2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Junior Caminero 7 HRs · 2 Dansby Swanson 6 HRs · 3 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 4 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 7 Hunter Goodman 5 HRs · 8 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 9 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 10 Kerry Carpenter 4 HRs · 11 Michael Busch 4 HRs · 12 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs 1 Junior Caminero 7 HRs · 2 Dansby Swanson 6 HRs · 3 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 4 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 7 Hunter Goodman 5 HRs · 8 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 9 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 10 Kerry Carpenter 4 HRs · 11 Michael Busch 4 HRs · 12 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs
PIT
@ 12:35p
PHI
Citizens Bank Park · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Citizens Bank Park

First pitch 12:35p · roof open
Park 1.16× Wind 4 mph out 78°F open
+10
7 mph · slight_out
92°F
12:35p
Boost for HR environment
+11
8 mph · slight_out
94°F
1:35p
Boost for HR environment
+12
9 mph · slight_out
96°F
2:35p
Boost for HR environment
+12
10 mph · slight_out
99°F
3:35p
Boost for HR environment
+12
10 mph · slight_out
101°F
4:35p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.28

78°F, wind 4 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Jared Jones
Jared Jones RHP 💥 Meltdown
1.82 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +1.05 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 79 🟡 B +950 · 1 0.328 93.3 13.5% 46.5% vs RHP 404 26.6% 25.0% 54.7% 28
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 72 🟡 B +255 🌤️ WARM 4 0.255 90.5 10.7% 42.5% vs RHP 400 22.0% 38.5% 53.0% 39
3 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 63 🔵 C+ +425 🌤️ WARM 13 0.199 89.7 9.2% 27.9% vs RHP 395 15.2% 38.5% 37.9% 36
4 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 50 🟠 C +425 🌧️ COOL 41 0.150 89.1 8.0% 10.7% vs RHP 393 9.1% 7.7% 13.7% 39
5 Trea Turner Trea Turner 49 ⚪ D +475 🌤️ WARM 49 0.119 88.9 7.2% 17.6% vs RHP 395 12.3% 23.1% 12.8% 42
6 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 46 ⚪ D +500 · 63 0.128 89.9 6.3% 18.2% vs RHP 385 11.4% 8.3% 8.9% 38
7 J.T. Realmuto J.T. Realmuto 40 ⚪ D +425 · 82 0.116 · 6.7% 17.2% vs RHP · 0.0% 0.0% 8.8% 30
8 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 38 ⚪ D +750 ❄ COLD 90 0.096 87.0 3.2% 6.9% vs RHP 382 3.3% 0.0% 11.2% 32
Alan Rangel
Alan Rangel RHP
0.75 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -1.25 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 58 🟠 C +245 🌤️ WARM 19 0.258 90.9 6.1% 25.8% vs RHP 392 17.8% 18.2% 22.8% 35
2 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 48 ⚪ D +400 · 50 0.184 89.5 4.3% 21.7% vs RHP 382 16.4% 9.1% 15.9% 36
3 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 48 ⚪ D +350 🌧️ COOL 52 0.183 91.4 5.4% 15.8% vs RHP 410 12.5% 8.3% 13.1% 30
4 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 72 0.119 89.7 5.0% 14.3% vs RHP 413 9.0% 14.3% 13.4% 9
5 Konnor Griffin Konnor Griffin 43 ⚪ D +400 🌧️ COOL 73 0.138 87.8 4.9% 22.2% vs RHP 401 7.0% 20.0% 11.0% 17
6 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 33 ⚪ D +625 · 116 0.076 85.8 2.9% 9.4% vs RHP 403 3.9% 9.1% 7.4% 29
7 Jake Mangum Jake Mangum 30 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 128 0.056 83.8 1.9% 6.7% vs RHP 410 2.4% 0.0% 8.2% 30
🏟️
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