Aaron Ashby
LHP
WSH
0
HRs Allowed
0.0%
HR Rate (Pool)
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
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HR/9 ?Home runs allowed per 9 innings. >1.5 elite-bad (homer-friendly), 1.2–1.5 above avg, <0.9 elite-good (HR-resistant).
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HR/FB ?Pitcher's HR-per-fly-ball rate. >15% elite homer-prone, 12–15% above avg, <8% homer-resistant. League avg ~12%.
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Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
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Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
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FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
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FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
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xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
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FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
0.0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
9
Pool Matchups
0
HRs Allowed (Pool)
1
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
0.0%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 95.0mph | · | · | · | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 15 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 95.0mph | · | · | · | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 95.0mph | · | · | · | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
95.0
Avg Max EV
116.3
Max EV Allowed
6
Hard-Hit Proxy · 66.7%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
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Avg HR EV
—
Avg HR Launch
—
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | James Wood | 116.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-10 | CJ Abrams | 110.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Keibert Ruiz | 104.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Curtis Mead | 103.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Daylen Lile | 100.3mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 333 | 52.3% | +0.7 | 84.7 | 16.1° | 1 |
| Curveball | 120 | 18.8% | -3.4 | 71.5 | -22.5° | 0 |
| Slider | 98 | 15.4% | -2.7 | 76.7 | 9.9° | 0 |
| Changeup | 64 | 10.0% | -2.0 | 81.9 | -5.8° | 0 |
| Fastball | 22 | 3.5% | +3.2 | 82.0 | 33.5° | 0 |
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | Keibert Ruiz | #231 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Jorbit Vivas | #221 | 27 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Brady House | #220 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Curtis Mead | #195 | 27 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Luis García Jr. | #165 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Daylen Lile | #144 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-10 | CJ Abrams | #77 | 39 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-10 | Joey Wiemer | #26 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-10 | James Wood | #11 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |