TB
@
7:40p
KC
Stadium Conditions
Kauffman Stadium
First pitch 6:40p
· roof open
Park 1.06×
Wind 7 mph slight_out
76°F
open
+7
11 mph · slight_out
89°F
6:40p
Boost for HR environment
+6
10 mph · slight_out
87°F
7:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
9 mph · slight_out
83°F
8:40p
Boost for HR environment
+4
8 mph · slight_out
80°F
9:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
79°F
10:40p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.17
76°F, wind 7 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Junior Caminero | 69 | 🔵 C+ | +210 | 🔥 HOT | 6 | 0.253 | 93.5 | 9.8% | 40.8% vs RHP | 407 | 26.2% | 58.3% | 40.0% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Jonathan Aranda | 52 | 🟠 C | +400 | 🌧️ COOL | 31 | 0.183 | 90.7 | 8.5% | 22.4% vs RHP | 391 | 14.1% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Cedric Mullins | 45 | ⚪ D | +425 | 🌤️ WARM | 65 | 0.121 | 88.3 | 5.4% | 19.1% vs RHP | 394 | 12.5% | 37.5% | 16.3% | 23 |
| 4 |
|
Yandy Diaz | 44 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 68 | 0.172 | 91.1 | 7.3% | 22.9% vs RHP | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.0% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Ben Williamson | 37 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 97 | 0.102 | 88.2 | 3.2% | 12.5% vs RHP | 398 | 3.4% | 20.0% | 12.7% | 15 |
| 6 |
|
Richie Palacios ⚡ | 34 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 114 | 0.074 | 86.2 | 4.7% | 4.3% vs RHP | 382 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Taylor Walls | 33 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🔥 HOT | 117 | 0.068 | 84.7 | 5.0% | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 27 |
| 8 |
|
Nick Fortes | 31 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 125 | 0.067 | 86.1 | 2.9% | 5.9% vs RHP | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 21 |
| 9 |
|
Chandler Simpson ⚡ | 23 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 137 | 0.059 | 84.2 | · | 4.2% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 40 |
6 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jac Caglianone | 62 | 🔵 C+ | +265 | 🔥 HOT | 15 | 0.209 | 93.9 | 11.6% | 33.3% vs LHP | 418 | 13.3% | 36.4% | 32.5% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Carter Jensen ⚡ | 54 | 🟠 C | +400 | · | 26 | 0.192 | 91.1 | 8.4% | 7.7% vs LHP | 388 | 15.6% | 25.0% | 20.6% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Michael Massey | 46 | ⚪ D | +525 | ❄ COLD | 60 | 0.179 | 90.5 | 7.6% | 16.7% vs LHP | 398 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 13.8% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Salvador Perez | 42 | ⚪ D | +390 | 🌤️ WARM | 77 | 0.146 | 88.8 | 8.6% | 15.4% vs LHP | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 35 |
| 5 |
|
Lane Thomas | 40 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 85 | 0.118 | 87.5 | 5.8% | 5.9% vs LHP | 413 | 12.5% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Isaac Collins | 37 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 101 | 0.093 | 88.7 | 6.7% | 6.7% vs LHP | 377 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 30 |