CIN
@
2:10p
MIL
Stadium Conditions
American Family Field
First pitch 1:10p
· roof retractable
Park 1.11×
Wind 7 mph in
73°F
retractable
-5
13 mph · in
87°F
1:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
13 mph · in
89°F
2:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
13 mph · in
91°F
3:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
13 mph · in
93°F
4:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-4
12 mph · in
92°F
5:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.11
73°F, wind 7 mph NW (in) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jake Bauers | 65 | 🔵 C+ | +390 | · | 10 | 0.269 | 92.5 | 10.8% | 37.2% vs RHP | 403 | 20.0% | 18.2% | 41.5% | 22 |
| 2 |
|
Jackson Chourio | 59 | 🟠 C | +330 | 🌧️ COOL | 18 | 0.242 | 92.8 | 11.2% | 19.6% vs RHP | 398 | 20.0% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 39 |
| 3 |
|
Brice Turang | 51 | 🟠 C | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 33 | 0.193 | 90.9 | 8.8% | 28.6% vs RHP | 407 | 11.1% | 7.7% | 17.9% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Garrett Mitchell ⚡ | 50 | 🟠 C | +575 | · | 40 | 0.159 | 92.5 | 10.8% | 27.3% vs RHP | 420 | 8.1% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 24 |
| 5 |
|
William Contreras | 49 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 48 | 0.152 | 90.5 | 8.2% | 20.0% vs RHP | 419 | 11.7% | 27.3% | 16.3% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Christian Yelich | 42 | ⚪ D | +500 | · | 76 | 0.129 | 88.8 | 7.7% | 13.0% vs RHP | 399 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 10.1% | 23 |
| 7 |
|
David Hamilton | 37 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 98 | 0.104 | 86.5 | 5.9% | 7.0% vs RHP | 383 | 4.9% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 14 |
| 8 |
|
Sal Frelick ⚡ | 34 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 112 | 0.096 | 86.0 | 4.5% | 5.9% vs RHP | 402 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 28 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 51 | 🟠 C | +500 | · | 35 | 0.228 | 94.1 | 6.4% | 17.5% vs RHP | 395 | 15.6% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 23 |
| 2 |
|
Spencer Steer | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 45 | 0.188 | 89.4 | 6.1% | 17.4% vs RHP | 394 | 12.8% | 22.2% | 21.6% | 24 |
| 3 |
|
Sal Stewart | 49 | ⚪ D | +500 | · | 47 | 0.207 | 90.9 | 6.6% | 20.4% vs RHP | 393 | 11.4% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Jj Bleday | 47 | ⚪ D | +425 | ❄ COLD | 54 | 0.257 | 89.3 | 5.3% | 28.6% vs RHP | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.8% | 23 |
| 5 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe ⚡ | 47 | ⚪ D | +700 | ❄ COLD | 56 | 0.214 | 88.7 | 5.6% | 30.0% vs RHP | 398 | 14.6% | 0.0% | 15.7% | 14 |
| 6 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 41 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌤️ WARM | 80 | 0.143 | 91.1 | 5.7% | 16.2% vs RHP | 384 | 7.5% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 22 |
| 7 |
|
Matt Mclain | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 88 | 0.150 | 89.0 | 5.2% | 10.2% vs RHP | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 13 |
| 8 |
|
Eugenio Suarez ⚡ | 37 | ⚪ D | +500 | · | 94 | 0.158 | 86.8 | 4.5% | 21.7% vs RHP | 384 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.5% | 20 |
| 9 |
|
Tj Friedl | 31 | ⚪ D | +950 | ❄ COLD | 124 | 0.082 | 87.9 | 2.6% | 7.7% vs RHP | 364 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 5 |