Willson Contreras
RHB
BOS
· 90 appearances tracked
20
HRs
22.2%
HR Rate
28.3%
Avg HR/FB
90.7
Avg EV
0.214
ISO
#4
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.258
Avg EV90.7
Barrel%10.8%
HR/FB vs RHP37.5%
Avg HR Dist406
Match%34.2%
Season HR%
22.2%
14D Pace
33.3%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-07-21
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
56.1%
13
Breaking
28.5%
3
Offspeed
15.4%
5
All
100%
14.2%
21
24.8%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Kyle Bradish · RHP · BOS
SMALL SAMPLE · 9 PA · since 2026
.500
AVG
2.000
SLG
3
HR
3-for-6 with 3 homers and 3 walks across 9 plate appearances since 2026. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
1 of 4 active
Fenway Neutral
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Even
Weather +1
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
10.8
vs
—
HR/FB
37.5
vs
21.7 ▲ edge
K%
24.8
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
20 this season · avg 409 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Apr 25
Trevor Rogers · Camden Yards
—
104.2
418.0
Apr 26
Kyle Bradish · Camden Yards
—
108.6
406.0
Apr 29
Eric Lauer · Rogers Centre
—
103.9
406.0
May 16
Bryce Elder · Truist Park
—
106.1
426.0
Jun 4
vs BAL · Trevor Rogers
—
100.2
403
Jun 5
@ NYY · Ryan Weathers
—
112.8
419
Jun 12
vs TEX · Jack Leiter
—
104.3
379
Jun 14
vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
—
101.5
392
Jun 29
vs WSH · Miles Mikolas
—
104.5
421
Jul 4
@ LAA · Sam Aldegheri
—
108.9
421
Jul 5
@ LAA · Ryan Johnson
—
112.2
446
Jul 17
vs TB · Mason Englert
—
107.6
367
Jul 19
vs TB · Shane McClanahan
—
106.8
414
HR by month
May
Jun
Jul
All Appearances
90 tracked · 20 HR · 46 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Jul 20
vs BAL · Shane Baz
3
111.0
3 BIP
Jul 19
vs TB · Shane McClanahan
3
106.8
HR
3 BIP
Jul 18
vs TB · Ian Seymour
2
100.9
2 BIP
Jul 17
vs TB · Mason Englert
1
107.6
HR
1 BIP
Jul 8
@ CWS · Davis Martin
2
107.5
2 BIP
Jul 7
@ CWS · Noah Schultz
3
100.2
3 BIP
Jul 5
@ LAA · Ryan Johnson
3
112.2
HR
3 BIP
Jul 4
@ LAA · Sam Aldegheri
5
108.9
HR
5 BIP
Jul 3
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
4
111.2
4 BIP
Jul 1
vs WSH · Brad Lord
4
113.4
4 BIP
Jun 30
vs WSH · Cade Cavalli
1
96.0
1 BIP
Jun 29
vs WSH · Miles Mikolas
1
104.5
HR
1 BIP
Jun 28
vs NYY · Carlos Rodón
2
96.0
2 BIP
Jun 27
vs NYY · Gerrit Cole
3
114.4
3 BIP
Jun 26
vs NYY · Will Warren
2
111.9
HR
2 BIP
Jun 25
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
3
112.8
3 BIP
Jun 24
@ COL · Kyle Freeland
3
102.2
3 BIP
Jun 23
@ COL · Sean Sullivan
4
100.2
4 BIP
Jun 22
@ COL · Ryan Feltner
4
98.3
4 BIP
Jun 21
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
1
96.8
1 BIP
Jun 20
@ SEA · Emerson Hancock
1
97.0
1 BIP
Jun 19
@ SEA · Bryce Miller
3
99.5
3 BIP
Jun 18
vs TOR · Trey Yesavage
3
92.0
3 BIP
Jun 17
vs TOR · Braydon Fisher
2
102.8
2 BIP
Jun 16
vs TOR · Dylan Cease
0
—
—
Jun 14
vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
3
101.5
HR
3 BIP
Jun 13
vs TEX · Jacob deGrom
4
104.0
4 BIP
Jun 12
vs TEX · Jack Leiter
3
104.3
HR
3 BIP
Jun 10
@ TB · Drew Rasmussen
1
58.2
1 BIP
Jun 9
@ TB · Nick Martinez
3
69.9
3 BIP
Jun 8
@ TB · Ian Seymour
2
96.9
2 BIP
Jun 7
@ NYY · Cam Schlittler
3
110.0
3 BIP
Jun 6
@ NYY · Will Warren
0
—
—
Jun 5
@ NYY · Ryan Weathers
3
112.8
HR
3 BIP
Jun 4
vs BAL · Trevor Rogers
3
105.5
HR
3 BIP
Jun 3
vs BAL · Chris Bassitt
