Jackson Chourio
RHB
MIL
· 115 appearances tracked
20
HRs
17.4%
HR Rate
22.7%
Avg HR/FB
92.1
Avg EV
0.200
ISO
#2
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet.
The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-09-24
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
57.1%
14
Breaking
29.1%
4
Offspeed
13.7%
5
All
100%
11.7%
23
24.1%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
0 of 4 active
Ballpark —
Pitcher form —
Platoon —
Weather —
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
K%
24.1
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days
20 this season · avg 399 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Jun 4
vs SF · Adrian Houser
—
105.5
423
Jun 9
@ ATH · J.T. Ginn
—
94.5
354
Jun 13
vs PHI · José Alvarado
—
102.3
410
Jun 14
vs PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
—
102.6
412
Jun 17
vs CLE · Gavin Williams
—
100.2
366
Jun 27
vs CHC · David Peterson
—
108.0
411
Jun 30
vs CIN · Julian Garcia
—
107.8
404
Jul 4
@ AZ · Paul Sewald
—
105.7
410
Aug 7
vs MIN · Zebby Matthews
—
107.6
423
Aug 9
vs MIN · Connor Prielipp
—
103.4
387
Aug 27
@ NYM · Xzavion Curry
—
102.8
380
Sep 2
@ CHC · David Peterson
—
100.6
390
Sep 18
@ BAL · Cade Povich
—
107.5
419
HR by month
Jul
Aug
Sep
All Appearances
115 tracked · 20 HR · 65 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 23
@ PHI · Aaron Nola
2
96.8
2 BIP
Sep 22
@ PHI · Zack Wheeler
1
71.3
1 BIP
Sep 20
@ BAL · Brandon Young
2
105.5
2 BIP
Sep 19
@ BAL · Trevor Rogers
2
97.9
2 BIP
Sep 18
@ BAL · Cade Povich
4
109.4
HR
4 BIP
Sep 17
@ PIT · Wilber Dotel
2
90.4
2 BIP
Sep 16
@ PIT · Jared Jones
4
107.6
4 BIP
Sep 15
@ PIT · Lake Bachar
4
93.1
4 BIP
Sep 13
vs CIN · Chase Burns
2
101.3
2 BIP
Sep 12
vs CIN · Brady Singer
2
92.6
2 BIP
Sep 11
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
5
107.1
5 BIP
Sep 9
vs CHC · Kevin Gausman
4
108.5
HR
4 BIP
Sep 8
vs CHC · David Peterson
5
109.8
HR
5 BIP
Sep 7
vs CHC · Matthew Boyd
4
99.8
4 BIP
Sep 6
@ CIN · Brady Singer
3
106.0
3 BIP
Sep 5
@ CIN · Andrew Abbott
5
97.9
5 BIP
Sep 4
@ CIN · Rhett Lowder
3
109.7
3 BIP
Sep 3
@ CHC · Kevin Gausman
2
100.2
2 BIP
Sep 2
@ CHC · David Peterson
6
109.5
HR
6 BIP
Sep 1
@ CHC · Matthew Boyd
4
106.9
4 BIP
Aug 31
@ CHC · Clay Holmes
2
99.8
2 BIP
Aug 30
vs TEX · Kumar Rocker
3
107.1
3 BIP
Aug 29
vs TEX · Cal Quantrill
3
107.7
HR
3 BIP
Aug 28
vs TEX · Cody Bradford
5
93.5
5 BIP
Aug 27
@ NYM · Sean Manaea
5
105.3
HR
5 BIP
Aug 25
@ NYM · Zac Thornton
3
105.0
3 BIP
Aug 23
vs ATL · Tyler Mahle
5
102.1
5 BIP
Aug 22
vs ATL · Martín Pérez
2
82.9
2 BIP
Aug 21
vs ATL · Chris Sale
2
101.4
2 BIP
Aug 20
vs SEA · George Kirby
3
102.6
3 BIP
Aug 19
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
4
100.0
4 BIP
Aug 18
vs SEA · Bryce Miller
3
102.1
3 BIP
Aug 16
@ LAD · Tarik Skubal
4
104.5
4 BIP
Aug 15
@ LAD · Justin Wrobleski
2
85.6
2 BIP
Aug 14
@ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
2
105.6
2 BIP
Aug 13
@ LAD · Roki Sasaki
3
106.3
3 BIP
Aug 12
@ SD · Robbie Ray
3
101.1
3 BIP
Aug 11
@ SD · Walker Buehler
2
82.1
2 BIP
Aug 10
@ SD · Casey Mize
3
105.0
3 BIP
Aug 9
vs MIN · Connor Prielipp
2
103.4
HR
2 BIP
Aug 8
vs MIN · Taj Bradley
1
65.7
1 BIP
Aug 7
vs MIN · Zebby Matthews
3
107.6
HR
3 BIP
Aug 6
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
3
103.3
HR
3 BIP
Aug 5
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
3
102.6
3 BIP
Aug 4
vs PIT · Jared Jones
4
108.2
HR
4 BIP
Aug 3
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
1
100.4
1 BIP
Aug 2
@ LAA · Walbert Ureña
2
106.0
2 BIP
Aug 1
@ LAA · Brent Suter
3
107.8
3 BIP
Jul 31
@ LAA · Ryan Johnson
2
79.3
2 BIP
Jul 29
@ SF · Logan Webb
5
103.6
5 BIP
Jul 28
@ SF · Landen Roupp
5
100.0
5 BIP
Jul 27
@ SF · Tyler Mahle
3
91.7
3 BIP
Jul 26
