (L) ²	54	-6.8	●	Ian Seymour (LHP) TB @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	7:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	12	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%8.4% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-30 OffGriffin Jax Exit Velo106.2 mph Angle35.0° Distance421 ft StadiumKauffman Stadium	○○○●○	0.2×	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.16 FIP4.07 IP724.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-12 Weather · Kauffman Stadium warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75.7°F Wind7.2 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-12 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note76°F, wind 7 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1
27	Dominic Canzone (L) ²	53	-7.0	●	Walbert Ureña (RHP) LAA @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV93.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-06-29 OffMitch Farris Exit Velo108.4 mph Angle25.0° Distance428 ft StadiumT-Mobile Park	○○○●○	0.2×	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.09 FIP4.39 IP785.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-5 Weather · T-Mobile Park cold air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp54.4°F Wind4 mph SW Charactercross HR Modifier-2 Spray/Wind-5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note54°F, wind 4 mph SW (cross) — modifier: -2
28	Matt Olson (L) ⁴	53	-10.3	●	Dustin May (RHP) STL @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	20d Last HR · 2026-06-12 OffCionel Pérez Exit Velo102.1 mph Angle22.0° Distance399 ft StadiumCiti Field	○○○○○	4.2×	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.10 FIP4.30 IP738.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-29 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75.1°F Wind1.6 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-29 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note75°F, wind 2 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +0
29	Spencer Torkelson (R)	52	-3.9	●	Nathan Eovaldi (RHP) DET @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:05p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	14	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-30 OffCam Schlittler Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle28.0° Distance405 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○○○●○	0.2×	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.22 FIP4.12 IP775.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+4 Weather · Globe Life Field warm air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp79.0°F Wind4 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+4 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note79°F, wind 4 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +1
30	Liam Hicks (L) ⁵	52	-6.3	●	Michael Lorenzen (RHP) MIA @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls14 BBE Barrel%6.1% Avg EV85.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	20d Last HR · 2026-06-12 OffAntwone Kelly Exit Velo90.6 mph Angle31.0° Distance356 ft StadiumPNC Park	○○○○○	1.4×	1	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.40 FIP4.86 IP771.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-42 Weather · Coors Field cool air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.6°F Wind8.0 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-42 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note65°F, wind 8 mph W (cross) — modifier: +0

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

You saw the full board yesterday

Tonight's full board — all 150 ranked picks + conviction tools — is behind the wall. Check our public track record, then unlock it with a 7-day money-back guarantee.

Unlock the full board — 7-day guarantee Already have an account? Sign in

133 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

Today's Locks

Lock your picks, track your hit rate, and analyze co-occurrence.

Upgrade to Unlock

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

16.6%

▲ +5.7 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 13.7% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-07-01

35 HRs

28%

10 caught / 35 HRs

in top 50

#4 Hunter Goodman

37.5%

🟡

#9 Junior Caminero

35.5%

🔵

#22 Shea Langeliers

17.9%

🔵

#27 Pete Crow-Armstrong

25.7%

🔵

#28 Amed Rosario

35.9%

🟠

#37 Mickey Moniak

20.5%

🟠

#39 Kody Clemens

20.1%

🟠

#44 James Wood

18.3%

🟠

#46 Freddie Freeman

16.3%

🟠

#48 Brandon Marsh

26.6%

🟠

Missed

Heliot Ramos Henry Davis Michael Conforto Dansby Swanson Francisco Lindor +20 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Junior Caminero ×6 Hunter Goodman ×4 Joc Pederson ×3 Bryce Harper ×3 Kody Clemens ×3

❄️ Cold

Juan Soto 0 of 7d Gunnar Henderson 0 of 6d Nick Kurtz 0 of 6d Jac Caglianone 0 of 5d Paul Goldschmidt 0 of 5d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 20.1%

B 20.0%

C+ 16.0%

C 13.4%

D 8.5%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-07-02

You saw the full board yesterday

The top 10 picks. Every morning.