MLB Home Run Predictions — June 7, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-06-07: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for June 7, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #3 | Hunter Goodman | Shane Drohan | 78 | B AboveAvg |
| #23 | Nick Kurtz | Mike Burrows | 68 | C+ Value |
| #28 | Brent Rooker | Mike Burrows | 64 | C+ Value |
| #40 | Brandon Marsh | CWS Bullpen Proxy | 60 | C+ Value |
| #43 | Gary Sánchez | Kyle Freeland | 59 | C BelowAvg |
| #55 | Zach Neto | Emmet Sheehan | 55 | C BelowAvg |
| #56 | Brandon Valenzuela | Shane Baz | 55 | C BelowAvg |
| #62 | Dalton Rushing | José Soriano | 53 | C BelowAvg |
| #66 | Marcus Semien | Randy Vásquez | 53 | C BelowAvg |
| #67 | MJ Melendez | Randy Vásquez | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #68 | Cody Bellinger | Ranger Suarez | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #73 | CJ Abrams | Michael Soroka | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #74 | Colton Cowser | Kevin Gausman | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #76 | Corbin Carroll | Cade Cavalli | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #77 | Jo Adell | Emmet Sheehan | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #91 | Carson Benge | Randy Vásquez | 48 | D Below |
| #99 | Spencer Horwitz | Bryce Elder | 47 | D Below |
| #132 | Gabriel Moreno | Cade Cavalli | 40 | D Below |
| #133 | Tyler Stephenson | Michael McGreevy | 40 | D Below |
| #151 | Josh Jung | Joey Cantillo | 37 | D Below |
| #166 | Matt McLain | Michael McGreevy | 35 | D Below |
| #170 | Wyatt Langford | Joey Cantillo | 33 | D Below |
| #175 | Justin Foscue | Joey Cantillo | 32 | D Below |
| #182 | Taylor Ward | Kevin Gausman | 31 | D Below |
| #187 | Josh Bell | Noah Cameron | 30 | D Below |
| #199 | Starling Marte | Connor Prielipp | 28 | D Below |
| #208 | Kevin McGonigle | Luis Castillo | 25 | D Below |
| #216 | Bryan Torres | Rhett Lowder | 23 | D Below |
| #223 | Rafael Marchán | CWS Bullpen Proxy | 21 | D Below |
| #227 | Freddy Fermin | Huascar Brazobán | 20 | D Below |
| #233 | Michael Helman | Joey Cantillo | 13 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Zach Neto, Brandon Valenzuela, Dalton Rushing, Marcus Semien, MJ Melendez, Cody Bellinger, CJ Abrams, Colton Cowser, Corbin Carroll, Jo Adell, Carson Benge, Spencer Horwitz, Gabriel Moreno, Tyler Stephenson, Josh Jung, Matt McLain, Wyatt Langford, Justin Foscue, Taylor Ward, Josh Bell, Starling Marte, Kevin McGonigle, Bryan Torres, Rafael Marchán, Freddy Fermin, Michael Helman