2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Esmerlyn Valdez 6 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 3 Elly De La Cruz 4 HRs · 4 Eugenio Suárez 4 HRs · 5 Nick Gonzales 4 HRs · 6 Willy Adames 4 HRs · 7 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 8 Wilyer Abreu 4 HRs · 9 Ty France 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Torkelson 4 HRs · 11 Seiya Suzuki 4 HRs · 12 Nolan Arenado 4 HRs 1 Esmerlyn Valdez 6 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 3 Elly De La Cruz 4 HRs · 4 Eugenio Suárez 4 HRs · 5 Nick Gonzales 4 HRs · 6 Willy Adames 4 HRs · 7 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 8 Wilyer Abreu 4 HRs · 9 Ty France 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Torkelson 4 HRs · 11 Seiya Suzuki 4 HRs · 12 Nolan Arenado 4 HRs
Joc Pederson
Joc Pederson
TEX · LHB
Joc Pederson

Joc Pederson

LHB
TEX · 69 appearances tracked
15 HRs
21.7% HR Rate
17.7% Avg HR/FB
92.1 Avg EV
0.162 ISO
#9 Best Rank
as of 2026-07-23
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet. The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-07-23
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 50.7%
15.6%
10
20.5%
Breaking 31.7%
11.1%
5
28.6%
Offspeed 17.6%
4.4%
2
20.6%
All 100% 11.8% 17 23.0%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
Batter vs. Pitcher head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
AVG
SLG
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers 0 of 4 active
Ballpark Pitcher form Platoon Weather
Edge by rate · batter vs pitcher-allowed
K% 23.0 vs
23.0
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days 15 this season · avg 410 ft
Date Opp · Pitcher Pitch EV Dist
Jun 24 @ MIA · Pete Fairbanks 102.0 426
Jun 25 @ TOR · Kevin Gausman 107.2 402
Jun 28 @ TOR · Shane Bieber 108.9 388
Jun 30 @ CLE · Tanner Bibee 102.7 403
Jul 18 @ ATL · Owen Murphy 104.3 419
Jul 20 vs CWS · Erick Fedde 105.9 423
HR by month
4
2
Jun Jul
All Appearances 69 tracked · 15 HR · 25 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Jul 20 vs CWS · Erick Fedde 1 105.9 HR 1 BIP
Jul 19 @ ATL · Grant Holmes 3 100.2 3 BIP
Jul 18 @ ATL · ATL Bullpen Proxy 3 104.3 HR 3 BIP
Jul 12 vs HOU · Cristian Javier 2 94.9 2 BIP
Jul 11 vs HOU · Peter Lambert 3 98.9 3 BIP
Jul 10 vs HOU · Hunter Brown 2 107.7 HR 2 BIP
Jul 8 vs LAA · Walbert Ureña 0
Jul 7 vs LAA · José Soriano 3 100.5 3 BIP
Jul 5 vs DET · Casey Mize 2 95.7 2 BIP
Jul 4 vs DET · Jack Flaherty 3 104.0 3 BIP
Jun 30 @ CLE · Tanner Bibee 3 102.7 HR 3 BIP
Jun 28 @ TOR · TOR Bullpen Proxy 2 108.9 HR 2 BIP
Jun 27 @ TOR · Dylan Cease 2 100.9 2 BIP
Jun 25 @ TOR · Kevin Gausman 3 107.2 HR 3 BIP
Jun 24 @ MIA · Eury Pérez 3 103.9 HR 3 BIP
Jun 23 @ MIA · Sandy Alcantara 5 106.7 HR 5 BIP
Jun 22 @ MIA · Tyler Phillips 3 104.7 3 BIP
