PIT
@
12:35p
PHI
Stadium Conditions
Citizens Bank Park
First pitch 12:35p
· roof open
Park 1.16×
Wind 4 mph out
78°F
open
+10
7 mph · slight_out
92°F
12:35p
Boost for HR environment
+11
8 mph · slight_out
94°F
1:35p
Boost for HR environment
+12
9 mph · slight_out
96°F
2:35p
Boost for HR environment
+12
10 mph · slight_out
99°F
3:35p
Boost for HR environment
+12
10 mph · slight_out
101°F
4:35p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.28
78°F, wind 4 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 79 | 🟡 B | +950 | · | 1 | 0.328 | 93.3 | 13.5% | 46.5% vs RHP | 404 | 26.6% | 25.0% | 54.7% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper | 72 | 🟡 B | +255 | 🌤️ WARM | 4 | 0.255 | 90.5 | 10.7% | 42.5% vs RHP | 400 | 22.0% | 38.5% | 53.0% | 39 |
| 3 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 63 | 🔵 C+ | +425 | 🌤️ WARM | 13 | 0.199 | 89.7 | 9.2% | 27.9% vs RHP | 395 | 15.2% | 38.5% | 37.9% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Bryson Stott | 50 | 🟠 C | +425 | 🌧️ COOL | 41 | 0.150 | 89.1 | 8.0% | 10.7% vs RHP | 393 | 9.1% | 7.7% | 13.7% | 39 |
| 5 |
|
Trea Turner | 49 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 49 | 0.119 | 88.9 | 7.2% | 17.6% vs RHP | 395 | 12.3% | 23.1% | 12.8% | 42 |
| 6 |
|
Alec Bohm ⚡ | 46 | ⚪ D | +500 | · | 63 | 0.128 | 89.9 | 6.3% | 18.2% vs RHP | 385 | 11.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
J.T. Realmuto ⚡ | 40 | ⚪ D | +425 | · | 82 | 0.116 | · | 6.7% | 17.2% vs RHP | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
Justin Crawford ⚡ | 38 | ⚪ D | +750 | ❄ COLD | 90 | 0.096 | 87.0 | 3.2% | 6.9% vs RHP | 382 | 3.3% | 0.0% | 11.2% | 32 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 58 | 🟠 C | +245 | 🌤️ WARM | 19 | 0.258 | 90.9 | 6.1% | 25.8% vs RHP | 392 | 17.8% | 18.2% | 22.8% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 48 | ⚪ D | +400 | · | 50 | 0.184 | 89.5 | 4.3% | 21.7% vs RHP | 382 | 16.4% | 9.1% | 15.9% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 48 | ⚪ D | +350 | 🌧️ COOL | 52 | 0.183 | 91.4 | 5.4% | 15.8% vs RHP | 410 | 12.5% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 72 | 0.119 | 89.7 | 5.0% | 14.3% vs RHP | 413 | 9.0% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 9 |
| 5 |
|
Konnor Griffin ⚡ | 43 | ⚪ D | +400 | 🌧️ COOL | 73 | 0.138 | 87.8 | 4.9% | 22.2% vs RHP | 401 | 7.0% | 20.0% | 11.0% | 17 |
| 6 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 33 | ⚪ D | +625 | · | 116 | 0.076 | 85.8 | 2.9% | 9.4% vs RHP | 403 | 3.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 29 |
| 7 |
|
Jake Mangum | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 128 | 0.056 | 83.8 | 1.9% | 6.7% vs RHP | 410 | 2.4% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 30 |