vs COL · Kyle Freeland
5
107.7
5 BIP
Jul 25
vs COL · Ryan Feltner
4
101.7
4 BIP
Jul 24
vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
4
103.1
4 BIP
Jul 22
vs NYM · Christian Scott
2
89.2
2 BIP
Jul 21
vs NYM · Zac Thornton
3
105.7
3 BIP
Jul 20
vs NYM · Freddy Peralta
1
80.6
1 BIP
Jul 19
vs MIA · Eury Pérez
2
108.4
2 BIP
Jul 18
vs MIA · Max Meyer
2
85.9
2 BIP
Jul 17
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
2
104.2
2 BIP
Jul 12
@ PIT · Paul Skenes
3
107.5
3 BIP
Jul 11
@ PIT · Bubba Chandler
4
95.9
4 BIP
Jul 9
@ STL · Andre Pallante
5
103.6
5 BIP
Jul 8
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
1
78.7
1 BIP
Jul 7
@ STL · Hunter Dobbins
8
107.7
8 BIP
Jul 6
@ STL · Dustin May
3
110.9
3 BIP
Jul 5
@ AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
3
108.6
3 BIP
Jul 4
@ AZ · Merrill Kelly
2
105.7
HR
2 BIP
Jul 3
@ AZ · Jose Cabrera
3
97.5
3 BIP
Jul 2
vs CIN · Chase Burns
3
99.1
3 BIP
Jul 1
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
3
84.0
3 BIP
Jun 30
vs CIN · Rhett Lowder
2
110.5
HR
2 BIP
Jun 29
vs CIN · Nick Lodolo
2
98.6
2 BIP
Jun 28
vs CHC · Ryan Rolison
2
101.4
2 BIP
Jun 27
vs CHC · David Peterson
4
108.0
HR
4 BIP
Jun 26
vs CHC · Colin Rea
5
104.0
5 BIP
Jun 24
@ CIN · Rhett Lowder
5
107.6
5 BIP
Jun 23
@ CIN · Nick Lodolo
2
107.6
2 BIP
Jun 22
@ CIN · Brady Singer
1
88.5
1 BIP
Jun 21
@ ATL · Bryce Elder
4
107.3
4 BIP
Jun 20
@ ATL · Chris Sale
3
108.5
3 BIP
Jun 19
@ ATL · Martín Pérez
4
96.1
4 BIP
Jun 18
vs CLE · Parker Messick
2
92.5
2 BIP
Jun 17
vs CLE · Gavin Williams
4
107.2
HR
4 BIP
Jun 16
vs CLE · Slade Cecconi
2
94.6
2 BIP
Jun 14
vs PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
4
102.6
HR
4 BIP
Jun 13
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
5
108.0
HR
5 BIP
Jun 12
vs PHI · Andrew Painter
4
103.0
4 BIP
Jun 9
@ ATH · J.T. Ginn
3
109.0
HR
3 BIP
Jun 7
@ COL · Kyle Freeland
5
104.3
5 BIP
Jun 4
vs SF · Adrian Houser
3
105.5
HR
3 BIP
May 30
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
4
99.2
4 BIP
May 29
@ HOU · Kai-Wei Teng
3
107.1
HR
3 BIP
May 27
vs STL · Dustin May
2
108.4
2 BIP
May 26
vs STL · Michael McGreevy
2
101.7
2 BIP
May 25
vs STL · Matthew Liberatore
1
85.3
1 BIP
May 24
vs LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
4
104.2
4 BIP
May 23
vs LAD · Roki Sasaki
2
112.8
2 BIP
May 17
@ MIN · Bailey Ober
5
96.4
5 BIP
May 16
@ MIN · Connor Prielipp
2
113.3
HR
2 BIP
May 15
@ MIN · Joe Ryan
2
110.2
2 BIP
May 14
vs SD · Griffin Canning
1
89.0
1 BIP
May 6
@ STL · Andre Pallante
4
108.7
4 BIP
Apr 14
vs TOR · Kevin Gausman
0
—
—
Apr 8
@ BOS · Sonny Gray
0
—
—
Apr 7
@ BOS · Garrett Crochet
0
—
—
Apr 6
@ BOS · Brayan Bello
0
—
—
Apr 5
@ KC · Kris Bubic
0
—
—
Apr 4
@ KC · Seth Lugo
0
—
—
Apr 1
vs TB · Drew Rasmussen
0
—
—
Mar 31
vs TB · Shane McClanahan
0
—
—
Mar 30
vs TB · Nick Martinez
0
—
—
Mar 28
vs CWS · Sean Burke
0
—
—
Mar 26
vs CWS · Shane Smith
0
—
—
Ballpark
park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Thu 9/24
Dueness now
2.00×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
2 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
4 gm
since his last HR, Sep 18
Season
20 HR
115 games · 1 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 19 gaps · median 2 gm · MAD ± 1 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Common questions about Jackson Chourio
Will Jackson Chourio hit a home run today?
Jackson Chourio is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 20 times in 115 scored games (about 17% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.
How often does Jackson Chourio hit home runs?
Across 115 scored games this season, Jackson Chourio has 20 home runs — one every 5.8 games, or about 17% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.