LAA
@
9:40p
SEA
Stadium Conditions
T-Mobile Park
First pitch 6:40p
· roof retractable
Park 0.83×
Wind 4 mph cross
54°F
retractable
-9
7 mph · cross
63°F
6:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
5 mph · cross
63°F
7:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
4 mph · cross
63°F
8:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
4 mph · cross
62°F
9:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
4 mph · cross
62°F
10:40p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Suppress · Combined 0.66
54°F, wind 4 mph SW (cross) — modifier: -2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 53 | 🟠 C | +400 | · | 27 | 0.285 | 93.4 | 9.7% | 30.0% vs RHP | 398 | 16.9% | 22.2% | 22.5% | 17 |
| 2 |
|
Luke Raley ⚡ | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 57 | 0.243 | 90.9 | 10.0% | 35.0% vs RHP | 385 | 16.7% | 0.0% | 13.9% | 9 |
| 3 |
|
Colt Emerson ⚡ | 42 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌤️ WARM | 75 | 0.236 | 87.0 | 6.2% | 45.5% vs RHP | 369 | 19.0% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 20 |
| 4 |
|
Julio Rodríguez ⚡ | 39 | ⚪ D | +475 | · | 86 | 0.169 | 90.2 | 7.3% | 18.4% vs RHP | 410 | 16.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Randy Arozarena ⚡ | 37 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌤️ WARM | 102 | 0.163 | 91.5 | 6.8% | 20.6% vs RHP | 390 | 9.3% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 20 |
| 6 |
|
Cal Raleigh ⚡ | 36 | ⚪ D | +320 | · | 105 | 0.142 | 87.7 | 8.1% | 13.5% vs RHP | 391 | 12.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 22 |
| 7 |
|
Cole Young | 34 | ⚪ D | +750 | · | 111 | 0.147 | 88.2 | 5.6% | 14.0% vs RHP | 390 | 9.8% | 16.7% | 10.9% | 37 |
| 8 |
|
Josh Naylor ⚡ | 29 | ⚪ D | +575 | · | 130 | 0.112 | 87.7 | 5.5% | 14.6% vs RHP | 390 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 39 |
| 9 |
|
J.P. Crawford ⚡ | 28 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 132 | 0.141 | · | 6.6% | 26.5% vs RHP | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 36 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Zach Neto | 50 | 🟠 C | +390 | 🌤️ WARM | 39 | 0.224 | 89.8 | 10.1% | 22.6% vs RHP | 402 | 20.0% | 27.3% | 25.1% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Jorge Soler | 46 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 59 | 0.209 | 88.1 | 9.2% | 36.7% vs RHP | 398 | 15.6% | 28.6% | 26.9% | 14 |
| 3 |
|
Josh Lowe | 35 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🔥 HOT | 108 | 0.142 | 89.7 | 8.2% | 16.2% vs RHP | 388 | 10.4% | 16.7% | 10.1% | 14 |
| 4 |
|
Jo Adell | 35 | ⚪ D | +425 | 🌧️ COOL | 109 | 0.144 | 90.2 | 7.9% | 11.1% vs RHP | 412 | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 35 |
| 5 |
|
Oswald Peraza | 33 | ⚪ D | · | · | 115 | 0.147 | 87.4 | 8.0% | 11.1% vs RHP | 386 | 8.2% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 17 |
| 6 |
|
Vaughn Grissom | 32 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 119 | 0.138 | 89.5 | 7.0% | 15.4% vs RHP | 396 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 16 |
| 7 |
|
Logan O'Hoppe | 31 | ⚪ D | +575 | ❄ COLD | 126 | 0.110 | 86.5 | 8.9% | 13.8% vs RHP | 408 | 4.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 22 |
| 8 |
|
Nolan Schanuel ⚡ | 28 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 133 | 0.122 | 87.3 | 4.2% | 12.5% vs RHP | 372 | 8.7% | 16.7% | 6.4% | 39 |