Jackson Chourio
RHB
MIL
· 63 appearances tracked
10
HRs
15.9%
HR Rate
22.5%
Avg HR/FB
92.3
Avg EV
0.205
ISO
#2
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.192
Avg EV92.2
Barrel%9.9%
HR/FB vs RHP17.9%
Avg HR Dist402
Match%12.1%
Season HR%
15.4%
14D Pace
0.0%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-07-27
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
57.9%
7
Breaking
31.7%
4
Offspeed
10.3%
1
All
100%
12.3%
12
25.1%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Tyler Mahle · RHP · MIL
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No prior plate appearances vs Tyler Mahle in our data. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
2 of 4 active
Oracle Neutral
Pitcher form Cold
Platoon Even
Weather +4
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
9.9
vs
—
HR/FB
17.9
vs
22.2 ▼ risk
K%
25.1
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
10 this season · avg 399 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Jun 4
vs SF · Adrian Houser
—
105.5
423
Jun 9
@ ATH · J.T. Ginn
—
94.5
354
Jun 13
vs PHI · José Alvarado
—
102.3
410
Jun 14
vs PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
—
102.6
412
Jun 17
vs CLE · Gavin Williams
—
100.2
366
Jun 27
vs CHC · David Peterson
—
108.0
411
Jun 30
vs CIN · Julian Garcia
—
107.8
404
Jul 4
@ AZ · Paul Sewald
—
105.7
410
HR by month
Jun
Jul
All Appearances
63 tracked · 10 HR · 37 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Jul 26
vs COL · Kyle Freeland
5
107.7
5 BIP
Jul 25
vs COL · Ryan Feltner
4
101.7
4 BIP
Jul 24
vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
4
103.1
4 BIP
Jul 22
vs NYM · Christian Scott
2
89.2
2 BIP
Jul 21
vs NYM · Zac Thornton
3
105.7
3 BIP
Jul 20
vs NYM · Freddy Peralta
1
80.6
1 BIP
Jul 19
vs MIA · Eury Pérez
2
108.4
2 BIP
Jul 18
vs MIA · Max Meyer
2
85.9
2 BIP
Jul 17
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
2
104.2
2 BIP
Jul 12
@ PIT · Paul Skenes
3
107.5
3 BIP
Jul 11
@ PIT · Bubba Chandler
4
95.9
4 BIP
Jul 9
@ STL · Andre Pallante
5
103.6
5 BIP
Jul 8
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
1
78.7
1 BIP
Jul 7
@ STL · Hunter Dobbins
8
107.7
8 BIP
Jul 6
@ STL · Dustin May
3
110.9
3 BIP
Jul 5
@ AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
3
108.6
3 BIP
Jul 4
@ AZ · Merrill Kelly
2
105.7
HR
2 BIP
Jul 3
@ AZ · Jose Cabrera
3
97.5
3 BIP
Jul 2
vs CIN · Chase Burns
3
99.1
3 BIP
Jul 1
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
3
84.0
3 BIP
Jun 30
vs CIN · Rhett Lowder
2
110.5
HR
2 BIP
Jun 29
vs CIN · Nick Lodolo
2
98.6
2 BIP
Jun 28
vs CHC · Ryan Rolison
2
101.4
2 BIP
Jun 27
vs CHC · David Peterson
4
108.0
HR
4 BIP
Jun 26
vs CHC · Colin Rea
5
104.0
5 BIP
Jun 24
@ CIN · Rhett Lowder
5
107.6
5 BIP
Jun 23
@ CIN · Nick Lodolo
2
107.6
2 BIP
Jun 22
@ CIN · Brady Singer
1
88.5
1 BIP
Jun 21
@ ATL · Bryce Elder
4
107.3
4 BIP
Jun 20
@ ATL · Chris Sale
3
108.5
3 BIP
Jun 19
@ ATL · Martín Pérez
4
96.1
4 BIP
Jun 18
vs CLE · Parker Messick
2
92.5
2 BIP
Jun 17
vs CLE · Gavin Williams
4
107.2
HR
4 BIP
Jun 16
vs CLE · Slade Cecconi
2
94.6
2 BIP
Jun 14
vs PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
4
102.6
HR
4 BIP
Jun 13
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
5
108.0
HR
5 BIP
Jun 12
vs PHI · Andrew Painter
4
103.0
4 BIP
Jun 9
@ ATH · J.T. Ginn
3
109.0
HR
3 BIP
Jun 7
@ COL · Kyle Freeland
5
104.3
5 BIP
Jun 4
vs SF · Adrian Houser
3
105.5
HR
3 BIP
May 30
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
4
99.2
4 BIP
May 29
@ HOU · Kai-Wei Teng
3
107.1
HR
3 BIP
May 27
vs STL · Dustin May
2
108.4
2 BIP
May 26
vs STL · Michael McGreevy
2
101.7
2 BIP
May 25
vs STL · Matthew Liberatore
1
85.3
1 BIP
May 24
vs LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
4
104.2
4 BIP
May 23
vs LAD · Roki Sasaki
2
112.8
2 BIP
May 17
@ MIN · Bailey Ober
5
96.4
5 BIP
May 16
@ MIN · Connor Prielipp
2
113.3
HR
2 BIP
May 15
@ MIN · Joe Ryan
2
110.2
2 BIP
May 14
vs SD · Griffin Canning
1
89.0
1 BIP
May 6
@ STL · Andre Pallante
4
108.7
4 BIP
Apr 14
vs TOR · Kevin Gausman
0
—
—
Apr 8
@ BOS · Sonny Gray
0
—
—
Apr 7
@ BOS · Garrett Crochet
0
—
—
Apr 6
@ BOS · Brayan Bello
0
—
—
Apr 5
@ KC · Kris Bubic
0
—
—
Apr 4
@ KC · Seth Lugo
0
—
—
Apr 1
vs TB · Drew Rasmussen
0
—
—
Mar 31
vs TB · Shane McClanahan
0
—
—
Mar 30
vs TB · Nick Martinez
0
—
—
Mar 28
vs CWS · Sean Burke
0
—
—
Mar 26
vs CWS · Shane Smith
0
—
—
Ballpark
Oracle Park · open-air
Park Factor
0.902
Wind
13 mph from WSW
Temp
70°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
9:45p
13 ↑
70°
+10
10:45p
13 ↑
70°
+10
11:45p
13 ↑
70°
+10
12:45a
13 ↑
70°
+10
1:45a
13 ↑
70°
+10
+10
Slight green alignment
proxy spray · game-window FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to center (from WSW)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Mon 7/27
Dueness now
8.00×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
2 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
16 gm
since his last HR, Jul 4
Season
10 HR
63 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 9 gaps · median 2 gm · MAD ± 1 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 47 → 47
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Pitcher FIP
season hr rate
Park Factor
HR/FB Matchup
Exit Velocity
recent hr density 14d