2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Ty France 5 HRs · 2 Eugenio Suárez 5 HRs · 3 Esmerlyn Valdez 5 HRs · 4 Nick Gonzales 4 HRs · 5 Drake Baldwin 4 HRs · 6 Salvador Perez 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 3 HRs · 8 Jacob Wilson 3 HRs · 9 Jackson Merrill 3 HRs · 10 Jeremy Peña 3 HRs · 11 Alex Bregman 3 HRs · 12 Ceddanne Rafaela 3 HRs 1 Ty France 5 HRs · 2 Eugenio Suárez 5 HRs · 3 Esmerlyn Valdez 5 HRs · 4 Nick Gonzales 4 HRs · 5 Drake Baldwin 4 HRs · 6 Salvador Perez 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 3 HRs · 8 Jacob Wilson 3 HRs · 9 Jackson Merrill 3 HRs · 10 Jeremy Peña 3 HRs · 11 Alex Bregman 3 HRs · 12 Ceddanne Rafaela 3 HRs
Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio
MIL · RHB
Jackson Chourio

Jackson Chourio

RHB
MIL · 62 appearances tracked
10 HRs
16.1% HR Rate
22.2% Avg HR/FB
92.3 Avg EV
0.205 ISO
#2 Best Rank
as of 2026-07-26
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO
76
0.195
Avg EV
90
92.3
Barrel%
88
11.6%
HR/FB vs LHP
99
40.0%
Avg HR Dist
73
402
Match%
84
17.1%
Season HR%
15.6%
14D Pace
0.0%
ISO EV BRL HR/FB DIST MATCH
76
90
88
99
73
84
ISOEVBRLHR/FBDISTMATCH
BBE 23 · season HR% & 14D pace unranked
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-07-26
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 57.8%
12.7%
7
23.6%
Breaking 32.0%
16.1%
4
29.5%
Offspeed 10.2%
3.7%
1
21.6%
All 100% 12.6% 12 25.2%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
Batter vs. Pitcher vs Kyle Freeland · LHP · MIL
SMALL SAMPLE · 12 PA · since 2024
.545
AVG
1.272
SLG
1
HR
6-for-11 with 1 homer and 1 walk across 12 plate appearances since 2024. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers 3 of 4 active
American Family Neutral Pitcher form Cold Platoon Edge Weather +2
Edge by rate · batter vs pitcher-allowed
Barrel% 11.6 vs
11.6
HR/FB 40.0 vs 22.5 ▲ edge
40.0
22.5
K% 25.2 vs
25.2
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days 10 this season · avg 399 ft
Date Opp · Pitcher Pitch EV Dist
Jun 4 vs SF · Adrian Houser 105.5 423
Jun 9 @ ATH · J.T. Ginn 94.5 354
Jun 13 vs PHI · José Alvarado 102.3 410
Jun 14 vs PHI · Cristopher Sánchez 102.6 412
Jun 17 vs CLE · Gavin Williams 100.2 366
Jun 27 vs CHC · David Peterson 108.0 411
Jun 30 vs CIN · Julian Garcia 107.8 404
Jul 4 @ AZ · Paul Sewald 105.7 410
HR by month
7
1
Jun Jul
All Appearances 62 tracked · 10 HR · 36 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Jul 25 vs COL · Ryan Feltner 4 101.7 4 BIP
Jul 24 vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano 4 103.1 4 BIP
Jul 22 vs NYM · Christian Scott 2 89.2 2 BIP
Jul 21 vs NYM · Zac Thornton 3 105.7 3 BIP
Jul 20 vs NYM · Freddy Peralta 1 80.6 1 BIP
Jul 19 vs MIA · Eury Pérez 2 108.4 2 BIP
Jul 18 vs MIA · Max Meyer 2 85.9 2 BIP
Jul 17 vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara 2 104.2 2 BIP
Jul 12 @ PIT · Paul Skenes 3 107.5 3 BIP
Jul 11 @ PIT · Bubba Chandler 4 95.9 4 BIP
Jul 9 @ STL · Andre Pallante 5 103.6 5 BIP
Jul 8 @ STL · Michael McGreevy 1 78.7 1 BIP
Jul 7 @ STL · Hunter Dobbins 8 107.7 8 BIP
