Luke Raley
SEA
· 81 appearances tracked
10
HRs
12.3%
HR Rate
36.7%
Avg HR/FB
91.9
Avg EV
0.261
ISO
#1
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet.
The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-10-16
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
53.5%
10
Breaking
25.5%
3
Offspeed
21.0%
2
All
100%
15.7%
15
32.5%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
0 of 4 active
Ballpark —
Pitcher form —
Platoon —
Weather —
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
K%
32.5
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days
10 this season · avg 382 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
May 13
Lance McCullers Jr. · Minute Maid Park
—
102.2
356.0
May 14
Mike Burrows · Minute Maid Park
—
102.0
368.0
May 25
@ ATH · Aaron Civale
—
99.2
389.0
May 29
vs AZ · Zac Gallen
—
102.9
403
May 30
vs AZ · Ryne Nelson
—
106.7
390
Jun 11
@ BAL · Kyle Bradish
—
92.4
388
HR by month
May
Jun
All Appearances
81 tracked · 10 HR · 59 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Jul 31
vs MIN · Zebby Matthews
0
—
—
Jul 30
@ LAD · Roki Sasaki
2
90.0
2 BIP
Jul 29
@ LAD · Eric Lauer
1
85.2
1 BIP
Jul 28
@ LAD · Justin Wrobleski
0
—
—
Jul 27
@ TEX · Kumar Rocker
1
99.6
1 BIP
Jul 26
@ TEX · Jacob deGrom
0
—
—
Jul 25
@ TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
1
94.4
1 BIP
Jul 22
vs CIN · Brady Singer
4
100.5
4 BIP
Jul 21
vs CIN · Chase Burns
0
—
—
Jul 20
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
1
105.0
1 BIP
Jul 18
vs SF · Logan Webb
2
103.7
2 BIP
Jul 17
vs SF · Landen Roupp
3
105.8
3 BIP
Jul 11
@ TB · Griffin Jax
2
109.1
2 BIP
Jul 10
@ TB · Nick Martinez
2
98.4
2 BIP
Jul 9
@ MIA · Janson Junk
3
110.6
3 BIP
Jul 8
@ MIA · Tyler Phillips
2
64.3
2 BIP
Jul 7
@ MIA · Max Meyer
4
94.9
4 BIP
Jul 5
vs TOR · Trey Yesavage
3
109.1
3 BIP
Jul 4
vs TOR · Shane Bieber
1
74.2
1 BIP
Jul 3
vs TOR · Dylan Cease
2
100.1
2 BIP
Jul 2
vs LAA · Walbert Ureña
1
96.7
1 BIP
Jun 30
vs LAA · José Soriano
0
—
—
Jun 29
vs LAA · Ryan Johnson
0
—
—
Jun 27
@ CLE · Slade Cecconi
2
92.7
2 BIP
Jun 25
@ PIT · Bubba Chandler
2
105.1
2 BIP
Jun 24
@ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
0
—
—
Jun 23
@ PIT · Mitch Keller
4
100.2
4 BIP
Jun 20
vs BOS · Connelly Early
0
—
—
Jun 19
vs BOS · Ranger Suarez
0
—
—
Jun 17
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
0
—
—
Jun 16
vs BAL · Brandon Young
0
—
—
Jun 14
@ WSH · PJ Poulin
3
93.3
3 BIP
Jun 13
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
2
104.8
2 BIP
Jun 12
@ WSH · Zack Littell
3
103.4
3 BIP
Jun 11
@ BAL · Kyle Bradish
3
104.7
HR
3 BIP
Jun 10
@ BAL · Brandon Young
3
103.2
3 BIP
Jun 8
@ BAL · Trey Gibson
2
102.8
2 BIP
Jun 7
@ DET · Jack Flaherty
3
107.8
3 BIP
Jun 6
@ DET · Keider Montero
3
100.5
3 BIP
Jun 3
vs NYM · Freddy Peralta
2
103.6
2 BIP
Jun 1
vs NYM · Austin Warren
1
70.8
1 BIP
May 31
vs AZ · Merrill Kelly
3
93.4
3 BIP
May 30
vs AZ · Ryne Nelson
3
106.7
HR
3 BIP
May 29
vs AZ · Zac Gallen
3
102.9
HR
3 BIP
May 25
@ ATH · Aaron Civale
3
103.2
HR
3 BIP
May 24
@ KC · Seth Lugo
5
105.2
5 BIP
May 23
@ KC · Stephen Kolek
3
91.9
3 BIP
May 22
@ KC · Noah Cameron
1
101.9
1 BIP
May 20
vs CWS · Sean Burke
1
84.7
1 BIP
May 19
vs CWS · Anthony Kay
0
—
—
May 18
vs CWS · Noah Schultz
0
—
—
May 17
vs SD · Lucas Giolito
1
95.5
1 BIP
May 16
vs SD · Walker Buehler
3
92.3
3 BIP
May 15
vs SD · Randy Vásquez
1
96.6
1 BIP
May 14
@ HOU · Mike Burrows
5
107.6
HR
5 BIP
May 13
@ HOU · Lance McCullers Jr.
2
104.7
HR
2 BIP
May 12
@ HOU · Tatsuya Imai
3
104.2
3 BIP
May 11
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
1
83.9
1 BIP
May 10
@ CWS · Davis Martin
0
—
—
May 9
@ CWS · Anthony Kay
0
—
—
May 8
@ CWS · Sean Burke
3
113.4
HR
3 BIP
May 6
vs ATL · Martín Pérez
0
—
—
May 5
vs ATL · Bryce Elder
1
38.8
1 BIP
May 4
vs ATL · JR Ritchie
2
105.5
HR
2 BIP
May 3
vs KC · Kris Bubic
0
—
—
May 2
vs KC · Seth Lugo
2
103.5
2 BIP
May 1
vs KC · Cole Ragans
0
—
—
Apr 29
@ MIN · Taj Bradley
1
96.0
1 BIP
Apr 28
@ MIN · Joe Ryan
3
81.1
3 BIP
Apr 27
@ MIN · Connor Prielipp
0
—
—
Apr 26
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
3
95.4
3 BIP
Apr 25
@ STL · Matthew Liberatore
0
—
—
Apr 24
@ STL · Andre Pallante
1
103.8
1 BIP
Apr 22
vs ATH · Aaron Civale
1
107.2
1 BIP
Apr 21
vs ATH · Jacob Lopez
0
—
—
Apr 20
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
0
—
—
Apr 19
vs TEX · MacKenzie Gore
1
86.7
1 BIP
Apr 18
vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
3
112.7
HR
3 BIP
Apr 17
vs TEX · Jacob deGrom
1
79.3
1 BIP
Apr 16
@ SD · Walker Buehler
1
88.3
1 BIP
Apr 15
@ SD · Randy Vásquez
4
113.2
HR
4 BIP
Ballpark
park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game —
Dueness now
11.33×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
3 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
34 gm
since his last HR, Jun 11
Season
10 HR
81 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 9 gaps · median 3 gm · MAD ± 2 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Common questions about Luke Raley
Will Luke Raley hit a home run today?
Luke Raley is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 10 times in 81 scored games (about 12% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.
How often does Luke Raley hit home runs?
Across 81 scored games this season, Luke Raley has 10 home runs — one every 8.1 games, or about 12% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.