Joc Pederson
LHB
TEX
· 96 appearances tracked
22
HRs
22.9%
HR Rate
21.2%
Avg HR/FB
92.1
Avg EV
0.186
ISO
#3
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet.
The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-09-10
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
51.4%
15
Breaking
27.4%
8
Offspeed
21.2%
2
All
100%
11.2%
25
23.8%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
0 of 4 active
Ballpark —
Pitcher form —
Platoon —
Weather —
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
K%
23.8
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days
22 this season · avg 403 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Jun 24
@ MIA · Pete Fairbanks
—
102.0
426
Jun 25
@ TOR · Kevin Gausman
—
107.2
402
Jun 28
@ TOR · Shane Bieber
—
108.9
388
Jun 30
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
—
102.7
403
Jul 18
@ ATL · Owen Murphy
—
104.3
419
Jul 20
vs CWS · Erick Fedde
—
105.9
423
Jul 27
vs SEA · George Kirby
—
105.3
347
Jul 31
@ HOU · Hunter Brown
—
105.3
399
Aug 7
vs BAL · Shane Baz
—
109.6
414
Aug 11
@ LAA · Ryan Johnson
—
104.8
416
Aug 26
@ CWS · Sean Burke
—
101.8
394
Sep 5
vs TB · Drew Rasmussen
—
106.3
409
HR by month
Jul
Aug
Sep
All Appearances
96 tracked · 22 HR · 51 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 8
@ SEA · SEA Bullpen Proxy
2
92.7
2 BIP
Sep 5
vs TB · Drew Rasmussen
1
106.3
HR
1 BIP
Sep 4
vs TB · Nick Martinez
2
83.2
2 BIP
Aug 30
@ MIL · Dustin May
2
100.8
HR
2 BIP
Aug 28
@ MIL · Logan Henderson
1
102.8
1 BIP
Aug 26
@ CWS · Sean Burke
3
101.8
HR
3 BIP
Aug 24
@ CWS · José Urquidy
0
—
—
Aug 22
vs LAA · Ryan Johnson
3
104.9
3 BIP
Aug 19
vs WSH · Cade Cavalli
2
100.0
2 BIP
Aug 15
@ ATH · J.T. Ginn
3
105.4
3 BIP
Aug 14
@ ATH · ATH Bullpen Proxy
0
—
—
Aug 13
@ LAA · Walbert Ureña
2
104.9
2 BIP
Aug 12
@ LAA · George Klassen
2
101.3
2 BIP
Aug 11
@ LAA · Ryan Johnson
1
104.8
HR
1 BIP
Aug 10
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
1
100.2
1 BIP
Aug 8
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
2
104.5
2 BIP
Aug 7
vs BAL · Shane Baz
3
109.6
HR
3 BIP
Aug 4
vs SF · Blade Tidwell
3
103.9
3 BIP
Aug 3
vs SF · Logan Webb
2
101.1
2 BIP
Aug 2
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
1
79.3
1 BIP
Aug 1
@ HOU · Ronel Blanco
3
95.5
3 BIP
Jul 31
@ HOU · Hunter Brown
1
105.3
HR
1 BIP
Jul 28
@ TB · Griffin Jax
2
105.7
2 BIP
Jul 27
vs SEA · George Kirby
3
106.4
HR
3 BIP
Jul 26
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
4
106.9
4 BIP
Jul 25
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
5
105.6
5 BIP
Jul 24
vs SEA · Bryce Miller
4
91.7
4 BIP
Jul 20
vs CWS · Erick Fedde
1
105.9
HR
1 BIP
Jul 19
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
3
100.2
3 BIP
Jul 18
@ ATL · ATL Bullpen Proxy
3
104.3
HR
3 BIP
Jul 12
vs HOU · Cristian Javier
2
94.9
2 BIP
Jul 11
vs HOU · Peter Lambert
3
98.9
3 BIP
Jul 10
vs HOU · Hunter Brown
2
107.7
HR
2 BIP
Jul 8
vs LAA · Walbert Ureña
0
—
—
Jul 7
vs LAA · José Soriano
3
100.5
3 BIP
Jul 5
vs DET · Casey Mize
2
95.7
2 BIP
Jul 4
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
3
104.0
3 BIP
Jun 30
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
102.7
HR
3 BIP
Jun 28
@ TOR · TOR Bullpen Proxy
2
108.9
HR
2 BIP
Jun 27
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
2
100.9
2 BIP
Jun 25
@ TOR · Kevin Gausman
3
107.2
HR
3 BIP
Jun 24
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
3
103.9
HR
3 BIP
Jun 23
@ MIA · Sandy Alcantara
5
106.7
HR
5 BIP
Jun 22
