Matt McLain
RHB
CIN
· 99 appearances tracked
10
HRs
10.1%
HR Rate
11.5%
Avg HR/FB
88.1
Avg EV
0.131
ISO
#23
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet.
The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-31
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
58.2%
8
Breaking
33.0%
4
Offspeed
8.8%
1
All
100%
9.9%
13
27.3%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
Batter vs. Pitcher
head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
0 of 4 active
Ballpark —
Pitcher form —
Platoon —
Weather —
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
K%
27.3
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days
10 this season · avg 360 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Aug 20
vs STL · Ryne Stanek
—
102.0
360
HR by month
Aug
All Appearances
99 tracked · 10 HR · 9 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 30
@ CHC · Shota Imanaga
2
104.5
2 BIP
Aug 29
@ CHC · Kevin Gausman
3
94.4
3 BIP
Aug 28
@ CHC · David Peterson
3
103.4
3 BIP
Aug 26
@ SF · Logan Webb
4
95.2
4 BIP
Aug 23
@ AZ · Mitch Bratt
1
87.8
1 BIP
Aug 20
vs STL · Michael McGreevy
4
102.0
HR
4 BIP
Aug 19
vs STL · Matthew Liberatore
3
107.4
3 BIP
Aug 18
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
3
100.1
3 BIP
Aug 17
vs STL · Quinn Mathews
4
75.4
4 BIP
Aug 16
vs MIA · Eury Pérez
1
87.0
1 BIP
Aug 15
vs MIA · Ryan Gusto
3
103.2
HR
3 BIP
Aug 14
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
1
94.5
1 BIP
Aug 13
@ CWS · Davis Martin
3
106.6
3 BIP
Aug 12
@ CWS · Luis Castillo
1
100.6
1 BIP
Aug 11
@ CWS · Sean Burke
4
97.2
4 BIP
Aug 9
@ WSH · Brad Lord
2
69.7
2 BIP
Aug 8
@ WSH · Andrew Alvarez
1
93.1
1 BIP
Aug 7
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
2
105.5
HR
2 BIP
Aug 6
vs ATH · Mason Barnett
1
73.5
1 BIP
Aug 5
vs ATH · Jacob Lopez
2
98.2
HR
2 BIP
Aug 4
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
3
85.5
3 BIP
Aug 2
vs PIT · Mitch Keller
3
96.6
3 BIP
Aug 1
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
1
75.4
1 BIP
Jul 31
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
3
91.3
3 BIP
Jul 30
vs PIT · Yohan Ramírez
2
79.6
2 BIP
Jul 7
vs PHI · Zack Wheeler
1
59.1
1 BIP
Jul 4
vs BAL · Brandon Young
1
86.3
1 BIP
Jul 3
vs BAL · Trevor Rogers
1
—
1 BIP
Jul 1
@ MIL · Shane Drohan
1
77.7
1 BIP
Jun 29
@ MIL · Robert Gasser
3
96.3
3 BIP
Jun 26
@ PIT · Paul Skenes
2
104.1
2 BIP
Jun 24
vs MIL · Shane Drohan
2
96.6
2 BIP
Jun 22
vs MIL · Brandon Woodruff
0
—
—
Jun 20
@ NYY · Will Warren
3
98.5
3 BIP
Jun 19
@ NYY · Cam Schlittler
1
93.9
1 BIP
Jun 17
vs NYM · Nolan McLean
1
104.5
1 BIP
Jun 16
vs NYM · Kodai Senga
1
89.0
1 BIP
Jun 15
vs NYM · Tobias Myers
0
—
—
Jun 14
vs AZ · Zac Gallen
3
101.9
3 BIP
Jun 13
vs AZ · Michael Soroka
2
108.5
2 BIP
Jun 12
vs AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
3
105.0
3 BIP
Jun 10
@ SD · Michael King
3
81.0
3 BIP
Jun 9
@ SD · Lucas Giolito
1
60.1
1 BIP
Jun 7
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
2
104.0
HR
2 BIP
Jun 6
@ STL · Matthew Liberatore
3
103.5
HR
3 BIP
Jun 3
vs KC · Stephen Kolek
2
101.4
2 BIP
Jun 2
vs KC · Noah Cameron
2
81.5
2 BIP
Jun 1
vs KC · Luinder Avila
2
99.4
2 BIP
May 30
vs ATL · Martín Pérez
1
90.5
1 BIP
May 26
@ NYM · David Peterson
4
86.1
4 BIP
May 25
@ NYM · Nolan McLean