Jun 21 vs SD · Wandy Peralta 2 104.9 2 BIP
Jun 20 vs SD · Walker Buehler 3 101.2 3 BIP
Jun 19 vs SD · Randy Vásquez 3 92.1 3 BIP
Jun 18 vs MIN · Joe Ryan 0
Jun 16 vs MIN · Zebby Matthews 4 106.6 4 BIP
Jun 15 vs MIN · Mike Paredes 2 104.3 HR 2 BIP
Jun 12 @ BOS · Sonny Gray 3 99.4 3 BIP
Jun 10 @ KC · Seth Lugo 1 100.2 1 BIP
Jun 9 @ KC · Stephen Kolek 4 99.7 4 BIP
Jun 7 vs CLE · Joey Cantillo 4 100.4 4 BIP
Jun 6 vs CLE · Tanner Bibee 3 105.2 3 BIP
Jun 5 vs CLE · Parker Messick 1 109.3 1 BIP
Jun 3 @ STL · Andre Pallante 4 103.4 4 BIP
Jun 2 @ STL · Dustin May 4 107.5 4 BIP
Jun 1 @ STL · Michael McGreevy 3 106.6 3 BIP
May 31 vs KC · Michael Wacha 3 89.2 3 BIP
May 30 vs KC · Seth Lugo 3 108.0 HR 3 BIP
May 29 vs KC · Stephen Kolek 2 96.2 HR 2 BIP
May 28 vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti 3 90.9 3 BIP
May 27 vs HOU · Mike Burrows 4 103.6 HR 4 BIP
May 26 vs HOU · Jason Alexander 3 102.4 HR 3 BIP
May 25 vs HOU · Tatsuya Imai 3 105.4 3 BIP
May 24 @ LAA · Reid Detmers 1 82.9 1 BIP
May 22 @ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez 2 84.1 2 BIP
May 19 @ COL · Sammy Peralta 5 105.5 5 BIP
May 18 @ COL · Jose Quintana 0
May 17 @ HOU · Peter Lambert 0
May 16 @ HOU · Kai-Wei Teng 2 104.4 2 BIP
May 15 @ HOU · Spencer Arrighetti 0
May 13 vs AZ · Ryne Nelson 4 102.2 4 BIP
May 12 vs AZ · Zac Gallen 2 109.1 HR 2 BIP
May 11 vs AZ · Michael Soroka 1 79.9 1 BIP
May 10 vs CHC · Jameson Taillon 2 110.6 2 BIP
May 9 vs CHC · Edward Cabrera 2 96.4 2 BIP
May 8 vs CHC · Ben Brown 0
May 7 @ NYY · Paul Blackburn 2 107.3 2 BIP
May 6 @ NYY · Will Warren 0
May 5 @ NYY · Elmer Rodríguez 2 103.1 2 BIP
May 3 @ DET · Tyler Holton 0
May 2 @ DET · Keider Montero 3 98.1 3 BIP
May 1 @ DET · Jack Flaherty 4 93.6 4 BIP
Apr 29 vs NYY · Elmer Rodríguez 4 105.1 4 BIP
Apr 28 vs NYY · Cam Schlittler 3 101.1 3 BIP
Apr 27 vs NYY · Max Fried 2 108.2 HR 2 BIP
Apr 26 vs ATH · J.T. Ginn 2 98.8 2 BIP
Apr 25 vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs 1 86.7 1 BIP
Apr 24 vs ATH · Luis Severino 1 97.8 1 BIP
Apr 23 vs PIT · Bubba Chandler 2 97.9 2 BIP
Apr 22 vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft 1 89.6 1 BIP
Apr 19 @ SEA · Bryan Woo 2 107.7 2 BIP
Apr 18 @ SEA · George Kirby 1 101.2 1 BIP
Apr 17 @ SEA · Logan Gilbert 1 90.4 1 BIP
Ballpark park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT board — not posted yet next game Fri 7/24
Dueness now
0.00×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
2 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
0 gm
since his last HR, Jul 20
Season
15 HR
69 games · 3 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 14 gaps · median 2 gm · MAD ± 1.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.

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