LongDong™ — MIA @ COL

MIA

@ 3:10p

COL

Coors Field · 17 ranked batters

Stadium Conditions

Coors Field

First pitch 1:10p · roof open

Park 1.14× Wind 8 mph cross 65°F open

6 mph · slight_out

81°F

1:10p

Boost for HR environment

+10

5 mph · out

86°F

2:10p

Boost for HR environment

+11

6 mph · out

90°F

3:10p

Boost for HR environment

+10

9 mph · slight_out

89°F

4:10p

Boost for HR environment

13 mph · cross

88°F

5:10p

Boost for HR environment

⚪ Boost · Combined 1.14

65°F, wind 8 mph W (cross) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Ryan Gusto RHP

0.83 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.45 ·

9 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Hunter Goodman	75	🟡 B	+198	🌤️ WARM	2	0.300	91.4	13.2%	40.4% vs RHP	409	28.0%	36.4%	36.3%	31
2	Kyle Karros	51	🟠 C	·	🔥 HOT	34	0.145	89.7	8.9%	20.8% vs RHP	400	9.4%	22.2%	17.8%	18
3	Tj Rumfield	50	🟠 C	+400	❄ COLD	37	0.198	84.4	7.8%	19.7% vs RHP	406	10.0%	0.0%	14.9%	37
4	Jake Mccarthy	49	⚪ D	+575	·	44	0.182	85.1	7.1%	15.8% vs RHP	411	20.0%	0.0%	11.9%	45
5	Ezequiel Tovar	46	⚪ D	+400	❄ COLD	61	0.136	87.7	8.4%	16.0% vs RHP	415	6.5%	10.0%	9.3%	28
6	Willi Castro	44	⚪ D	+425	🌤️ WARM	71	0.116	88.4	7.8%	11.1% vs RHP	425	6.2%	9.1%	8.1%	28
7	Edouard Julien	42	⚪ D	+700	🌤️ WARM	78	0.104	91.5	8.2%	11.1% vs RHP	389	2.9%	0.0%	8.1%	12
8	Troy Johnston	41	⚪ D	+625	🌧️ COOL	81	0.145	89.1	4.9%	8.8% vs RHP	415	1.6%	0.0%	8.6%	19
9	Tyler Freeman ⚡	36	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	103	0.091	87.5	3.5%	4.2% vs RHP	369	2.9%	0.0%	7.4%	26

Michael Lorenzen RHP 💥 Meltdown

1.55 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.62 ·

8 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Owen Caissie	64	🔵 C+	+330	🌤️ WARM	11	0.200	91.6	11.7%	27.0% vs RHP	397	13.8%	27.3%	30.7%	21
2	Kyle Stowers	57	🟠 C	+255	🔥 HOT	22	0.203	91.0	9.9%	18.9% vs RHP	401	8.5%	8.3%	16.9%	24
3	Liam Hicks	52	🟠 C	+425	❄ COLD	30	0.182	85.4	6.1%	24.0% vs RHP	376	17.4%	0.0%	16.0%	14
4	Heriberto Hernández	50	🟠 C	·	·	38	0.174	91.8	8.8%	16.7% vs RHP	409	0.0%	0.0%	18.4%	27
5	Otto Lopez	50	🟠 C	+475	🌧️ COOL	42	0.150	89.8	7.8%	10.4% vs RHP	403	7.1%	16.7%	9.7%	41
6	Xavier Edwards ⚡	44	⚪ D	+950	❄ COLD	70	0.131	86.9	6.4%	4.3% vs RHP	396	6.0%	0.0%	8.7%	40
7	Javier Sanoja ⚡	43	⚪ D	+700	🌤️ WARM	74	0.126	87.4	3.9%	5.0% vs RHP	385	6.0%	14.3%	7.7%	29
8	Jakob Marsee	40	⚪ D	+475	❄ COLD	83	0.095	86.6	5.3%	7.0% vs RHP	379	6.0%	0.0%	9.2%	35

🏟️

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Coors Field

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