@ MIA · Tyler Phillips
3
104.7
3 BIP
Jun 21
vs SD · Wandy Peralta
2
104.9
2 BIP
Jun 20
vs SD · Walker Buehler
3
101.2
3 BIP
Jun 19
vs SD · Randy Vásquez
3
92.1
3 BIP
Jun 18
vs MIN · Joe Ryan
0
—
—
Jun 16
vs MIN · Zebby Matthews
4
106.6
4 BIP
Jun 15
vs MIN · Mike Paredes
2
104.3
HR
2 BIP
Jun 12
@ BOS · Sonny Gray
3
99.4
3 BIP
Jun 10
@ KC · Seth Lugo
1
100.2
1 BIP
Jun 9
@ KC · Stephen Kolek
4
99.7
4 BIP
Jun 7
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
4
100.4
4 BIP
Jun 6
vs CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
105.2
3 BIP
Jun 5
vs CLE · Parker Messick
1
109.3
1 BIP
Jun 3
@ STL · Andre Pallante
4
103.4
4 BIP
Jun 2
@ STL · Dustin May
4
107.5
4 BIP
Jun 1
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
3
106.6
3 BIP
May 31
vs KC · Michael Wacha
3
89.2
3 BIP
May 30
vs KC · Seth Lugo
3
108.0
HR
3 BIP
May 29
vs KC · Stephen Kolek
2
96.2
HR
2 BIP
May 28
vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
3
90.9
3 BIP
May 27
vs HOU · Mike Burrows
4
103.6
HR
4 BIP
May 26
vs HOU · Jason Alexander
3
102.4
HR
3 BIP
May 25
vs HOU · Tatsuya Imai
3
105.4
3 BIP
May 24
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
1
82.9
1 BIP
May 22
@ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
2
84.1
2 BIP
May 19
@ COL · Sammy Peralta
5
105.5
5 BIP
May 18
@ COL · Jose Quintana
0
—
—
May 17
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
0
—
—
May 16
@ HOU · Kai-Wei Teng
2
104.4
2 BIP
May 15
@ HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
0
—
—
May 13
vs AZ · Ryne Nelson
4
102.2
4 BIP
May 12
vs AZ · Zac Gallen
2
109.1
HR
2 BIP
May 11
vs AZ · Michael Soroka
1
79.9
1 BIP
May 10
vs CHC · Jameson Taillon
2
110.6
2 BIP
May 9
vs CHC · Edward Cabrera
2
96.4
2 BIP
May 8
vs CHC · Ben Brown
0
—
—
May 7
@ NYY · Paul Blackburn
2
107.3
2 BIP
May 6
@ NYY · Will Warren
0
—
—
May 5
@ NYY · Elmer Rodríguez
2
103.1
2 BIP
May 3
@ DET · Tyler Holton
0
—
—
May 2
@ DET · Keider Montero
3
98.1
3 BIP
May 1
@ DET · Jack Flaherty
4
93.6
4 BIP
Apr 29
vs NYY · Elmer Rodríguez
4
105.1
4 BIP
Apr 28
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
3
101.1
3 BIP
Apr 27
vs NYY · Max Fried
2
108.2
HR
2 BIP
Apr 26
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
2
98.8
2 BIP
Apr 25
vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs
1
86.7
1 BIP
Apr 24
vs ATH · Luis Severino
1
97.8
1 BIP
Apr 23
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
2
97.9
2 BIP
Apr 22
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
1
89.6
1 BIP
Apr 19
@ SEA · Bryan Woo
2
107.7
2 BIP
Apr 18
@ SEA · George Kirby
1
101.2
1 BIP
Apr 17
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
1
90.4
1 BIP
Ballpark
park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Fri 9/11
Dueness now
0.50×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
2 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
1 gm
since his last HR, Sep 5
Season
22 HR
96 games · 2 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 21 gaps · median 2 gm · MAD ± 1 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Common questions about Joc Pederson
Will Joc Pederson hit a home run today?
Joc Pederson is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 22 times in 96 scored games (about 23% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.
How often does Joc Pederson hit home runs?
Across 96 scored games this season, Joc Pederson has 22 home runs — one every 4.4 games, or about 23% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.