Jul 6 @ STL · Dustin May 3 110.9 3 BIP
Jul 5 @ AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez 3 108.6 3 BIP
Jul 4 @ AZ · Merrill Kelly 2 105.7 HR 2 BIP
Jul 3 @ AZ · Jose Cabrera 3 97.5 3 BIP
Jul 2 vs CIN · Chase Burns 3 99.1 3 BIP
Jul 1 vs CIN · Andrew Abbott 3 84.0 3 BIP
Jun 30 vs CIN · Rhett Lowder 2 110.5 HR 2 BIP
Jun 29 vs CIN · Nick Lodolo 2 98.6 2 BIP
Jun 28 vs CHC · Ryan Rolison 2 101.4 2 BIP
Jun 27 vs CHC · David Peterson 4 108.0 HR 4 BIP
Jun 26 vs CHC · Colin Rea 5 104.0 5 BIP
Jun 24 @ CIN · Rhett Lowder 5 107.6 5 BIP
Jun 23 @ CIN · Nick Lodolo 2 107.6 2 BIP
Jun 22 @ CIN · Brady Singer 1 88.5 1 BIP
Jun 21 @ ATL · Bryce Elder 4 107.3 4 BIP
Jun 20 @ ATL · Chris Sale 3 108.5 3 BIP
Jun 19 @ ATL · Martín Pérez 4 96.1 4 BIP
Jun 18 vs CLE · Parker Messick 2 92.5 2 BIP
Jun 17 vs CLE · Gavin Williams 4 107.2 HR 4 BIP
Jun 16 vs CLE · Slade Cecconi 2 94.6 2 BIP
Jun 14 vs PHI · Cristopher Sánchez 4 102.6 HR 4 BIP
Jun 13 vs PHI · Aaron Nola 5 108.0 HR 5 BIP
Jun 12 vs PHI · Andrew Painter 4 103.0 4 BIP
Jun 9 @ ATH · J.T. Ginn 3 109.0 HR 3 BIP
Jun 7 @ COL · Kyle Freeland 5 104.3 5 BIP
Jun 4 vs SF · Adrian Houser 3 105.5 HR 3 BIP
May 30 @ HOU · Peter Lambert 4 99.2 4 BIP
May 29 @ HOU · Kai-Wei Teng 3 107.1 HR 3 BIP
May 27 vs STL · Dustin May 2 108.4 2 BIP
May 26 vs STL · Michael McGreevy 2 101.7 2 BIP
May 25 vs STL · Matthew Liberatore 1 85.3 1 BIP
May 24 vs LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto 4 104.2 4 BIP
May 23 vs LAD · Roki Sasaki 2 112.8 2 BIP
May 17 @ MIN · Bailey Ober 5 96.4 5 BIP
May 16 @ MIN · Connor Prielipp 2 113.3 HR 2 BIP
May 15 @ MIN · Joe Ryan 2 110.2 2 BIP
May 14 vs SD · Griffin Canning 1 89.0 1 BIP
May 6 @ STL · Andre Pallante 4 108.7 4 BIP
Apr 14 vs TOR · Kevin Gausman 0
Apr 8 @ BOS · Sonny Gray 0
Apr 7 @ BOS · Garrett Crochet 0
Apr 6 @ BOS · Brayan Bello 0
Apr 5 @ KC · Kris Bubic 0
Apr 4 @ KC · Seth Lugo 0
Apr 1 vs TB · Drew Rasmussen 0
Mar 31 vs TB · Shane McClanahan 0
Mar 30 vs TB · Nick Martinez 0
Mar 28 vs CWS · Sean Burke 0
Mar 26 vs CWS · Shane Smith 0
Ballpark American Family Field · open-air
Park Factor 0.999 Wind 5 mph from SSE Temp 85°F Roof Retractable
TimeWindTempFIT
2:10p 5 85° -3
3:10p 5 85° -3
4:10p 5 85° -3
5:10p 5 85° -3
6:10p 5 85° -3
-3
Neutral alignment
true spray · game-window FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
5 mph 23% 0% 54% 23% 0% OPPO PULL American Family Field
Game-window avg wind · blowing straight in (from SSE)
August 2026
All batters →
TONIGHT board — not posted yet next game Sun 7/26
Dueness now
7.50×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
2 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
15 gm
since his last HR, Jul 4
Season
10 HR
62 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 9 gaps · median 2 gm · MAD ± 1 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.

Score Breakdown Base 55 → 58
ISO (Power)
+18.9
Barrel Matchup
+16.2
Park Factor
+5.8
Pitcher FIP
+5.0
season hr rate
+4.1
HR/FB Matchup
+2.7
Exit Velocity
+1.5
recent hr density 14d
+0.4
Six home runs to freedom

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