2
100.1
2 BIP
May 23
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
3
100.3
3 BIP
May 22
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
0
—
—
May 20
@ PHI · Aaron Nola
4
96.9
4 BIP
May 19
@ PHI · Jesús Luzardo
3
87.8
3 BIP
May 18
@ PHI · Andrew Painter
2
102.6
2 BIP
May 17
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
3
101.5
3 BIP
May 16
@ CLE · Joey Cantillo
2
98.5
2 BIP
May 15
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
103.6
HR
3 BIP
May 14
vs WSH · Foster Griffin
3
104.3
HR
3 BIP
May 13
vs WSH · Jake Irvin
4
107.3
4 BIP
May 12
vs WSH · Miles Mikolas
4
92.8
4 BIP
May 10
vs HOU · Kai-Wei Teng
2
98.4
2 BIP
May 9
vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
2
96.3
2 BIP
May 8
vs HOU · Mike Burrows
3
73.8
3 BIP
May 7
@ CHC · Shota Imanaga
3
102.0
3 BIP
May 6
@ CHC · Colin Rea
4
99.3
HR
4 BIP
May 5
@ CHC · Jameson Taillon
4
97.9
4 BIP
May 4
@ CHC · Edward Cabrera
0
—
—
May 3
@ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
3
90.0
3 BIP
May 2
@ PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski
1
91.7
1 BIP
May 1
@ PIT · Mitch Keller
2
84.8
2 BIP
Apr 30
vs COL · Michael Lorenzen
3
99.1
3 BIP
Apr 29
vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
3
98.3
3 BIP
Apr 26
vs DET · Keider Montero
3
103.3
3 BIP
Apr 25
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
1
92.5
1 BIP
Apr 24
vs DET · Framber Valdez
4
106.8
HR
4 BIP
Apr 22
@ TB · Nick Martinez
3
98.2
3 BIP
Apr 21
@ TB · Steven Matz
5
92.1
5 BIP
Apr 19
@ MIN · Bailey Ober
3
98.9
3 BIP
Apr 18
@ MIN · Taj Bradley
0
—
—
Apr 17
@ MIN · Joe Ryan
1
71.1
1 BIP
Apr 16
vs SF · Landen Roupp
2
97.6
2 BIP
Apr 14
vs SF · Robbie Ray
2
91.1
2 BIP
Apr 12
vs LAA · José Soriano
4
103.0
4 BIP
Apr 11
vs LAA · George Klassen
0
—
—
Apr 10
vs LAA · Jack Kochanowicz
4
105.0
4 BIP
Apr 9
@ MIA · Max Meyer
4
93.3
4 BIP
Apr 8
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
3
97.2
3 BIP
Apr 7
@ MIA · Sandy Alcantara
5
101.5
5 BIP
Apr 6
@ MIA · Janson Junk
2
90.8
2 BIP
Apr 5
@ TEX · Jack Leiter
1
79.0
1 BIP
Apr 4
@ TEX · Kumar Rocker
3
90.2
3 BIP
Apr 1
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
1
98.0
1 BIP
Mar 31
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
0
—
—
Mar 30
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
4
99.9
4 BIP
Mar 29
vs BOS · Connelly Early
2
106.2
2 BIP
Mar 28
vs BOS · Sonny Gray
4
110.5
4 BIP
Mar 26
vs BOS · Garrett Crochet
2
100.1
2 BIP
Ballpark
park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Mon 8/31
Dueness now
0.71×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
7 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
5 gm
since his last HR, Aug 20
Season
10 HR
99 games · 1 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 9 gaps · median 7 gm · MAD ± 5 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Common questions about Matt McLain
Will Matt McLain hit a home run today?
Matt McLain is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 10 times in 99 scored games (about 10% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.
How often does Matt McLain hit home runs?
Across 99 scored games this season, Matt McLain has 10 home runs — one every 9.9 games, or about 10% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.