2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Junior Caminero 7 HRs · 2 Dansby Swanson 6 HRs · 3 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 4 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 7 Hunter Goodman 5 HRs · 8 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 9 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 10 Kerry Carpenter 4 HRs · 11 Michael Busch 4 HRs · 12 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs 1 Junior Caminero 7 HRs · 2 Dansby Swanson 6 HRs · 3 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 4 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 7 Hunter Goodman 5 HRs · 8 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 9 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 10 Kerry Carpenter 4 HRs · 11 Michael Busch 4 HRs · 12 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs
LAA
@ 9:40p
SEA
T-Mobile Park · 17 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

T-Mobile Park

First pitch 6:40p · roof retractable
Park 0.83× Wind 4 mph cross 54°F retractable
-9
7 mph · cross
63°F
6:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
5 mph · cross
63°F
7:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
4 mph · cross
63°F
8:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-8
4 mph · cross
62°F
9:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-9
4 mph · cross
62°F
10:40p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Suppress · Combined 0.66

54°F, wind 4 mph SW (cross) — modifier: -2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Walbert Ureña RHP
0.62 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.31 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Dominic Canzone Dominic Canzone 53 🟠 C +400 · 27 0.285 93.4 9.7% 30.0% vs RHP 398 16.9% 22.2% 22.5% 17
2 Luke Raley Luke Raley 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 57 0.243 90.9 10.0% 35.0% vs RHP 385 16.7% 0.0% 13.9% 9
3 Colt Emerson Colt Emerson 42 ⚪ D +700 🌤️ WARM 75 0.236 87.0 6.2% 45.5% vs RHP 369 19.0% 14.3% 14.8% 20
4 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 39 ⚪ D +475 · 86 0.169 90.2 7.3% 18.4% vs RHP 410 16.7% 9.1% 8.9% 32
5 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 37 ⚪ D +625 🌤️ WARM 102 0.163 91.5 6.8% 20.6% vs RHP 390 9.3% 12.5% 8.9% 20
6 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 36 ⚪ D +320 · 105 0.142 87.7 8.1% 13.5% vs RHP 391 12.7% 8.3% 6.4% 22
7 Cole Young Cole Young 34 ⚪ D +750 · 111 0.147 88.2 5.6% 14.0% vs RHP 390 9.8% 16.7% 10.9% 37
8 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 29 ⚪ D +575 · 130 0.112 87.7 5.5% 14.6% vs RHP 390 9.1% 0.0% 6.0% 39
9 J.P. Crawford J.P. Crawford 28 ⚪ D +750 🌧️ COOL 132 0.141 · 6.6% 26.5% vs RHP · 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 36
Bryce Miller
Bryce Miller RHP
1.39 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.57 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Zach Neto Zach Neto 50 🟠 C +390 🌤️ WARM 39 0.224 89.8 10.1% 22.6% vs RHP 402 20.0% 27.3% 25.1% 29
2 Jorge Soler Jorge Soler 46 ⚪ D +475 🌤️ WARM 59 0.209 88.1 9.2% 36.7% vs RHP 398 15.6% 28.6% 26.9% 14
3 Josh Lowe Josh Lowe 35 ⚪ D +625 🔥 HOT 108 0.142 89.7 8.2% 16.2% vs RHP 388 10.4% 16.7% 10.1% 14
4 Jo Adell Jo Adell 35 ⚪ D +425 🌧️ COOL 109 0.144 90.2 7.9% 11.1% vs RHP 412 11.2% 9.1% 8.2% 35
5 Oswald Peraza Oswald Peraza 33 ⚪ D · · 115 0.147 87.4 8.0% 11.1% vs RHP 386 8.2% 0.0% 8.4% 17
6 Vaughn Grissom Vaughn Grissom 32 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 119 0.138 89.5 7.0% 15.4% vs RHP 396 8.3% 0.0% 8.4% 16
7 Logan O'Hoppe Logan O'Hoppe 31 ⚪ D +575 ❄ COLD 126 0.110 86.5 8.9% 13.8% vs RHP 408 4.3% 10.0% 7.8% 22
8 Nolan Schanuel Nolan Schanuel 28 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 133 0.122 87.3 4.2% 12.5% vs RHP 372 8.7% 16.7% 6.4% 39
🏟️
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