2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Junior Caminero 7 HRs · 2 Dansby Swanson 6 HRs · 3 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 4 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 7 Hunter Goodman 5 HRs · 8 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 9 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 10 Kerry Carpenter 4 HRs · 11 Michael Busch 4 HRs · 12 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs 1 Junior Caminero 7 HRs · 2 Dansby Swanson 6 HRs · 3 Ketel Marte 6 HRs · 4 Brandon Marsh 5 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 5 HRs · 7 Hunter Goodman 5 HRs · 8 Bryce Harper 5 HRs · 9 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 10 Kerry Carpenter 4 HRs · 11 Michael Busch 4 HRs · 12 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs
CIN
@ 2:10p
MIL
American Family Field · 17 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

American Family Field

First pitch 1:10p · roof retractable
Park 1.11× Wind 7 mph in 73°F retractable
-5
13 mph · in
87°F
1:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
13 mph · in
89°F
2:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
13 mph · in
91°F
3:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
13 mph · in
93°F
4:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-4
12 mph · in
92°F
5:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.11

73°F, wind 7 mph NW (in) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Chase Burns
Chase Burns RHP
1.14 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.11 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jake Bauers Jake Bauers 65 🔵 C+ +390 · 10 0.269 92.5 10.8% 37.2% vs RHP 403 20.0% 18.2% 41.5% 22
2 Jackson Chourio Jackson Chourio 59 🟠 C +330 🌧️ COOL 18 0.242 92.8 11.2% 19.6% vs RHP 398 20.0% 15.4% 15.9% 39
3 Brice Turang Brice Turang 51 🟠 C +475 🌧️ COOL 33 0.193 90.9 8.8% 28.6% vs RHP 407 11.1% 7.7% 17.9% 38
4 Garrett Mitchell Garrett Mitchell 50 🟠 C +575 · 40 0.159 92.5 10.8% 27.3% vs RHP 420 8.1% 10.0% 14.6% 24
5 William Contreras William Contreras 49 ⚪ D +475 🌤️ WARM 48 0.152 90.5 8.2% 20.0% vs RHP 419 11.7% 27.3% 16.3% 35
6 Christian Yelich Christian Yelich 42 ⚪ D +500 · 76 0.129 88.8 7.7% 13.0% vs RHP 399 6.2% 0.0% 10.1% 23
7 David Hamilton David Hamilton 37 ⚪ D +850 🌤️ WARM 98 0.104 86.5 5.9% 7.0% vs RHP 383 4.9% 0.0% 9.2% 14
8 Sal Frelick Sal Frelick 34 ⚪ D +950 🌤️ WARM 112 0.096 86.0 4.5% 5.9% vs RHP 402 2.9% 0.0% 9.0% 28
Jacob Misiorowski
Jacob Misiorowski RHP
0.43 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.35 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 51 🟠 C +500 · 35 0.228 94.1 6.4% 17.5% vs RHP 395 15.6% 12.5% 14.6% 23
2 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 49 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 45 0.188 89.4 6.1% 17.4% vs RHP 394 12.8% 22.2% 21.6% 24
3 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 49 ⚪ D +500 · 47 0.207 90.9 6.6% 20.4% vs RHP 393 11.4% 16.7% 16.4% 36
4 Jj Bleday Jj Bleday 47 ⚪ D +425 ❄ COLD 54 0.257 89.3 5.3% 28.6% vs RHP 385 0.0% 0.0% 17.8% 23
5 Nathaniel Lowe Nathaniel Lowe 47 ⚪ D +700 ❄ COLD 56 0.214 88.7 5.6% 30.0% vs RHP 398 14.6% 0.0% 15.7% 14
6 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 41 ⚪ D +700 🌤️ WARM 80 0.143 91.1 5.7% 16.2% vs RHP 384 7.5% 12.5% 9.6% 22
7 Matt Mclain Matt Mclain 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 88 0.150 89.0 5.2% 10.2% vs RHP 398 0.0% 0.0% 9.2% 13
8 Eugenio Suarez Eugenio Suarez 37 ⚪ D +500 · 94 0.158 86.8 4.5% 21.7% vs RHP 384 0.0% 0.0% 11.5% 20
9 Tj Friedl Tj Friedl 31 ⚪ D +950 ❄ COLD 124 0.082 87.9 2.6% 7.7% vs RHP 364 0.0% 0.0% 9.1% 5
🏟️
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