SD
@
10:10p
LAD
Stadium Conditions
Dodger Stadium
First pitch 7:10p
· roof open
Park 1.22×
Wind 2 mph slight_out
61°F
open
+13
6 mph · out
72°F
7:10p
Boost for HR environment
+11
5 mph · out
70°F
8:10p
Boost for HR environment
+10
4 mph · out
69°F
9:10p
Boost for HR environment
+10
4 mph · out
68°F
10:10p
Boost for HR environment
+8
3 mph · out
67°F
11:10p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.09
61°F, wind 2 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: -1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Shohei Ohtani | 75 | 🟡 B | +186 | · | 3 | 0.245 | 93.8 | 15.0% | 25.5% vs RHP | 406 | 18.5% | 25.0% | 35.1% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Max Muncy | 71 | 🟡 B | +280 | ❄ COLD | 5 | 0.244 | 90.2 | 14.1% | 25.4% vs RHP | 409 | 19.4% | 20.0% | 22.8% | 55 |
| 3 |
|
Freddie Freeman | 64 | 🔵 C+ | +330 | · | 12 | 0.198 | 90.7 | 12.6% | 19.0% vs RHP | 396 | 14.6% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Mookie Betts | 63 | 🔵 C+ | +425 | · | 14 | 0.194 | 90.4 | 10.7% | 20.0% vs RHP | 385 | 13.6% | 33.3% | 28.9% | 40 |
| 5 |
|
Andy Pages | 62 | 🔵 C+ | +350 | 🌧️ COOL | 17 | 0.202 | 89.2 | 11.1% | 24.5% vs RHP | 389 | 15.7% | 8.3% | 18.8% | 37 |
| 6 |
|
Teoscar Hernandez | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 24 | 0.177 | 90.0 | 11.9% | 25.0% vs RHP | 383 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.7% | 5 |
| 7 |
|
Kyle Tucker | 50 | 🟠 C | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 43 | 0.135 | 89.1 | 8.9% | 11.3% vs RHP | 399 | 6.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 21 |
| 8 |
|
Alex Freeland | 46 | ⚪ D | +700 | ❄ COLD | 62 | 0.103 | 88.8 | 8.8% | 10.3% vs RHP | 373 | 3.2% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 21 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Manny Machado | 68 | 🔵 C+ | +370 | 🌤️ WARM | 7 | 0.205 | 90.0 | 10.7% | 27.9% vs RHP | 395 | 19.0% | 33.3% | 34.4% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Ty France | 67 | 🔵 C+ | +575 | · | 8 | 0.226 | 91.2 | 11.4% | 34.8% vs RHP | 393 | 17.2% | 27.3% | 40.5% | 26 |
| 3 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 66 | 🔵 C+ | +400 | 🌤️ WARM | 9 | 0.234 | 89.3 | 10.0% | 35.7% vs RHP | 397 | 13.9% | 25.0% | 41.0% | 24 |
| 4 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 52 | 🟠 C | +475 | ❄ COLD | 32 | 0.131 | 89.9 | 10.2% | 12.2% vs RHP | 407 | 10.3% | 0.0% | 10.5% | 35 |
| 5 |
|
Miguel Andujar | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 55 | 0.152 | 88.3 | 7.1% | 16.7% vs RHP | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.3% | 20 |
| 6 |
|
Xander Bogaerts | 47 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 58 | 0.106 | 88.0 | 8.0% | 18.4% vs RHP | 395 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 11.7% | 30 |
| 7 |
|
Freddy Fermin ⚡ | 44 | ⚪ D | +750 | ❄ COLD | 69 | 0.108 | 86.3 | 5.6% | 4.0% vs RHP | 382 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 12 |