2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Junior Caminero 7 HRs · 2 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 3 Dansby Swanson 5 HRs · 4 Manny Machado 5 HRs · 5 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 6 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 8 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 9 Carter Jensen 4 HRs · 10 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 11 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 12 Caleb Durbin 4 HRs 1 Junior Caminero 7 HRs · 2 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 3 Dansby Swanson 5 HRs · 4 Manny Machado 5 HRs · 5 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 6 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 8 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 9 Carter Jensen 4 HRs · 10 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 11 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 12 Caleb Durbin 4 HRs
DET
@ 8:05p
TEX
Globe Life Field · 17 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Globe Life Field

First pitch 7:05p · roof retractable
Park 0.97× Wind 3 mph out 85°F retractable
+7
8 mph · out
85°F
7:05p
Boost for HR environment
+7
8 mph · out
85°F
8:05p
Boost for HR environment
+7
8 mph · out
85°F
9:05p
Boost for HR environment
+7
8 mph · out
85°F
10:05p
Boost for HR environment
+7
8 mph · out
85°F
11:05p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.07

85°F, wind 3 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Nathan Eovaldi
Nathan Eovaldi RHP 💥 Meltdown
1.47 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.82 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Dillon Dingler Dillon Dingler 62 🔵 C+ +625 · 17 0.289 90.2 9.8% 29.8% vs RHP 397 21.0% 25.0% 28.6% 43
2 Kerry Carpenter Kerry Carpenter 58 🟠 C +475 · 20 0.253 90.9 9.4% 27.7% vs RHP 380 18.2% 30.0% 31.3% 31
3 Spencer Torkelson Spencer Torkelson 52 🟠 C +700 · 31 0.203 90.4 10.5% 24.1% vs RHP 393 15.5% 8.3% 21.4% 30
4 Riley Greene Riley Greene 49 ⚪ D +475 🌤️ WARM 46 0.165 92.0 10.3% 15.5% vs RHP 397 10.6% 16.7% 18.2% 36
5 James Outman James Outman 46 ⚪ D +850 🌤️ WARM 64 0.191 86.4 6.5% 23.1% vs RHP 398 13.6% 22.2% 23.2% 17
6 Hao-Yu Lee Hao-Yu Lee 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 85 0.128 87.7 8.0% 9.1% vs RHP 377 20.0% 20.0% 8.4% 29
7 Colt Keith Colt Keith 37 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 100 0.122 88.6 7.3% 10.0% vs RHP 372 4.2% 11.1% 8.0% 32
8 Kevin Mcgonigle Kevin Mcgonigle 36 ⚪ D +700 · 104 0.130 88.3 8.0% 7.2% vs RHP 396 0.0% 0.0% 7.6% 39
9 Zach Mckinstry Zach Mckinstry 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 138 0.093 84.1 3.8% 7.3% vs RHP 386 0.0% 0.0% 7.6% 39
Framber Valdez
Framber Valdez LHP
0.88 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.02 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Justin Foscue Justin Foscue 50 🟠 C +750 🌧️ COOL 39 0.224 89.1 8.8% 50.0% vs LHP 404 16.7% 33.3% 31.0% 14
2 Jake Burger Jake Burger 47 ⚪ D +750 🌤️ WARM 58 0.189 90.3 7.9% 26.7% vs LHP 396 14.1% 15.4% 15.6% 33
3 Elias Díaz Elias Díaz 46 ⚪ D +675 🌧️ COOL 68 0.178 85.6 7.0% 42.9% vs LHP 393 22.2% 16.7% 13.9% 22
4 Kyle Higashioka Kyle Higashioka 40 ⚪ D +750 ❄ COLD 88 0.143 87.7 7.7% 28.6% vs LHP 397 8.6% 0.0% 9.8% 18
5 Josh Jung Josh Jung 40 ⚪ D +950 🌤️ WARM 90 0.147 90.3 6.2% 16.7% vs LHP 386 11.4% 7.7% 8.8% 38
6 Ezequiel Duran Ezequiel Duran 39 ⚪ D +900 🌧️ COOL 94 0.144 88.8 6.0% 14.3% vs LHP 377 9.1% 15.4% 8.4% 44
7 Nicky Lopez Nicky Lopez 24 ⚪ D · · 144 0.042 85.3 · 6.7% 397 4.0% 0.0% 6.9% 37
8 Alejandro Osuna Alejandro Osuna 18 ⚪ D · · 147 0.027 87.6 · 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 37
🏟️
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