2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Junior Caminero 7 HRs · 2 Dansby Swanson 6 HRs · 3 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 4 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 7 Hunter Goodman 5 HRs · 8 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 9 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 10 Kerry Carpenter 4 HRs · 11 Michael Busch 4 HRs · 12 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs 1 Junior Caminero 7 HRs · 2 Dansby Swanson 6 HRs · 3 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 4 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 7 Hunter Goodman 5 HRs · 8 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 9 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 10 Kerry Carpenter 4 HRs · 11 Michael Busch 4 HRs · 12 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs
TB
@ 7:40p
KC
Kauffman Stadium · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Kauffman Stadium

First pitch 6:40p · roof open
Park 1.06× Wind 7 mph slight_out 76°F open
+7
11 mph · slight_out
89°F
6:40p
Boost for HR environment
+6
10 mph · slight_out
87°F
7:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
9 mph · slight_out
83°F
8:40p
Boost for HR environment
+4
8 mph · slight_out
80°F
9:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
79°F
10:40p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.17

76°F, wind 7 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Stephen Kolek
Stephen Kolek RHP
1.40 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.60 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 69 🔵 C+ +210 🔥 HOT 6 0.253 93.5 9.8% 40.8% vs RHP 407 26.2% 58.3% 40.0% 36
2 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 52 🟠 C +400 🌧️ COOL 31 0.183 90.7 8.5% 22.4% vs RHP 391 14.1% 16.7% 15.3% 37
3 Cedric Mullins Cedric Mullins 45 ⚪ D +425 🌤️ WARM 65 0.121 88.3 5.4% 19.1% vs RHP 394 12.5% 37.5% 16.3% 23
4 Yandy Diaz Yandy Diaz 44 ⚪ D +500 🌤️ WARM 68 0.172 91.1 7.3% 22.9% vs RHP 385 0.0% 0.0% 14.0% 36
5 Ben Williamson Ben Williamson 37 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 97 0.102 88.2 3.2% 12.5% vs RHP 398 3.4% 20.0% 12.7% 15
6 Richie Palacios Richie Palacios 34 ⚪ D +700 🌧️ COOL 114 0.074 86.2 4.7% 4.3% vs RHP 382 0.0% 0.0% 7.7% 27
7 Taylor Walls Taylor Walls 33 ⚪ D +850 🔥 HOT 117 0.068 84.7 5.0% 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 27
8 Nick Fortes Nick Fortes 31 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 125 0.067 86.1 2.9% 5.9% vs RHP 408 0.0% 0.0% 8.4% 21
9 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 23 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 137 0.059 84.2 · 4.2% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 7.7% 40
Ian Seymour
Ian Seymour LHP
1.24 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.12 ·
6 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jac Caglianone Jac Caglianone 62 🔵 C+ +265 🔥 HOT 15 0.209 93.9 11.6% 33.3% vs LHP 418 13.3% 36.4% 32.5% 30
2 Carter Jensen Carter Jensen 54 🟠 C +400 · 26 0.192 91.1 8.4% 7.7% vs LHP 388 15.6% 25.0% 20.6% 38
3 Michael Massey Michael Massey 46 ⚪ D +525 ❄ COLD 60 0.179 90.5 7.6% 16.7% vs LHP 398 7.7% 0.0% 13.8% 33
4 Salvador Perez Salvador Perez 42 ⚪ D +390 🌤️ WARM 77 0.146 88.8 8.6% 15.4% vs LHP 394 0.0% 0.0% 8.5% 35
5 Lane Thomas Lane Thomas 40 ⚪ D +475 🌧️ COOL 85 0.118 87.5 5.8% 5.9% vs LHP 413 12.5% 0.0% 6.6% 34
6 Isaac Collins Isaac Collins 37 ⚪ D +750 🌧️ COOL 101 0.093 88.7 6.7% 6.7% vs LHP 377 4.2% 0.0% 6.7% 30
🏟️
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