4
109.8
4 BIP
Jun 2
vs BAL · Shane Baz
1
94.4
1 BIP
May 30
@ CLE · Parker Messick
2
105.8
2 BIP
May 29
@ CLE · Slade Cecconi
3
112.1
3 BIP
May 28
vs ATL · Chris Sale
2
93.9
2 BIP
May 27
vs ATL · Bryce Elder
3
103.7
3 BIP
May 26
vs ATL · Spencer Strider
4
107.6
4 BIP
May 24
vs MIN · Bailey Ober
3
105.6
HR
3 BIP
May 23
vs MIN · Taj Bradley
3
101.2
3 BIP
May 22
vs MIN · Connor Prielipp
3
102.2
3 BIP
May 20
@ KC · Michael Wacha
4
99.1
4 BIP
May 19
@ KC · Bailey Falter
4
97.3
4 BIP
May 18
@ KC · Seth Lugo
4
110.0
HR
4 BIP
May 17
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
3
101.0
3 BIP
May 16
@ ATL · Bryce Elder
3
113.0
HR
3 BIP
May 15
@ ATL · Spencer Strider
2
82.1
2 BIP
May 14
vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo
4
97.9
4 BIP
May 13
vs PHI · Andrew Painter
3
105.0
3 BIP
May 12
vs PHI · Zack Wheeler
2
102.6
2 BIP
May 10
vs TB · Nick Martinez
1
68.5
1 BIP
May 9
vs TB · Nick Martinez
5
108.5
5 BIP
May 8
vs TB · Jesse Scholtens
1
60.5
1 BIP
May 7
vs TB · Griffin Jax
3
111.9
3 BIP
May 6
@ DET · Jack Flaherty
1
76.2
1 BIP
May 5
@ DET · Framber Valdez
3
111.9
HR
3 BIP
May 4
@ DET · Tarik Skubal
2
79.4
2 BIP
May 3
vs HOU · Cody Bolton
3
110.5
3 BIP
May 2
vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
5
109.5
5 BIP
May 1
vs HOU · Mike Burrows
1
91.2
1 BIP
Apr 29
@ TOR · Eric Lauer
4
108.0
HR
4 BIP
Apr 27
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
3
96.8
3 BIP
Apr 26
@ BAL · Kyle Bradish
2
108.6
HR
2 BIP
Apr 25
@ BAL · Trevor Rogers
4
106.4
HR
4 BIP
Apr 24
@ BAL · Brandon Young
4
100.9
4 BIP
Apr 23
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
2
100.2
2 BIP
Apr 22
vs NYY · Max Fried
2
71.5
2 BIP
Apr 21
vs NYY · Luis Gil
4
113.2
4 BIP
Apr 20
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
4
108.9
4 BIP
Apr 19
vs DET · Framber Valdez
3
109.4
HR
3 BIP
Apr 18
vs DET · Tarik Skubal
1
100.8
1 BIP
Apr 17
vs DET · Casey Mize
2
102.9
2 BIP
Apr 13
vs CLE · Gavin Williams
1
76.6
1 BIP
Apr 12
@ STL · Andre Pallante
5
106.2
HR
5 BIP
Apr 11
@ STL · Ranger Suarez
2
112.8
2 BIP
Apr 10
@ STL · Dustin May
2
106.9
2 BIP
Apr 8
vs STL · Miles Mikolas
3
108.6
3 BIP
Apr 7
vs STL · Cade Cavalli
1
94.4
1 BIP
Apr 6
vs STL · Zack Littell
3
105.3
HR
3 BIP
Apr 5
vs STL · Keider Montero
2
91.5
2 BIP
Apr 4
vs STL · Jack Flaherty
3
104.2
3 BIP
Apr 1
vs NYM · Freddy Peralta
2
103.6
2 BIP
Mar 31
vs NYM · Kodai Senga
4
100.8
4 BIP
Mar 30
vs NYM · Clay Holmes
2
101.2
2 BIP
Mar 29
@ CIN · Rhett Lowder
3
110.3
3 BIP
Mar 26
vs TB · Drew Rasmussen
3
87.7
3 BIP
Ballpark
Fenway Park · open-air
Park Factor
0.971
Wind
6 mph from S
Temp
78°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
7:10p
6 →
78°
-1
8:10p
6 →
78°
-1
9:10p
6 →
78°
-1
10:10p
6 →
78°
-1
11:10p
6 →
78°
-1
-1
Neutral alignment
proxy spray · game-window FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing across to pull (from S)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Tue 7/21
Dueness now
0.25×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
4 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
1 gm
since his last HR, Jul 19
Season
20 HR
90 games · 2 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 19 gaps · median 4 gm · MAD ± 2 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 62 → 62
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
season hr rate
HR/FB Matchup
Park Factor
Pitcher FIP
recent hr density 14d
Exit Velocity